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Pau-Orthez vs ASA Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-74
20-24 16-16 14-16 21-18
Position#8
Record23-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.1
vs
ASA 🏆
France
Position#5
Record22-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game79.8
FrancePro BPro B - Quarter-finals· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v ASA
04 Oct 2025
POR75
ASA69
20 May 2025
POR71
ASA74
04 Apr 2025
POR81
ASA76
15 Oct 2023
POR71
ASA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ASA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
124avg 95
A21/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
98avg 95
H28/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
94avg 95
H04/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
108avg 95
H11/04
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
106avg 95
A19/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
103-100
103
100
+3
113avg 95
H25/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
68avg 95
A29/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
82avg 95
A02/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
100avg 95
H09/05
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
94avg 95
A13/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-22
18-13
18-24
23-20
21-20
18-20
19-17
19-16
21-12
24-25
17-23
32-12
17-19
29-19
15-28
28-18
21-21
18-24
17-21
25-27
29-30
21-26
28-17
25-20
9-21
18-13
11-30
16-31
16-22
23-16
20-20
20-16
21-20
23-21
23-23
10-16
15-21
20-14
25-19
168.1Avg total
85.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.081.1164.2+1.961%
Season at home (19)80.979.1159.9+1.863%
Season away (19)85.283.2168.4+1.958%
Last 10 (10)85.183.0168.1+2.180%
Last 5 (5)81.885.4167.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.091.0177.0-5.067%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.784.4168.1-0.657%
vs Weaker (10)84.575.2159.7+9.370%
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
99avg 94
A22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
69-56
69
56
+13
77avg 94
H28/03
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
82avg 94
A04/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
108avg 94
H08/04
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
74-68
74
68
+6
83avg 94
H11/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
79-83
79
83
-4
85avg 94
A18/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
99avg 94
H27/04
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
93-87
93
87
+6
112avg 94
A02/05
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
75-57
75
57
+18
97avg 94
H09/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
68-71
68
71
-3
77avg 94
A13/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-12
17-17
18-18
11-14
20-7
18-15
20-20
16-19
12-21
25-24
23-17
20-26
24-17
28-13
18-25
22-15
17-22
19-16
16-15
23-26
21-17
18-13
17-27
30-16
20-16
17-30
14-21
21-21
24-29
21-14
27-23
21-15
14-15
24-15
16-12
19-16
18-20
11-18
20-17
155.6Avg total
79.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.679.8163.4+3.958%
Season at home (19)84.177.8161.8+6.374%
Season away (19)83.281.7164.9+1.542%
Last 10 (10)79.576.1155.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)79.276.2155.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.378.7159.0+1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.980.9161.9+0.043%
vs Weaker (13)83.572.5156.1+11.085%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
Pau-OrthezASA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A21/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H11/04
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H25/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/05
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A13/05
Pro B
81.3Avg total
41.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.082.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.781.1+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)42.342.584.8-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.381.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.882.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.743.787.3+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.641.782.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker (10)42.438.480.8+4.060%-
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H28/03
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/04
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/04
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A02/05
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H09/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/05
Pro B
75.3Avg total
38.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.580.0+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.338.379.6+3.076%-
Last 30 away (13)39.541.080.5-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.675.3+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.280.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.745.082.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.939.979.7+0.057%-
vs Weaker (13)41.837.879.6+4.177%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.7
53.5%
52.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.0
34.4%
33.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
73.2%13.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
52.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.414.5
67.8%
73.2%14.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWLLWWWWWW
ASA
LWWLLWWLWL
#8
League position
#5
+2.7
Net rating
+4.6
104.5
Offensive rating
105.8
101.8
Defensive rating
101.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.4%
3-point %
31.9%
68.1%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 105.8Defence101.8 · 101.2Shooting52.7% · 52.0%3-point %34.4% · 31.9%Ball care19.6% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 33.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ ASA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pau-Orthez wins
1
ASA wins
DateGameScore
04/04/25Pau-Orthez v ASA81-76
29/11/24ASA v Pau-Orthez78-83
28/04/24ASA v Pau-Orthez85-67
15/10/23Pau-Orthez v ASA71-66
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25AAntibes81-74 OT
09/05/25HAda Blois87-80
02/05/25ADenain-Voltaire75-89
29/04/25ABoulazac63-84
25/04/25HAix Maurienne103-100
19/04/25AOrleans92-90 OT
11/04/25HPoitiers93-78
04/04/25HASA81-76
28/03/25HChalons-Reims81-77
21/03/25AEvreux95-82 OT
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25AChalons-Reims68-71
09/05/25HNantes75-57
02/05/25AHyeres-Toulon93-87
27/04/25HDenain-Voltaire81-83
18/04/25AAix Maurienne79-83
11/04/25HChartres74-68
08/04/25HAntibes90-81
04/04/25APau-Orthez76-81
28/03/25HBoulazac69-56
22/03/25AOrleans90-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWWWW63%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %61%63%58%
Points / game83.080.985.2
Allowed / game81.179.183.2
Point differential+1.9+1.8+1.9
Avg total164.2159.9168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%16%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)73% (11)75% (8)
Overtime %16%0%32%
ASA
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWWLW74%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %58%74%42%
Points / game83.684.183.2
Allowed / game79.877.881.7
Point differential+3.9+6.3+1.5
Avg total163.4161.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%26%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won26% (19)44% (9)10% (10)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Portel110100%74.066.0+8.0
2 Boulazac3829976%82.074.1+8.0
3 Ada Blois38281074%87.978.4+9.6
4 Orleans39261367%83.679.4+4.2
5 Pau-Orthez38231561%83.081.1+1.9
6 Roanne39231659%86.082.4+3.6
7 ASA38221658%83.679.8+3.9
8 Vichy40231757%81.777.8+3.9
9 Aix Maurienne40221855%90.389.0+1.4
10 Poitiers40221855%83.282.8+0.5
11 Antibes39211854%80.880.0+0.8
12 St. Chamond38191950%87.686.4+1.1
13 Denain-Voltaire38191950%82.381.6+0.7
14 Rouen38182047%81.480.4+1.1
15 Caen38172145%77.381.1-3.7
16 Chalons-Reims38162242%80.184.4-4.3
17 Nantes38142437%80.483.8-3.3
18 Evreux38122632%79.684.1-4.4
19 Hyeres-Toulon38112729%75.181.9-6.8
20 Fos-sur-Mer38102826%74.382.4-8.1
21 Chartres3892924%76.987.5-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 21 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2016142171
ASA2416161874
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