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Pau-Orthez vs ASA Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-69
21-11 12-24 24-18 18-16
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.0
FrancePro BRound 4· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v ASA
04 Oct 2025
POR75
ASA69
20 May 2025
POR71
ASA74
04 Apr 2025
POR81
ASA76
15 Oct 2023
POR71
ASA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ASA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
68avg 94
A29/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
82avg 94
A02/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
100avg 94
H09/05
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
94avg 94
A13/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
79avg 94
H20/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
68avg 94
A23/05
Pro B
Marmande
#63
W
112-72
112
72
+40
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Challans
#21
W
77-67
77
67
+10
88avg 94
H19/09
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
82-61
82
61
+21
101avg 94
H26/09
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
104avg 94
A30/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
9-21
18-13
11-30
16-31
16-22
23-16
20-20
20-16
21-20
23-21
23-23
10-16
15-21
20-14
25-19
20-24
16-16
14-16
21-18
18-21
14-18
18-24
18-26
–
–
–
–
15-11
18-22
19-19
25-15
22-11
19-14
21-21
20-15
29-17
25-18
22-20
14-21
157.2Avg total
80.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.068.0151.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)79.564.0143.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)90.076.0166.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.676.6157.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)85.873.0158.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.289.5168.8-10.250%
vs Similar (16)83.282.8166.1+0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.073.1159.1+12.989%
This opponent (ASA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Vichy
#6
W
75-65
75
65
+10
88avg 92
H30/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
81avg 92
A02/06
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
70-61
70
61
+9
79avg 92
H05/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
L
60-78
60
78
-18
69avg 92
A08/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
W
83-81
83
81
+2
95avg 92
H11/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
48avg 92
A14/06
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#20
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
83avg 92
A19/09
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
78avg 92
H26/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
82-96
82
96
-14
99avg 92
A30/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
28-19
10-15
15-16
16-18
24-25
22-22
13-16
19-13
14-17
21-15
16-16
10-17
16-13
13-27
21-21
22-15
19-23
23-22
19-21
12-22
10-14
13-20
12-13
–
–
–
–
21-23
18-18
21-11
16-17
24-27
20-17
14-24
25-16
15-21
22-28
25-28
20-19
148.9Avg total
72.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.383.0163.3-2.733%
Season at home (1)83.084.0167.0-1.00%
Season away (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)72.176.8148.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)71.680.4152.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.574.7144.2-5.233%
vs Similar (15)80.777.1157.8+3.560%
vs Weaker (8)77.472.4149.8+5.075%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Pau-OrthezASA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/05
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A13/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/05
Pro B
Challans
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/09
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/09
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A30/09
Pro B
74.1Avg total
36.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.839.981.7+1.952%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.379.9+3.447%-
Last 30 away (14)41.941.683.5+0.257%-
Last 10 (9)36.437.774.1-1.233%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.473.6+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.845.087.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (16)41.040.181.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.737.279.9+5.467%-
This opponent (ASA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/06
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H05/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/06
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/09
Pro B
Roanne
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A30/09
Pro B
75.2Avg total
36.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.437.776.1+0.759%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.435.275.6+5.287%-
Last 30 away (14)36.340.476.7-4.129%-
Last 10 (9)36.938.375.2-1.433%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.678.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.836.770.5-2.833%-
vs Similar (15)40.038.378.3+1.760%-
vs Weaker (8)38.937.576.4+1.475%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.7
50.3%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.7
30.9%
32.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.712.3
62.4%
71.4%12.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.76.9
26.8%
32.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
71.4%15.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWWWLLWWLL
ASA
LLWLLWLWLW
#2
League position
#12
-0.3
Net rating
-1.7
103.8
Offensive rating
113.6
104.1
Defensive rating
115.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
9.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.9%
3-point %
26.8%
64.1%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 113.6Defence104.1 · 115.3Shooting48.5% · 48.5%3-point %30.9% · 26.8%Ball care16.0% · 9.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ ASA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pau-Orthez wins
3
ASA wins
DateGameScore
23/05/25ASA v Pau-Orthez89-68
20/05/25Pau-Orthez v ASA71-74
04/04/25Pau-Orthez v ASA81-76
29/11/24ASA v Pau-Orthez78-83
28/04/24ASA v Pau-Orthez85-67
15/10/23Pau-Orthez v ASA71-66
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25ANantes90-76
26/09/25HOrleans82-61
19/09/25HChallans77-67
13/09/25AMarmande112-72
23/05/25AASA68-89
20/05/25HASA71-74
13/05/25AAntibes81-74 OT
09/05/25HAda Blois87-80
02/05/25ADenain-Voltaire75-89
29/04/25ABoulazac63-84
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25ASt. Chamond82-96
26/09/25HRoanne83-84
19/09/25ADenain-Voltaire76-69
13/09/25AChalons-Reims70-84
14/06/25ALe Portel47-69
11/06/25HLe Portel83-81
08/06/25ALe Portel60-78
05/06/25HVichy70-61
02/06/25AVichy75-81
30/05/25HVichy75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.079.590.0
Allowed / game68.064.076.0
Point differential+15.0+15.5+14.0
Avg total151.0143.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
ASA
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game80.383.079.0
Allowed / game83.084.082.5
Point differential-2.7-1.0-3.5
Avg total163.3167.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pau-Orthez330100%83.068.0+15.0
2 Denain-Voltaire43175%79.071.2+7.8
3 Roanne43175%82.578.5+4.0
4 Vichy43175%78.076.0+2.0
5 Ada Blois43175%77.276.0+1.2
6 La Rochelle32167%78.369.7+8.7
7 Antibes32167%87.080.7+6.3
8 Orleans32167%80.381.7-1.3
9 Hyeres-Toulon42250%83.079.8+3.2
10 Chalons-Reims42250%80.580.8-0.2
11 Rouen42250%78.880.0-1.2
12 Nantes42250%80.285.0-4.8
13 Caen31233%75.077.0-2.0
14 ASA31233%80.383.0-2.7
15 Aix Maurienne31233%76.082.0-6.0
16 Quimper31233%76.782.7-6.0
17 St. Chamond41325%87.087.0+0.0
18 Poitiers41325%78.880.2-1.5
19 Evreux41325%74.084.5-10.5
20 Challans4040%74.583.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2112241875
ASA1124181669
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