Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 58-60 (OT)

13-15 5-5 15-19 18-12 7-9

Position#9

Record1-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game67.7

Allowed / game75.4

Paralimni

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Position#2

Record5-3

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game65.9

Division ARound 9

Other2022-23

Meetings · Paralimni v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paralimni winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paralimni

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

72-87

-15

A28/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

71-95

-24

H02/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

63-80

-17

A05/05

Division A

Anorthosis

64-65

-1

A08/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

58-46

+12

H14/10

Division A

Keravnos

70-99

-29

A22/10

Division A

Apollon

67-71

-4

H29/10

Division A

Apoel BC

71-78

-7

A02/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

57-66

-9

H19/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

87-103

103

-16

A26/11

Division A

21-24

14-20

19-26

18-17

22-22

18-26

19-30

12-17

10-16

12-23

25-26

16-15

23-13

11-17

10-18

20-17

7-9

25-13

10-7

16-17

12-23

17-28

22-23

19-25

10-19

14-20

13-12

30-20

11-20

23-19

20-20

17-19

21-21

7-15

13-14

16-16

17-23

16-25

25-26

29-29

147.0Avg total

68.0Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	67.7	75.4	143.1	-7.7	14%
Season at home (3)	60.7	61.0	121.7	-0.3	33%
Season away (4)	73.0	86.2	159.2	-13.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.0	79.0	147.0	-11.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	70.4	83.4	153.8	-13.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	69.5	78.0	147.5	-8.5	31%
vs Similar (7)	67.6	68.6	136.1	-1.0	43%
vs Weaker (10)	76.9	73.1	150.0	+3.8	50%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Thorl

#37

77-68

H27/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Antwerp Giants

#28

60-76

-16

H28/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Apop Paphou

88-64

+24

A09/10

Division A

Anorthosis

76-52

+24

H16/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

89-63

+26

A23/10

Division A

Keravnos

65-47

+18

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

67-71

-4

A02/11

Division A

Apoel BC

88-94

-6

H20/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

74-77

-3

A27/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

82-59

+23

H04/12

Division A

21-17

24-19

13-14

19-18

9-17

15-16

16-19

20-24

28-11

27-12

23-17

10-24

20-12

16-13

24-18

16-9

29-10

25-15

14-19

21-19

8-18

19-13

15-8

23-8

20-19

11-17

18-19

18-16

22-22

22-31

14-23

30-18

25-20

7-16

25-18

17-23

24-25

25-12

22-7

11-15

143.7Avg total

76.6Scored

67.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	78.6	65.9	144.5	+12.8	62%
Season at home (4)	77.8	63.0	140.8	+14.8	75%
Season away (4)	79.5	68.8	148.2	+10.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	67.1	143.7	+9.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	69.6	144.8	+5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	62.5	61.5	124.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	83.1	68.4	151.4	+14.7	74%

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ParalimniAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.0	35.0	-1.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.6	16.4	32.1	-0.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	19.0	34.4	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	21.2	35.4	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.8	18.2	34.1	-2.4	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.1	18.1	34.3	-2.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	30%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	8.5	17.5	26.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.7	35.5	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	20.4	36.4	-4.3	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	20.6	36.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	21.4	36.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.6	20.1	35.7	-4.5	15%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.1	16.9	34.0	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	16.4	37.1	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	16.1	37.7	+5.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.4	35.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	17.0	14.5	31.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.8	16.5	37.3	+4.3	67%	-

ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

35-44

-9

A28/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

40-48

-8

H02/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

22-39

-17

A05/05

Division A

Anorthosis

34-30

A08/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

32-22

+10

H14/10

Division A

Keravnos

29-51

-22

A22/10

Division A

Apollon

24-39

-15

H29/10

Division A

Apoel BC

34-39

-5

A02/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

28-36

-8

H19/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

33-48

-15

A26/11

Division A

70.7Avg total

31.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.8	36.7	70.5	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.4	33.1	66.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	39.8	73.9	-5.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.1	39.6	70.7	-8.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	42.6	72.2	-13.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	31.5	38.3	69.8	-6.8	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	33.3	35.0	68.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	40%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Thorl

