Achilleas K. vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 77-74

20-25 16-7 18-25 23-17

Position#10

Record1-4

FormLLLLW

Points / game65.8

Allowed / game82.8

Achilleas K. 🏆

AEK Larnaca

Position#2

Record4-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game65.2

Division ARound 7

Other2022-23

Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K. Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ENAD Nicosia

#12

68-54

+14

H18/02

Division A

Apop Paphou

#11

83-63

+20

A05/03

Division A

Anorthosis

75-85

-10

A09/03

Division A

Keravnos

49-63

-14

H13/03

Division A

Paralimni

71-75

-4

H03/04

Division A

Keravnos

62-95

-33

A08/10

Division A

Apollon

57-87

-30

H15/10

Division A

Apoel BC

84-108

108

-24

A21/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

60-67

-7

H04/11

Division A

Paralimni

66-57

A19/11

Division A

13-11

21-9

25-19

9-15

22-7

22-13

24-22

15-21

22-24

22-20

13-19

18-22

12-18

17-10

9-19

11-16

13-24

21-19

15-16

22-16

14-26

13-22

9-29

26-18

10-23

11-26

16-18

20-20

14-40

22-30

29-17

19-21

10-18

18-10

16-22

16-17

21-21

15-7

14-13

16-16

142.9Avg total

67.5Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	65.8	82.8	148.6	-17.0	20%
Season at home (2)	58.5	77.0	135.5	-18.5	0%
Season away (3)	70.7	86.7	157.3	-16.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	67.5	75.4	142.9	-7.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	65.8	82.8	148.6	-17.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	51.2	67.3	118.5	-16.1	11%
vs Similar (9)	73.0	73.3	146.3	-0.3	56%
vs Weaker (2)	72.5	64.0	136.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

57-73

-16

A24/05

Division A

Keravnos

88-90 OT

-2

H28/05

Division A

Thorl

#37

77-68

H27/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Antwerp Giants

#28

60-76

-16

H28/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Apop Paphou

88-64

+24

A09/10

Division A

Anorthosis

76-52

+24

H16/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

89-63

+26

A23/10

Division A

Keravnos

65-47

+18

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

67-71

-4

A02/11

Division A

Apoel BC

88-94

-6

H20/11

Division A

14-17

13-19

15-25

15-12

23-22

15-18

20-25

20-13

21-17

24-19

13-14

19-18

9-17

15-16

16-19

20-24

28-11

27-12

23-17

10-24

20-12

16-13

24-18

16-9

29-10

25-15

14-19

21-19

8-18

19-13

15-8

23-8

20-19

11-17

18-19

18-16

22-22

22-31

14-23

30-18

145.3Avg total

75.5Scored

69.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	78.8	65.2	144.0	+13.7	67%
Season at home (3)	76.3	64.3	140.7	+12.0	67%
Season away (3)	81.3	66.0	147.3	+15.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	69.8	145.3	+5.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	65.4	142.4	+11.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	62.5	61.5	124.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	84.7	68.0	152.8	+16.7	78%

This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Achilleas K.AEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.1	19.9	36.0	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	14.6	19.0	33.6	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	21.2	36.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	25.6	39.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	14.9	23.0	37.9	-8.1	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	15.7	33.4	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.5	35.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	8.5	17.5	26.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.9	17.0	38.9	+4.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.2	17.5	33.7	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.8	16.7	32.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.0	34.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.3	16.7	32.0	-1.4	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	19.7	37.4	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	14.0	30.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.5	37.3	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	16.2	37.3	+5.0	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	17.0	14.5	31.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.0	16.5	37.6	+4.5	70%	-

Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ENAD Nicosia

#12

34-20

+14

H18/02

Division A

Apop Paphou

#11

44-20

+24

A05/03

Division A

Anorthosis

44-44

A09/03

Division A

Keravnos

29-28

H13/03

Division A

Paralimni

34-43

-9

H03/04

Division A

Keravnos

27-48

-21

A08/10

Division A

Apollon

21-49

-28

H15/10

Division A

Apoel BC

36-70

-34

A21/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

28-28

H04/11

Division A

Paralimni

36-28

A19/11

Division A

71.1Avg total

33.3Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	32.4	37.4	69.7	-5.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	30.5	35.7	66.2	-5.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	38.9	73.1	-4.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	37.8	71.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	44.6	74.2	-15.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	30.2	39.7	69.9	-9.5	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.6	35.3	70.9	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	28.0	63.5	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

