AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 88-73

24-20 18-19 26-12 20-22

Position#2

Record17-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game70.1

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Paralimni

Position#4

Record13-10

FormLLWLL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game71.9

Division ADivision A - Semi-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Paralimni

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paralimni winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

77-73 OT

A04/01

Division A

Apollon

88-62

+26

H09/01

Division A

Keravnos

74-83

-9

A16/01

Division A

Apoel BC

106-76

106

+30

H10/02

Division A

Keravnos

70-80

-10

A25/02

Division A

Omonia

83-68

+15

H28/02

Division A

Apollon

86-62

+24

H03/03

Division A

Paralimni

70-78

-8

A17/03

Division A

Paralimni

102-62

102

+40

H24/03

Division A

Paralimni

81-77

A27/03

Division A

24-13

9-13

13-20

19-19

16-17

24-16

25-23

23-6

17-21

16-16

21-24

20-22

26-27

32-15

28-14

20-20

15-31

17-17

20-14

18-18

26-12

13-26

18-15

26-15

14-6

27-14

31-17

14-25

19-22

21-14

13-22

17-20

29-16

25-20

21-17

27-9

26-29

21-9

16-21

18-18

155.8Avg total

83.7Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.3	70.1	153.4	+13.2	74%
Season at home (12)	88.7	65.5	154.2	+23.2	92%
Season away (11)	77.5	75.2	152.6	+2.3	55%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	72.1	155.8	+11.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	69.4	153.8	+15.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	71.2	74.0	145.2	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	84.6	68.8	153.4	+15.8	81%

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paralimni

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

60-85

-25

A10/01

Division A

Apoel BC

80-70

+10

H13/01

Division A

Omonia

67-65

A08/02

Division A

Apollon

84-78

A10/02

Division A

Omonia

78-59

+19

A25/02

Division A

Apoel BC

68-71

-3

H28/02

Division A

Keravnos

72-78

-6

A03/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

78-70

H17/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

62-102

102

-40

A24/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

77-81

-4

H27/03

Division A

14-19

21-21

12-21

13-24

17-9

20-19

14-15

29-27

16-15

19-24

15-11

17-15

20-22

24-21

21-11

19-24

19-19

22-9

21-17

16-14

13-15

23-11

7-20

25-25

13-22

19-16

15-21

25-19

22-19

14-21

22-13

20-17

16-29

20-25

17-21

9-27

29-26

9-21

21-16

18-18

148.5Avg total

72.6Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	73.0	71.9	144.9	+1.2	57%
Season at home (11)	76.2	69.8	146.0	+6.4	64%
Season away (12)	70.2	73.8	143.9	-3.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	75.9	148.5	-3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	80.4	151.8	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	69.8	77.8	147.6	-8.1	33%
vs Similar (10)	69.8	68.6	138.4	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker (8)	75.6	69.8	145.4	+5.9	62%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaParalimni

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.0	39.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	14.5	22.5	37.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.2	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	17.4	34.7	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.9	21.4	37.3	-5.5	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	15.5	33.9	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.0	37.1	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	16.6	39.1	+6.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	15.3	34.9	+4.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.0	36.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.8	15.8	33.5	+2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.7	16.0	37.7	+5.7	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	16.0	33.1	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	15.8	34.4	+2.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	18.2	36.8	+0.2	50%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

33-26

A04/01

Division A

Apollon

40-33

H09/01

Division A

Keravnos

33-37

-4

A16/01

Division A

Apoel BC

58-42

+16

H10/02

Division A

Keravnos

32-48

-16

A25/02

Division A

Omonia

39-38

H28/02

Division A

Apollon

41-20

+21

H03/03

Division A

Paralimni

40-36

A17/03

Division A

Paralimni

54-36

+18

H24/03

Division A

Paralimni

47-38

A27/03

Division A

77.1Avg total

41.7Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	34.3	76.4	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	34.2	78.4	+10.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	34.5	74.1	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	35.4	77.1	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	33.6	77.8	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	32.2	38.2	70.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.6	33.7	77.3	+9.8	81%	-