#37

45-36

H27/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Antwerp Giants

#28

24-33

-9

H28/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Apop Paphou

55-23

+32

A09/10

Division A

Anorthosis

36-25

+11

H16/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

54-25

+29

A23/10

Division A

Keravnos

27-31

-4

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

31-36

-5

A02/11

Division A

Apoel BC

44-53

-9

H20/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

32-36

-4

A27/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

49-37

+12

H04/12

Division A

73.2Avg total

39.7Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	33.8	75.0	+7.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.4	33.2	74.6	+8.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	34.6	75.4	+6.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	33.5	73.2	+6.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.5	32.0	57.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.1	33.9	76.0	+8.3	67%	-

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	14.7	17.7	32.4	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.1	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	16.7	38.2	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	15.3	36.8	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.0	33.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	15.5	13.5	29.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.3	17.0	39.3	+5.3	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.6	36.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.7	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	15.9	35.4	+3.7	86%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	30%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	14.9	33.8	+4.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	18.2	17.0	35.3	+1.2	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.1	74.5	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.1	35.6	72.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	39.4	76.3	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.2	38.9	76.1	-1.8	15%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.3	33.6	67.9	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	33.7	73.7	+6.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	30.2	70.6	+10.2	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	38.2	77.8	+1.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	33.6	70.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	31.0	69.6	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	37.0	29.5	66.5	+7.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	40.6	34.0	74.6	+6.5	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	16.0	41.0%	51.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.0	28.6%	33.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	0.0	0.0%	71.9%	0.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paralimni wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
05/05/22	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	80-63
02/05/22	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	71-95
28/04/22	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	87-72
07/02/22	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	73-69
12/11/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	73-75
31/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	88-73
27/03/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	77-81
24/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	102-62
17/03/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	78-70
04/01/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	73-77 OT

Paralimnilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/22	A	ETHA Engomi	87-103
19/11/22	H	Achilleas K.	57-66
02/11/22	A	Apoel BC	71-78
29/10/22	H	Apollon	67-71
22/10/22	A	Keravnos	70-99
14/10/22	H	Omonia	58-46
08/10/22	A	Anorthosis	64-65
05/05/22	A	AEK Larnaca	63-80
02/05/22	H	AEK Larnaca	71-95
28/04/22	A	AEK Larnaca	72-87

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/22	H	ETHA Engomi	82-59
27/11/22	A	Achilleas K.	74-77
20/11/22	H	Apoel BC	88-94
02/11/22	A	Apollon	67-71
30/10/22	H	Keravnos	65-47
23/10/22	A	Omonia	89-63
16/10/22	H	Anorthosis	76-52
09/10/22	A	Apop Paphou	88-64
28/09/22	H	Antwerp Giants	60-76
27/09/22	H	Thorl	77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paralimni

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	14%	33%	0%
Points / game	67.7	60.7	73.0
Allowed / game	75.4	61.0	86.2
Point differential	-7.7	-0.3	-13.2
Avg total	143.1	121.7	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	62%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	78.6	77.8	79.5
Allowed / game	65.9	63.0	68.8
Point differential	+12.8	+14.8	+10.8
Avg total	144.5	140.8	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Apoel BC	8	7	1	88%	93.8	77.9	+15.9
2	Keravnos	8	7	1	88%	83.5	67.9	+15.6
3	AEL	8	6	2	75%	88.1	78.2	+9.9
4	AEK Larnaca	8	5	3	62%	78.6	65.9	+12.8
5	Apollon	9	5	4	56%	73.0	72.3	+0.7
6	ETHA Engomi	8	4	4	50%	76.2	79.8	-3.5
7	Anorthosis	8	4	4	50%	71.2	78.6	-7.4
8	Achilleas K.	8	3	5	38%	67.4	78.9	-11.5
9	Apop Paphou	8	2	6	25%	61.0	76.6	-15.6
10	Paralimni	7	1	6	14%	67.7	75.4	-7.7
11	Omonia	8	0	8	0%	64.5	74.6	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Paralimni	13	5	15	18	7	58
AEK Larnaca	15	5	19	12	9	60

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Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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