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Paris vs Nancy Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game83.9
FranceLNBRound 23· Adidas Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Paris v Nancy
20 Mar 2027
PRS v NAC
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
PRS102
NAC73
03 Nov 2024
PRS115
NAC97
20 Mar 2024
PRS113
NAC71
15 Apr 2023
PRS99
NAC91
11 May 2021
PRS83
NAC69
20 Dec 2019
PRS93
NAC95
04 Nov 2018
PRS87
NAC93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nancy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.285.9183.1+11.389%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)92.885.0177.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNancy
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
67-108
67
108
-41
64avg 78
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#39
W
84-61
84
61
+23
76avg 78
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
80-65
80
65
+15
72avg 78
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
99-60
99
60
+39
97avg 78
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 78
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
74avg 78
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#2
W
108-94
108
94
+14
101avg 78
A30/10
LNB
Keravnos
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H07/11
LNB
Vienna Basket
#32
W
101-86
101
86
+15
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
18-29
10-23
15-28
28-18
15-13
12-10
29-20
19-20
27-18
19-16
15-11
28-16
18-11
29-13
24-20
24-18
16-25
17-15
17-20
21-22
25-28
21-18
20-22
25-30
21-17
27-21
35-26
20-17
22-21
23-18
21-17
16-15
19-25
28-15
14-24
25-22
25-25
30-19
21-20
165.7Avg total
86.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.383.9163.1-4.629%
Season at home (4)76.576.8153.2-0.225%
Season away (3)83.093.3176.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)86.379.4165.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.884.4176.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.389.5169.8-9.223%
vs Similar (9)85.683.0168.6+2.656%
vs Weaker (8)88.272.2160.5+16.075%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
ParisNancy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#39
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A30/10
LNB
Keravnos
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
LNB
Vienna Basket
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.038.183.1+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.445.186.5-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.143.284.2-2.131%-
vs Similar (9)44.241.886.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker (8)46.038.084.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
55.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
74.2%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
Nancy
WLWWLLWWWL
#1
League position
#11
+4.0
Net rating
+4.6
103.4
Offensive rating
93.6
99.4
Defensive rating
89.0
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.7%
3-point %
36.4%
59.2%
Assist %
55.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 93.6Defence99.4 · 89.0Shooting57.9% · 51.5%3-point %36.7% · 36.4%Ball care14.7% · 16.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ Nancy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Paris wins
2
Nancy wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Nancy v Paris73-78
07/02/26Paris v Nancy102-73
13/12/25Nancy v Paris97-90
17/05/25Nancy v Paris86-105
03/11/24Paris v Nancy115-97
20/03/24Paris v Nancy113-71
05/10/23Nancy v Paris81-78
15/04/23Paris v Nancy99-91
23/12/22Nancy v Paris83-87
04/06/21Nancy v Paris83-96
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AVienna Basket101-86
07/11/26HLimoges77-79
03/11/26HKeravnos86-73
30/10/26ADijon108-94
28/10/26ASzczecin87-90
25/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne74-78
20/10/26HNitra Blue Wings99-60
17/10/26HNanterre80-65
13/10/26AParnu84-61
10/10/26AChalon/Saone67-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game97.2102.892.8
Allowed / game85.987.085.0
Point differential+11.3+15.8+7.8
Avg total183.1189.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Nancy
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game79.376.583.0
Allowed / game83.976.893.3
Point differential-4.6-0.2-10.3
Avg total163.1153.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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