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Pau-Orthez vs ASA Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-76
19-16 21-12 24-25 17-23
Position#8
Record17-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#5
Record18-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game80.7
FrancePro BRound 31· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v ASA
04 Oct 2025
POR75
ASA69
20 May 2025
POR71
ASA74
04 Apr 2025
POR81
ASA76
15 Oct 2023
POR71
ASA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ASA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Caen
#15
W
98-64
98
64
+34
113avg 93
A24/01
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
99-73
99
73
+26
120avg 93
A31/01
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
75-80
75
80
-5
83avg 93
H04/02
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
86avg 93
A07/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
92-78
92
78
+14
104avg 93
H28/02
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
112avg 93
A07/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
71-74
71
74
-3
79avg 93
H11/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
93avg 93
A14/03
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
124avg 93
A21/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
98avg 93
H28/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
21-18
26-12
23-12
29-20
30-17
18-19
22-17
24-21
16-19
14-18
21-22
18-24
23-13
21-22
13-28
19-19
22-20
25-16
26-23
16-21
28-20
17-26
29-23
23-23
11-14
14-25
23-12
18-23
18-26
23-25
21-16
21-19
21-22
18-13
18-24
23-20
21-20
18-20
19-17
166.8Avg total
86.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.780.4163.1+2.357%
Season at home (15)78.277.9156.1+0.353%
Season away (15)87.182.9170.1+4.260%
Last 10 (10)86.680.2166.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)85.484.0169.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.595.5187.0-4.075%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.982.6161.5-3.733%
vs Weaker (13)84.277.7161.8+6.562%
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
90avg 95
H31/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
95avg 95
A04/02
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
100avg 95
A07/02
Pro B
JL Bourg
#15
L
64-65
64
65
-1
46avg 95
H12/02
French Cup
Roanne
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
96avg 95
H28/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
86avg 95
A08/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
86-80
86
80
+6
107avg 95
H14/03
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
80avg 95
H18/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
99avg 95
A22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
69-56
69
56
+13
77avg 95
H28/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
28-22
16-11
23-22
23-25
15-12
23-20
20-19
16-23
23-17
23-18
27-16
22-9
13-22
16-14
13-20
29-19
16-21
18-21
20-13
15-17
24-34
19-16
17-13
15-20
25-19
27-20
19-21
18-18
22-18
25-19
15-22
16-22
18-12
17-17
18-18
11-14
20-7
18-15
20-20
154.6Avg total
79.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.780.7165.4+4.160%
Season at home (15)85.179.3164.4+5.973%
Season away (15)84.382.1166.4+2.347%
Last 10 (10)79.675.0154.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)80.077.4157.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.576.0152.5+0.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.983.5168.4+1.457%
vs Weaker (12)86.375.0161.3+11.383%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
Pau-OrthezASA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caen
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A24/01
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A31/01
Pro B
Chartres
#21
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/02
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/02
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/03
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A21/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Pro B
83.1Avg total
43.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.639.277.8-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)43.742.085.7+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.183.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.681.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.846.293.0+0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.240.678.8-2.342%-
vs Weaker (13)42.439.481.8+3.062%-
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/02
Pro B
JL Bourg
#15
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
French Cup
Roanne
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A08/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/03
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H28/03
Pro B
75.1Avg total
38.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.182.2+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.481.1+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)42.640.983.6+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.075.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.242.280.5-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.641.483.0+0.350%-
vs Weaker (12)43.938.081.9+5.983%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.4%
52.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.5
37.5%
33.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.416.8
78.5%
73.2%16.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
52.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
33.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
73.2%16.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWLLWWLLWW
ASA
WLWWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#5
+8.7
Net rating
+6.7
111.9
Offensive rating
105.7
103.2
Defensive rating
99.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.5%
3-point %
32.6%
71.4%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 105.7Defence103.2 · 99.0Shooting54.1% · 51.5%3-point %37.5% · 32.6%Ball care19.5% · 20.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ ASA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pau-Orthez wins
1
ASA wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24ASA v Pau-Orthez78-83
28/04/24ASA v Pau-Orthez85-67
15/10/23Pau-Orthez v ASA71-66
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HChalons-Reims81-77
21/03/25AEvreux95-82 OT
14/03/25ASt. Chamond80-90
11/03/25HRouen71-74
07/03/25ARoanne100-97 OT
28/02/25HFos-sur-Mer92-78
07/02/25AVichy75-87
04/02/25HChartres75-80
31/01/25AHyeres-Toulon99-73
24/01/25ACaen98-64
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HBoulazac69-56
22/03/25AOrleans90-94 OT
18/03/25HCaen80-77
14/03/25HFos-sur-Mer86-80
08/03/25AAda Blois75-80
28/02/25HRoanne83-74
12/02/25HJL Bourg64-65
07/02/25APoitiers89-74
04/02/25ASt. Chamond81-76
31/01/25HEvreux79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLWLW53%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%53%60%
Points / game82.778.287.1
Allowed / game80.477.982.9
Point differential+2.3+0.3+4.2
Avg total163.1156.1170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%13%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)67% (9)71% (7)
Overtime %13%0%27%
ASA
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%73%47%
Points / game84.785.184.3
Allowed / game80.779.382.1
Point differential+4.1+5.9+2.3
Avg total165.4164.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)50% (8)14% (7)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orleans3022873%83.978.7+5.3
2 Boulazac3122971%80.073.6+6.4
3 Ada Blois3021970%87.180.0+7.1
4 Roanne31191261%85.982.5+3.4
5 ASA30181260%84.780.7+4.1
6 Aix Maurienne31181358%89.086.4+2.6
7 Poitiers31181358%83.981.7+2.2
8 Pau-Orthez30171357%82.780.4+2.3
9 Antibes30161453%79.679.6-0.0
10 St. Chamond29151452%86.284.6+1.6
11 Caen29151452%77.280.0-2.9
12 Rouen31151648%82.679.8+2.7
13 Denain-Voltaire31151648%80.979.5+1.4
14 Vichy30141647%79.478.6+0.7
15 Nantes31131842%81.983.9-2.0
16 Chalons-Reims31131842%80.584.4-3.9
17 Hyeres-Toulon31102132%74.380.5-6.3
18 Evreux3182326%79.284.7-5.5
19 Fos-sur-Mer3182326%73.581.3-7.8
20 Chartres3182326%77.788.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1921241781
ASA1612252376
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