Parma Perm will host Unics Kazan in the VTB United League on 11 November 2026, with the model favouring the Kazan side and predicting a 67% chance of a win for the visitors and a 33% chance for the hosts; the projected score is 81-86 with a total of 166.5 points. Parma Perm finished the season 4-4, scoring 89.6 points per game and allowing 86.8, and sits 5th in the league; at home they are undefeated 2-0, averaging 108.5 points and conceding 79.0, but their last five games were 2-3. Their recent results include a 84-106 loss to Lokomotiv Kuban away, a 109-68 home win over Samara, and a 57-79 defeat to CSKA Moscow away. Unics Kazan are 6-2, averaging 94.2 points and allowing 75.4, and occupy 3rd place; on the road they are 2-1, scoring 92.0 and conceding 77.0, with a 4-1 record in their last five games. Their recent outings feature a 79-62 win over Saratov away, an 80-107 loss to Lokomotiv Kuban away, and an 83-56 home victory over MBA Moscow. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Kazan winning six and Parma Perm four, though Parma Perm last beat Kazan 97-88 on 26 September 2026. The spread is 4.5 in favour of Parma Perm with a 46% chance of covering, the over line is 170.5 with a 40% probability of hitting, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Parma Perm winLost
33.8%fair 2.96
Best odds2.94
Implied31.9%
Edge+2.0pp
Unics Kazan winWon
66.2%fair 1.51
Best odds1.45
Implied68.1%
Edge-2.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 171.5.
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
50.3%
@ 1.56-8.5pp
Under 166.5
49.7%
@ 2.19+8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Over/Under 171.5 · main lineActual: Under 171.5
Over 171.5
38.3%
@ 1.90-12.0pp
Under 171.5
61.7%
@ 1.95+12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.95
Marathon Be
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Over/Under 176.5Actual: Under 176.5
Over 176.5
27.5%
Under 176.5
72.5%
@ 1.51
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.51
📊 3. Team Totals
Parma Perm total 79Actual: Parma Perm under 79
Over 79
57.0%
Under 79
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma Perm total 83 · main lineActual: Parma Perm under 83
Over 83
41.5%
@ 1.88-8.9pp
Under 83
58.5%
@ 1.90+8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Parma Perm total 87Actual: Parma Perm under 87
Over 87
27.5%
Under 87
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unics Kazan total 84.5Actual: Unics Kazan under 84.5
Over 84.5
55.8%
Under 84.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unics Kazan total 88.5 · main lineActual: Unics Kazan under 88.5
Over 88.5
40.5%
@ 1.86-9.9pp
Under 88.5
59.5%
@ 1.89+9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
Unics Kazan total 92.5Actual: Unics Kazan under 92.5
Over 92.5
26.5%
Under 92.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Parma Perm's side (positive = Parma Perm win). Pythia's expected margin is -5.0; Parma Perm win by 1+ in 29% of simulations.
Spread Parma Perm +2.5Actual: Unics Kazan -2.5
PPE +2.5
40.3%
@ 2.31+0.1pp
UKA -2.5
59.7%
@ 1.56-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Marathon Be
2.31
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.24
UKA
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Parma Perm +5.5 · main lineActual: Unics Kazan -5.5
PPE +5.5
50.5%
@ 1.92+0.8pp
UKA -5.5
49.5%
@ 1.94-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.79
UKA
1xBet
1.94
SBO
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
Spread Parma Perm +8.5Actual: Unics Kazan -8.5
PPE +8.5
60.8%
@ 1.66+5.8pp
UKA -8.5
39.2%
@ 2.31-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.53
UKA
1xBet
2.31
Marathon Be
2.22
Pinnacle
2.03
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Parma PermUnics Kazan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A29/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
27-16
27
16
+11
H03/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
20-17
20
17
+3
A26/09
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
W
25-17
25
17
+8
A10/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
31-14
31
14
+17
A13/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H17/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
D
14-14
14
14
+0
A27/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
23-13
23
13
+10
H03/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
18-23
18
23
-5
A07/11
VTB United League
40.5Avg total
22.2Scored
18.3Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 43
Last 30 (30)
20.6
19.5
40.1
+1.1
53%
23%
Last 30 at home (11)
20.1
18.5
38.6
+1.5
73%
18%
Last 30 away (19)
20.8
20.1
40.9
+0.8
42%
26%
Last 10 (10)
22.2
18.3
40.5
+3.9
60%
20%
Last 5 (5)
22.4
17.4
39.8
+5.0
60%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)
19.4
19.0
38.4
+0.4
50%
10%
vs Similar (9)
20.8
20.0
40.8
+0.8
44%
22%
vs Weaker (11)
21.5
19.5
41.0
+1.9
64%
36%
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Unics KazanLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H08/06
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H10/06
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
17-20
17
20
-3
H26/09
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H30/09
