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Partizan vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-76
18-17 12-25 24-18 17-16
Position#4
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#2
Record7-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2018
Meetings · Partizan v Cedevita
22 Dec 2018
PAR71
CED76
09 Dec 2017
PAR82
CED92
25 Mar 2017
PAR74
CED73
12 Nov 2016
PAR87
CED97
29 Feb 2016
PAR82
CED61
04 Jan 2015
PAR76
CED64
31 Mar 2014
PAR77
CED68
25 Nov 2012
PAR58
CED55
14 Mar 2012
PAR67
CED63
24 Oct 2010
PAR80
CED72
12 Dec 2009
PAR95
CED75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#21
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H06/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H10/11
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A14/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/11
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H21/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H24/11
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A08/12
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A11/12
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H15/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H19/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-7
14-25
20-17
20-22
23-23
22-17
24-16
17-11
22-20
22-20
10-18
17-17
16-26
14-14
22-14
19-21
18-22
18-12
12-18
13-17
22-15
19-23
10-20
20-19
30-24
17-20
28-21
22-19
17-12
20-20
19-25
22-18
17-22
26-20
25-20
15-15
25-21
18-11
23-22
21-18
152.3Avg total
78.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.080.8163.8+2.255%
Season at home (5)81.479.0160.4+2.460%
Season away (6)84.382.3166.7+2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.174.2152.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)83.277.0160.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.877.8149.6-6.020%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.579.1155.6-2.638%
vs Weaker (16)87.978.2166.1+9.769%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#23
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
Bosco
#12
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A23/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H25/11
ABA League
Zadar
#2
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A06/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H07/12
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A12/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
103-102
103
102
+1
A15/12
ABA League
Gorica
#6
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H17/12
Premijer liga
Tofas
#12
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H18/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A20/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
26-15
19-30
31-23
11-24
17-14
14-24
11-11
19-21
30-14
27-20
28-20
21-20
16-14
19-19
7-16
27-27
22-21
21-21
25-13
8-17
19-21
23-21
26-21
25-27
19-26
34-33
25-16
7-19
26-13
29-15
9-19
23-26
14-24
34-23
21-23
18-23
26-21
12-21
17-29
164.8Avg total
82.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.083.4172.4+5.664%
Season at home (6)88.779.5168.2+9.267%
Season away (5)89.488.0177.4+1.460%
Last 10 (10)82.482.4164.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.288.0170.2-5.833%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.073.6151.6+4.457%
vs Weaker (17)89.481.1170.5+8.476%
This opponent (Partizan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
PartizanCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#21
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/11
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/11
ABA League
Valencia
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/11
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/12
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A11/12
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H19/12
Eurocup
77.6Avg total
40.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.081.2+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.179.8+1.571%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.782.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.477.6+2.890%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.679.8+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.239.077.2-0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.039.278.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)42.940.483.3+2.662%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#23
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/11
Eurocup
Bosco
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H25/11
ABA League
Zadar
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H07/12
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/12
ABA League
Gorica
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H17/12
Premijer liga
Tofas
#12
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/12
Premijer liga
79.8Avg total
39.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.681.2+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.579.1+2.273%-
Last 30 away (15)42.640.783.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.679.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.242.883.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.039.178.1-0.171%-
vs Weaker (17)43.238.681.8+4.676%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.6
54.4%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
72.5%13.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.724.1
57.8%
51.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.210.0
43.1%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
72.5%16.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Partizan
WWWWLLLLWW
Cedevita
LLWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#2
+5.9
Net rating
+14.0
106.8
Offensive rating
124.2
100.9
Defensive rating
110.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
60.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.8%
Turnover %
13.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.9%
3-point %
43.1%
65.1%
Assist %
55.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 124.2Defence100.9 · 110.3Shooting53.6% · 60.2%3-point %34.9% · 43.1%Ball care19.8% · 13.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Partizan   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Partizan wins
7
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
29/09/18Cedevita v Partizan84-87
10/03/18Cedevita v Partizan85-75
09/12/17Partizan v Cedevita82-92
02/04/17Cedevita v Partizan87-78
25/03/17Partizan v Cedevita74-73
18/03/17Cedevita v Partizan83-76
12/02/17Cedevita v Partizan79-67
12/11/16Partizan v Cedevita87-97
29/02/16Partizan v Cedevita82-61
29/11/15Cedevita v Partizan75-72
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HTurk Telekom87-72
15/12/18HFMP Beograd83-77
11/12/18ALyon-Villeurbanne78-75
08/12/18AIgokea97-84
24/11/18HCrvena zvezda71-77
21/11/18HValencia61-69
18/11/18ABuducnost71-75
14/11/18AZenit Petersburg71-75
10/11/18HCibona86-67
06/11/18HTrento76-71
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/18ACibona73-94
18/12/18HTofas92-96
17/12/18HGorica71-66
15/12/18AMornar Bar103-102
12/12/18ALokomotiv Kuban76-80
07/12/18HPetrol Olimpija95-82
06/12/18AZadar63-69
25/11/18HKK Krka Novo mesto104-75
23/11/18ABosco53-73
21/11/18HGdynia94-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Partizan
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game83.081.484.3
Allowed / game80.879.082.3
Point differential+2.2+2.4+2.0
Avg total163.8160.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game89.088.789.4
Allowed / game83.479.588.0
Point differential+5.6+9.2+1.4
Avg total172.4168.2177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda12120100%85.968.8+17.2
2 Buducnost118373%81.474.8+6.5
3 Cedevita117464%89.083.4+5.6
4 Mega Bemax117464%81.079.5+1.5
5 Partizan116555%83.080.8+2.2
6 FMP Beograd125742%81.182.6-1.5
7 Cibona125742%77.782.6-4.9
8 Petrol Olimpija114736%80.583.9-3.4
9 Igokea114736%85.990.6-4.7
10 Zadar124833%83.286.8-3.6
11 Mornar Bar113827%84.991.2-6.3
12 KK Krka Novo mesto113827%74.683.9-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Partizan1812241771
Cedevita1725181676
← all games of the day
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