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ASA vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-57
21-15 14-15 24-15 16-12
Position#5
Record21-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.6
ASA 🏆
France
vs
Position#17
Record14-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.9
FrancePro BRound 37· Espace Sport La Forêt
Other2024-25
Meetings · ASA v Nantes
23 Jan 2026
ASA80
NANT96
09 May 2025
ASA75
NANT57
12 Apr 2024
ASA100
NANT77
07 Mar 2023
ASA88
NANT65
12 Nov 2021
ASA73
NANT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
86-80
86
80
+6
107avg 94
H14/03
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
80avg 94
H18/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
99avg 94
A22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
69-56
69
56
+13
77avg 94
H28/03
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
82avg 94
A04/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
108avg 94
H08/04
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
74-68
74
68
+6
83avg 94
H11/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
79-83
79
83
-4
85avg 94
A18/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
99avg 94
H27/04
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
93-87
93
87
+6
112avg 94
A02/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
25-19
27-20
19-21
18-18
22-18
25-19
15-22
16-22
18-12
17-17
18-18
11-14
20-7
18-15
20-20
16-19
12-21
25-24
23-17
20-26
24-17
28-13
18-25
22-15
17-22
19-16
16-15
23-26
21-17
18-13
17-27
30-16
20-16
17-30
14-21
21-21
24-29
21-14
27-23
160.8Avg total
81.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.380.6164.9+3.758%
Season at home (18)84.678.9163.5+5.672%
Season away (18)84.182.3166.4+1.744%
Last 10 (10)81.879.0160.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)83.480.4163.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.378.7159.0+1.733%
vs Similar (15)81.781.1162.9+0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.374.1158.4+10.283%
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
89avg 93
A11/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
88-96
88
96
-8
100avg 93
H14/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
98avg 93
A21/03
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
74-84
74
84
-10
90avg 93
H28/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
106avg 93
A04/04
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
95avg 93
H08/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
65-87
65
87
-22
70avg 93
A11/04
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
103avg 93
H18/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
67-76
67
76
-9
75avg 93
H25/04
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
76avg 93
A02/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
24-17
17-11
20-16
26-23
23-30
12-19
27-24
22-12
23-23
24-24
16-16
20-31
18-26
21-21
15-6
15-13
19-16
33-19
21-27
23-26
24-25
15-18
20-18
17-22
8-23
20-19
20-23
18-18
29-19
26-24
18-21
20-20
14-22
15-19
18-15
24-24
18-26
14-22
17-16
161.4Avg total
79.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.083.9164.9-2.939%
Season at home (18)83.683.1166.7+0.639%
Season away (18)78.484.7163.2-6.339%
Last 10 (10)79.182.3161.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)75.684.0159.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.982.8160.8-4.938%
vs Similar (11)84.985.2170.1-0.345%
vs Weaker (3)85.076.7161.7+8.367%
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
ASANantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/03
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H28/03
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/04
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/04
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A02/05
Pro B
77.0Avg total
39.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.081.0+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.638.680.3+3.076%-
Last 30 away (13)40.241.882.0-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.577.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.085.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.745.082.7-7.333%-
vs Similar (15)40.340.380.6-0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.838.481.2+4.375%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H28/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A04/04
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A11/04
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/04
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A02/05
Pro B
84.7Avg total
40.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.384.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.944.086.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.581.8-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.584.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.084.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.941.880.7-2.938%-
vs Similar (11)44.745.590.3-0.836%-
vs Weaker (3)39.342.782.0-3.333%-
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.5
54.7%
52.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.6
35.2%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
73.2%14.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.5
29.0%
33.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.618.0
73.2%
73.2%18.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ASA
WLLWWLWLWW
Nantes
LLWLLWLWLW
#5
League position
#17
+4.3
Net rating
-2.9
109.7
Offensive rating
104.2
105.3
Defensive rating
107.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.2%
3-point %
29.0%
59.8%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 104.2Defence105.3 · 107.1Shooting54.0% · 50.7%3-point %35.2% · 29.0%Ball care19.8% · 20.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ ASA   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
ASA wins
3
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
11/10/24Nantes v ASA85-97
12/04/24ASA v Nantes100-77
12/01/24Nantes v ASA84-71
07/03/23ASA v Nantes88-65
23/12/22Nantes v ASA80-83
24/04/22Nantes v ASA82-71
12/11/21ASA v Nantes73-87
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25AHyeres-Toulon93-87
27/04/25HDenain-Voltaire81-83
18/04/25AAix Maurienne79-83
11/04/25HChartres74-68
08/04/25HAntibes90-81
04/04/25APau-Orthez76-81
28/03/25HBoulazac69-56
22/03/25AOrleans90-94 OT
18/03/25HCaen80-77
14/03/25HFos-sur-Mer86-80
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25ARoanne73-88
25/04/25HAda Blois67-76
18/04/25HVichy91-82
11/04/25AAntibes65-87
08/04/25HCaen82-87
04/04/25AAix Maurienne88-75
28/03/25HChartres74-84
21/03/25ADenain-Voltaire85-75
14/03/25HChalons-Reims88-96
11/03/25AHyeres-Toulon78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ASA
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWWWL72%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %58%72%44%
Points / game84.384.684.1
Allowed / game80.678.982.3
Point differential+3.7+5.6+1.7
Avg total164.9163.5166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won28% (18)44% (9)11% (9)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeLLLWL39%
AwayWWWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %39%39%39%
Points / game81.083.678.4
Allowed / game83.983.184.7
Point differential-2.9+0.6-6.3
Avg total164.9166.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)29% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois3627975%87.478.1+9.4
2 Boulazac3627975%81.873.7+8.1
3 Orleans36241267%83.179.0+4.2
4 Roanne37231462%86.682.6+4.1
5 ASA36211558%84.380.6+3.7
6 Pau-Orthez36211558%83.081.4+1.6
7 Aix Maurienne37211657%89.587.5+1.9
8 Antibes37211657%80.779.4+1.3
9 Poitiers37211657%83.181.9+1.2
10 Vichy37201754%81.178.5+2.5
11 St. Chamond37191851%87.885.7+2.1
12 Rouen37181949%81.580.0+1.5
13 Denain-Voltaire37181949%81.781.2+0.4
14 Caen37172046%77.481.0-3.7
15 Chalons-Reims37152241%80.484.8-4.5
16 Nantes36142239%81.083.9-2.9
17 Hyeres-Toulon36112531%75.381.6-6.3
18 Evreux36102628%78.984.3-5.4
19 Fos-sur-Mer3792824%74.082.4-8.4
20 Chartres3792824%76.887.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ASA2114241675
Nantes1515151257
← all games of the day
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