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
31-13
31
13
+18
H04/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
25-15
25
15
+10
A07/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H14/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
17-12
17
12
+5
H22/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A01/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
25-18
25
18
+7
A06/11
VTB United League
43.9Avg total
24.1Scored
19.8Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 43
Last 30 (30)
22.6
20.1
42.7
+2.5
60%
50%
Last 30 at home (19)
23.7
17.8
41.5
+5.9
74%
47%
Last 30 away (11)
20.6
24.2
44.8
-3.5
36%
55%
Last 10 (10)
24.1
19.8
43.9
+4.3
70%
60%
Last 5 (5)
22.4
19.8
42.2
+2.6
80%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
24.8
25.2
50.0
-0.5
25%
100%
vs Similar (9)
19.6
23.6
43.1
-4.0
44%
44%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)
23.7
17.1
40.8
+6.6
76%
41%
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 175.5
70.5%
1.58
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.57
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Parma Perm +11.5
70.1%
1.39
1xBet
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.34
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Lost
Unics Kazan +2.5
72.0%
1.28
1xBet
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.25
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Parma Perm +15.5
80.2%
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.23
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +15
79.8%
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Unics Kazan +5.5
79.6%
1.19
Marathon Bet
1.19
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Unics Kazan +5
79.1%
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.20
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 179.5
78.1%
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.38
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +14.5
78.0%
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 179
77.7%
1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +14
77.4%
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
-
-
-
-
-
Push
Unics Kazan +4.5
77.1%
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Unics Kazan +4
76.5%
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 178.5
76.4%
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 178
75.9%
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.43
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +13.5
75.5%
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Parma Perm +13
74.8%
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 177.5
74.5%
1.46
Marathon Bet
1.46
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Unics Kazan +3.5
74.4%
1.21
Marathon Bet
1.21
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 177
74.0%
1.48
Marathon Bet
1.48
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Unics Kazan +3
73.8%
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +12.5
72.9%
1.29
Marathon Bet
1.29
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 176.5
72.5%
1.51
Marathon Bet
1.51
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +12
72.1%
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.31
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 176
72.0%
1.53
Marathon Bet
1.53
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Unics Kazan +2
71.0%
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
Won
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They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Parma Perm: 78.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.8
19.5
49.0%
-
39.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.0
8.4
32.3%
-
25.2
🏀Free throws
18.9
14.3
75.7%
-
14.3
Their opponents take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Unics Kazantheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Unics Kazan: 70.1 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
36.3
17.5
48.2%
-
35.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
21.1
7.1
33.6%
-
21.3
🏀Free throws
17.9
13.8
77.1%
-
13.8
Their opponents take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Parma Perm: 75.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.1
18.6
50.2%
-
37.3
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.1
8.5
35.3%
-
25.5
🏀Free throws
16.0
12.4
77.3%
-
12.4
Their opponents take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Unics Kazantheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Unics Kazan: 70.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
35.6
17.7
49.8%
-
35.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
22.2
7.4
33.3%
-
22.2
🏀Free throws
16.6
12.9
77.7%
-
12.9
Their opponents take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parma Perm
LWLWLWLWLL
Unics Kazan
WLWWWWWLLL
#6
League position
#3
-6.1
Net rating
+4.7
98.6
Offensive rating
110.7
104.8
Defensive rating
106.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
33.5%
73.9%
Assist %
51.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%
Profile
■ Parma Perm■ Unics Kazan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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