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

35-40

-5

A10/01

Division A

Apoel BC

37-28

H13/01

Division A

Omonia

35-39

-4

A08/02

Division A

Apollon

44-43

A10/02

Division A

Omonia

41-28

+13

A25/02

Division A

Apoel BC

36-26

+10

H28/02

Division A

Keravnos

32-38

-6

A03/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

36-40

-4

H17/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

36-54

-18

A24/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

38-47

-9

H27/03

Division A

75.3Avg total

37.0Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	36.2	72.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.5	33.4	67.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	38.6	75.7	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.3	75.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	41.0	76.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.6	40.4	74.0	-6.8	8%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	31.3	68.3	+5.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.9	35.9	73.8	+2.0	62%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	16.2	38.4	+6.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	16.8	16.8	33.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	16.5	33.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	16.8	33.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	16.6	33.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.7	17.2	35.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	14.6	16.4	31.0	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.8	37.5	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	16.4	37.4	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.7	40.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.7	19.3	35.0	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.8	19.2	36.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	34.9	75.3	+5.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	32.6	75.8	+10.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.2	37.5	74.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	35.9	76.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.0	35.8	74.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	40.6	34.8	75.3	+5.8	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	36.0	71.2	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	35.9	73.9	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.8	36.1	68.9	-3.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	37.6	73.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.5	36.4	71.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	32.8	37.3	70.1	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.8	33.9	71.6	+3.9	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Paralimni wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	77-81
24/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	102-62
17/03/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	78-70
04/01/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	73-77 OT
11/11/20	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	80-77
08/03/20	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	54-67
18/01/20	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	50-80
24/11/19	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	87-66
24/03/19	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	56-78
29/12/18	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	71-55

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/21	A	Paralimni	81-77
24/03/21	H	Paralimni	102-62
17/03/21	A	Paralimni	70-78
03/03/21	H	Apollon	86-62
28/02/21	H	Omonia	83-68
25/02/21	A	Keravnos	70-80
10/02/21	H	Apoel BC	106-76
16/01/21	A	Keravnos	74-83
09/01/21	H	Apollon	88-62
04/01/21	A	Paralimni	77-73 OT

Paralimnilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/21	H	AEK Larnaca	77-81
24/03/21	A	AEK Larnaca	62-102
17/03/21	H	AEK Larnaca	78-70
03/03/21	A	Keravnos	72-78
28/02/21	H	Apoel BC	68-71
25/02/21	A	Omonia	78-59
10/02/21	A	Apollon	84-78
08/02/21	A	Omonia	67-65
13/01/21	H	Apoel BC	80-70
10/01/21	A	Keravnos	60-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WLLLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	74%	92%	55%
Points / game	83.3	88.7	77.5
Allowed / game	70.1	65.5	75.2
Point differential	+13.2	+23.2	+2.3
Avg total	153.4	154.2	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	75%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Paralimni

Division A 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	57%
Home	LWLWL	64%
Away	WWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	57%	64%	50%
Points / game	73.0	76.2	70.2
Allowed / game	71.9	69.8	73.8
Point differential	+1.2	+6.4	-3.6
Avg total	144.9	146.0	143.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	45%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	24	20	4	83%	82.8	69.4	+13.5
2	AEK Larnaca	23	17	6	74%	83.3	70.1	+13.2
3	Apollon	21	12	9	57%	77.6	76.9	+0.7
4	Paralimni	23	13	10	57%	73.0	71.9	+1.2
5	Apoel BC	24	12	12	50%	75.8	76.7	-0.8
6	Apop Paphou	18	7	11	39%	75.8	83.2	-7.3
7	Omonia	21	8	13	38%	74.0	76.8	-2.8
8	ETHA Engomi	20	7	13	35%	69.0	76.3	-7.3
9	AEL	20	1	19	5%	65.4	80.9	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	24	18	26	20	88
Paralimni	20	19	12	22	73

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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