27-36

-9

A24/05

Division A

Keravnos

38-40

-2

H28/05

Division A

Thorl

#37

45-36

H27/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Antwerp Giants

#28

24-33

-9

H28/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Apop Paphou

55-23

+32

A09/10

Division A

Anorthosis

36-25

+11

H16/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

54-25

+29

A23/10

Division A

Keravnos

27-31

-4

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

31-36

-5

A02/11

Division A

Apoel BC

44-53

-9

H20/11

Division A

71.9Avg total

38.1Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	33.5	75.4	+8.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.1	32.8	74.9	+9.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.0	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.8	71.9	+4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	34.0	72.4	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.5	32.0	57.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.0	33.5	76.5	+9.4	70%	-

This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.3	18.1	34.4	-1.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.3	17.6	33.9	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	18.6	34.9	-2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	14.1	18.6	32.7	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	16.6	38.5	+5.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.2	15.4	37.6	+6.8	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.7	35.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	15.5	13.5	29.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.6	17.0	39.6	+5.7	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.1	18.8	35.9	-1.7	26%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.6	15.8	33.4	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-4.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.5	17.9	34.4	-1.4	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	20.6	39.3	-1.8	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	18.0	32.5	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.1	36.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.6	15.4	35.1	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.1	35.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.0	35.6	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	33.4	36.9	70.3	-3.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.9	33.4	67.3	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	40.2	73.1	-7.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	37.6	71.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.2	74.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	30.6	36.4	67.1	-5.8	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	33.7	74.5	+7.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.8	30.8	72.6	+10.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	34.8	71.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	31.4	70.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	37.0	29.5	66.5	+7.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.4	34.1	75.5	+7.3	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	16.0	41.0%	51.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.0	28.6%	33.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	0.0	0.0%	71.9%	0.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Achilleas K. wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/21	AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.	94-49
11/10/21	Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca	53-75
02/12/11	Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca	0-20
09/01/11	AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.	60-62
06/11/10	Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca	84-73

Achilleas K.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/22	A	Paralimni	66-57
04/11/22	H	ETHA Engomi	60-67
21/10/22	A	Apoel BC	84-108
15/10/22	H	Apollon	57-87
08/10/22	A	Keravnos	62-95
03/04/22	H	Paralimni	71-75
13/03/22	H	Keravnos	49-63
09/03/22	A	Anorthosis	75-85
05/03/22	A	Apop Paphou	83-63
18/02/22	H	ENAD Nicosia	68-54

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/22	H	Apoel BC	88-94
02/11/22	A	Apollon	67-71
30/10/22	H	Keravnos	65-47
23/10/22	A	Omonia	89-63
16/10/22	H	Anorthosis	76-52
09/10/22	A	Apop Paphou	88-64
28/09/22	H	Antwerp Giants	60-76
27/09/22	H	Thorl	77-68
28/05/22	H	Keravnos	88-90 OT
24/05/22	A	Keravnos	57-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Points / game	65.8	58.5	70.7
Allowed / game	82.8	77.0	86.7
Point differential	-17.0	-18.5	-16.0
Avg total	148.6	135.5	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	78.8	76.3	81.3
Allowed / game	65.2	64.3	66.0
Point differential	+13.7	+12.0	+15.3
Avg total	144.0	140.7	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	67%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Apoel BC	6	6	0	100%	95.5	77.0	+18.5
2	Keravnos	6	5	1	83%	84.5	68.2	+16.3
3	AEL	5	4	1	80%	89.0	76.2	+12.8
4	AEK Larnaca	6	4	2	67%	78.8	65.2	+13.7
5	ETHA Engomi	6	4	2	67%	78.8	78.7	+0.2
6	Apollon	6	3	3	50%	72.2	75.3	-3.2
7	Apop Paphou	5	2	3	40%	63.0	75.2	-12.2
8	Anorthosis	6	2	4	33%	66.8	79.7	-12.8
9	Achilleas K.	5	1	4	20%	65.8	82.8	-17.0
10	Paralimni	7	1	6	14%	67.7	75.4	-7.7
11	Omonia	6	0	6	0%	66.2	76.2	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Achilleas K.	20	16	18	23	77
AEK Larnaca	25	7	25	17	74

← all games of the day

Achilleas K. vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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