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Paris vs Dijon Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game81.7
FranceLNBRound 12· Adidas Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Paris v Dijon
20 Dec 2026
PRS v DIJ
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
PRS97
DIJ92
31 May 2025
PRS114
DIJ88
27 May 2025
PRS100
DIJ87
13 May 2025
PRS95
DIJ96
11 Feb 2025
PRS93
DIJ78
17 Sep 2023
PRS81
DIJ64
03 Dec 2022
PRS85
DIJ95
19 Apr 2022
PRS87
DIJ83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dijon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 87
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 87
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 87
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 87
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.285.9183.1+11.389%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)92.885.0177.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDijon
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 89
A02/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
101-83
101
83
+18
103avg 89
H09/05
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
126-80
126
80
+46
130avg 89
A16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 89
H25/09
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
89-61
89
61
+28
93avg 89
A03/10
LNB
Limoges
#12
W
108-96
108
96
+12
102avg 89
H09/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 89
A18/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 89
A23/10
LNB
Nancy
#11
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 89
H30/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
A07/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-21
18-13
11-25
23-22
33-21
25-19
20-21
33-27
29-27
41-9
23-17
25-8
16-25
22-15
18-24
19-14
20-14
31-19
19-14
24-26
27-24
29-27
28-19
30-20
23-22
21-26
18-15
25-21
24-15
22-27
20-18
30-25
17-21
21-27
26-35
23-19
27-14
31-17
16-21
177.0Avg total
94.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.181.7174.9+11.486%
Season at home (3)94.392.0186.3+2.367%
Season away (4)92.274.0166.2+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)94.882.2177.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)96.487.8184.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.993.8178.6-8.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)91.589.5181.0+2.062%
vs Weaker (13)96.487.1183.5+9.369%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
ParisDijon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A02/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/05
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/09
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/10
LNB
Limoges
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H09/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A23/10
LNB
Nancy
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H30/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/11
LNB
90.2Avg total
48.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.089.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.443.990.3+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.645.989.6-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)48.841.490.2+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.491.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.845.986.6-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.644.991.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (13)46.744.691.3+2.169%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.9
58.7%
55.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.1
41.4%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
74.2%17.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
Dijon
WLWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+4.0
Net rating
+13.9
103.4
Offensive rating
112.0
99.4
Defensive rating
98.2
57.9%
Effective FG%
60.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.7%
3-point %
41.4%
59.2%
Assist %
64.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 112.0Defence99.4 · 98.2Shooting57.9% · 60.0%3-point %36.7% · 41.4%Ball care14.7% · 12.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Paris   ■ Dijon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Paris wins
2
Dijon wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Dijon v Paris76-92
19/10/25Paris v Dijon97-92
31/05/25Paris v Dijon114-88
29/05/25Dijon v Paris80-79
27/05/25Paris v Dijon100-87
13/05/25Paris v Dijon95-96
11/02/25Paris v Dijon93-78
13/10/24Dijon v Paris83-97
09/03/24Dijon v Paris72-80
17/09/23Paris v Dijon81-64
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACholet97-71
30/10/26HNancy94-108
23/10/26ASaint Quentin91-81
18/10/26AGravelines-Dunkerque92-83
09/10/26HLimoges108-96
03/10/26APau-Orthez89-61
25/09/26HStrasbourg81-72
16/05/26ALe Portel126-80
09/05/26HJL Bourg101-83
02/05/26ANanterre69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game97.2102.892.8
Allowed / game85.987.085.0
Point differential+11.3+15.8+7.8
Avg total183.1189.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Dijon
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game93.194.392.2
Allowed / game81.792.074.0
Point differential+11.4+2.3+18.2
Avg total174.9186.3166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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