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Pardubice 2 vs Valecnici Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-69
19-17 16-17 32-16 18-19
Position#7
Record13-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#6
Record15-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.2
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 4· Hala BK Pardubice
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pardubice 2 v Valecnici Decin
27 Mar 2026
PARD74
VALE94
06 Mar 2026
PARD85
VALE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pardubice 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pardubice 2Czech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
95avg 69
H05/12
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
78-108
78
108
-30
61avg 69
A14/12
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 69
A19/12
1. Liga
Vysoka
#15
W
88-49
88
49
+39
89avg 69
H09/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
94-80
94
80
+14
no box
A16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
73avg 69
H23/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 69
A30/01
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
58avg 69
A13/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 69
H22/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 69
A01/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
19-14
24-18
25-13
16-30
30-20
14-31
18-27
26-24
22-27
17-11
18-22
25-7
23-16
25-18
15-8
10-29
23-24
34-16
27-11
23-22
17-19
15-25
23-17
16-17
10-15
23-12
19-22
15-25
16-18
12-23
22-19
20-20
11-23
23-22
17-17
16-17
24-10
18-16
16-25
157.0Avg total
79.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.575.3153.9+3.262%
Season at home (10)80.670.2150.8+10.480%
Season away (11)76.680.0156.6-3.445%
Last 10 (10)79.177.9157.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)71.276.8148.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.280.2148.4-12.036%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.276.0151.2-0.844%
vs Weaker (10)83.774.0157.7+9.780%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 69
A05/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
73avg 69
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
99-90 OT
99
90
+9
73avg 69
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 69
H11/01
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
75-69
75
69
+6
59avg 69
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
86avg 69
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 69
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 69
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
66avg 69
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 69
H01/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
24-13
25-22
19-15
18-30
25-20
22-26
26-17
20-17
17-29
16-17
29-19
22-25
15-19
24-16
30-17
20-17
12-22
21-17
22-13
22-15
19-18
22-30
26-13
23-32
19-23
22-20
20-16
25-15
18-16
23-12
19-22
12-19
28-20
23-21
23-18
13-24
15-19
15-26
15-12
164.1Avg total
85.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.574.2156.7+8.371%
Season at home (11)79.471.7151.1+7.664%
Season away (10)85.976.9162.8+9.080%
Last 10 (10)85.079.1164.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)80.478.2158.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.875.3158.2+7.567%
vs Weaker (14)82.173.4155.5+8.671%
This opponent (Pardubice 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +6.7+6.7
Pardubice 2Valecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pardubice 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H05/12
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/12
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A19/12
1. Liga
Vysoka
#15
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H09/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A30/01
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H22/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A01/03
1. Liga
79.2Avg total
38.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.277.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.938.775.5-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)36.941.878.7-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.679.2-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.270.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.641.475.0-7.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.040.877.8-3.822%-
vs Weaker (10)40.438.578.9+1.950%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A05/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/01
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H01/03
1. Liga
80.5Avg total
39.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)38.438.076.3+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.235.973.1+1.345%-
Last 30 away (10)39.740.279.9-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.480.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.836.275.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker (14)38.138.676.7-0.636%-
This opponent (Pardubice 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pardubice 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pardubice 2: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.3
53.7%
51.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.4
27.3%
29.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.413.1
61.2%
65.8%13.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.5
51.6%
51.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.7
26.1%
29.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.8%16.9
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pardubice 2
WLLWLWWLLW
Valecnici Decin
LWWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#6
+1.8
Net rating
+6.2
88.5
Offensive rating
89.9
86.7
Defensive rating
83.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.6%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.3%
3-point %
26.1%
64.1%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 89.9Defence86.7 · 83.7Shooting48.5% · 46.6%3-point %27.3% · 26.1%Ball care18.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds34.2% · 34.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Pardubice 2   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pardubice 2 wins
1
Valecnici Decin wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Valecnici Decin v Pardubice 285-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26APlzen74-68
22/02/26HLitomerice71-82
13/02/26AValecnici Decin65-85
30/01/26AMS Academy68-66
23/01/26HNovy Jicin78-83
16/01/26ABasketbal Olomouc94-80
09/01/26HVysoka88-49
19/12/25AZlin83-84
14/12/25ASvitavy78-108
05/12/25HBrno U2392-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HNovy Jicin58-81
20/02/26AZlin86-78
13/02/26HPardubice 285-65
30/01/26APolabi84-91
27/01/26ARadotin89-76
23/01/26HLiberecko75-69
11/01/26HPlzen91-77
19/12/25AUSK Prague B99-90 OT
14/12/25HLitomerice91-93
05/12/25ACZ.ACADEMY92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pardubice 2
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%80%45%
Points / game78.580.676.6
Allowed / game75.370.280.0
Point differential+3.2+10.4-3.4
Avg total153.9150.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%64%80%
Points / game82.579.485.9
Allowed / game74.271.776.9
Point differential+8.3+7.6+9.0
Avg total156.7151.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%45%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin2117481%88.476.6+11.8
2 Valecnici Decin2115671%82.574.2+8.3
3 Plzen2215768%81.771.7+10.0
4 Svitavy2113862%88.783.1+5.6
5 Pardubice 22113862%78.575.3+3.2
6 Litomerice2113862%85.284.0+1.2
7 Zlin2213959%83.475.7+7.7
8 Liberecko2213959%80.379.5+0.7
9 Polabi2112957%80.779.5+1.1
10 CZ.ACADEMY22111150%82.085.2-3.2
11 Vysoka22101245%78.183.1-5.0
12 Radotin2091145%80.881.5-0.7
13 Jindrichuv Hradec2191243%83.684.0-0.4
14 Brno U232191243%78.681.8-3.2
15 Opava 22191243%78.882.4-3.7
16 USK Prague B2081240%78.280.2-1.9
17 Sokol Prazsky2271532%82.190.4-8.3
18 Basketbal Olomouc2261627%75.181.2-6.1
19 MS Academy2051525%79.392.2-12.9
20 Chomutov2151624%81.085.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pardubice 21916321885
Valecnici Decin1717161969
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