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Nantes vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-90
17-29 18-25 20-22 21-14
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.0
FrancePro BRound 3· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nantes v Pau-Orthez
30 Sep 2025
NANT76
POR90
01 Oct 2024
NANT84
POR89
09 Feb 2024
NANT73
POR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Caen
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
95avg 93
H08/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
65-87
65
87
-22
70avg 93
A11/04
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
103avg 93
H18/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
67-76
67
76
-9
75avg 93
H25/04
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
76avg 93
A02/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
57-75
57
75
-18
62avg 93
A09/05
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
96avg 93
H13/05
Pro B
Rennes
#35
W
92-91
92
91
+1
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Orleans
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
79avg 93
H19/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
108avg 93
A26/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
24-25
15-18
20-18
17-22
8-23
20-19
20-23
18-18
29-19
26-24
18-21
20-20
14-22
15-19
18-15
24-24
18-26
14-22
17-16
15-21
15-14
15-24
12-16
18-28
11-21
22-19
31-20
20-32
24-21
26-24
22-14
11-31
16-19
30-23
15-14
27-24
27-24
24-21
17-23
162.9Avg total
77.6Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.589.5173.0-6.050%
Season at home (1)72.087.0159.0-15.00%
Season away (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.685.3162.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)79.686.6166.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.382.5159.7-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.486.8173.2-0.450%
vs Weaker (2)77.580.0157.5-2.550%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
103-100
103
100
+3
113avg 94
H25/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
68avg 94
A29/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
82avg 94
A02/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
100avg 94
H09/05
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
94avg 94
A13/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
79avg 94
H20/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
68avg 94
A23/05
Pro B
Marmande
#63
W
112-72
112
72
+40
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Challans
#21
W
77-67
77
67
+10
88avg 94
H19/09
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
82-61
82
61
+21
101avg 94
H26/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
29-30
21-26
28-17
25-20
9-21
18-13
11-30
16-31
16-22
23-16
20-20
20-16
21-20
23-21
23-23
10-16
15-21
20-14
25-19
20-24
16-16
14-16
21-18
18-21
14-18
18-24
18-26
–
–
–
–
15-11
18-22
19-19
25-15
22-11
19-14
21-21
20-15
160.9Avg total
81.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.564.0143.5+15.5100%
Season at home (2)79.564.0143.5+15.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.979.0160.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)82.072.6154.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.289.5168.8-10.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.883.3166.1-0.553%
vs Weaker (10)84.673.4158.0+11.280%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
NantesPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caen
#15
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/04
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A11/04
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/04
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A02/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A09/05
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H13/05
Pro B
Rennes
#35
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A13/09
French Cup
Orleans
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H19/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/09
Pro B
83.9Avg total
37.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.785.4-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.346.487.6-5.129%-
Last 30 away (16)40.143.283.4-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.946.083.9-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.083.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.441.980.3-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.046.890.8-2.842%-
vs Weaker (2)36.049.085.0-13.00%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H25/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/05
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A13/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/05
Pro B
Challans
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/09
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/09
Pro B
76.6Avg total
36.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.040.181.2+0.948%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.579.6+2.644%-
Last 30 away (13)40.942.283.1-1.254%-
Last 10 (9)36.440.176.6-3.722%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.868.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.845.087.8-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.140.580.6-0.347%-
vs Weaker (10)41.737.779.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.5
57.6%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.9
27.9%
32.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.415.3
68.3%
71.4%15.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.5
30.6%
32.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.312.5
61.6%
71.4%12.5
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WLWLLLLWLL
Pau-Orthez
WWWLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#2
-7.7
Net rating
-1.8
104.3
Offensive rating
102.3
112.1
Defensive rating
104.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.9%
3-point %
30.6%
63.5%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 102.3Defence112.1 · 104.1Shooting51.2% · 48.5%3-point %27.9% · 30.6%Ball care18.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nantes   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nantes wins
4
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Pau-Orthez v Nantes73-70
01/10/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez84-89
09/02/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez73-77
19/01/24Pau-Orthez v Nantes89-78
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ASt. Chamond95-92
19/09/25HOrleans72-87
13/09/25ARennes92-91
13/05/25HPoitiers82-88
09/05/25AASA57-75
02/05/25ARoanne73-88
25/04/25HAda Blois67-76
18/04/25HVichy91-82
11/04/25AAntibes65-87
08/04/25HCaen82-87
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25HOrleans82-61
19/09/25HChallans77-67
13/09/25AMarmande112-72
23/05/25AASA68-89
20/05/25HASA71-74
13/05/25AAntibes81-74 OT
09/05/25HAda Blois87-80
02/05/25ADenain-Voltaire75-89
29/04/25ABoulazac63-84
25/04/25HAix Maurienne103-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.572.095.0
Allowed / game89.587.092.0
Point differential-6.0-15.0+3.0
Avg total173.0159.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.579.5-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+15.5+15.5-
Avg total143.5143.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pau-Orthez220100%79.564.0+15.5
2 Ada Blois220100%86.575.0+11.5
3 Antibes220100%85.075.0+10.0
4 Vichy220100%77.570.0+7.5
5 Roanne330100%79.773.7+6.0
6 Hyeres-Toulon21150%84.080.0+4.0
7 ASA21150%79.576.5+3.0
8 Quimper21150%80.077.5+2.5
9 Denain-Voltaire21150%77.075.0+2.0
10 La Rochelle21150%73.073.0+0.0
11 Caen21150%74.576.0-1.5
12 Orleans21150%74.077.0-3.0
13 Chalons-Reims21150%71.074.5-3.5
14 Nantes21150%83.589.5-6.0
15 Rouen31233%75.778.0-2.3
16 St. Chamond2020%86.590.0-3.5
17 Poitiers2020%79.087.5-8.5
18 Challans2020%70.581.0-10.5
19 Aix Maurienne2020%71.083.5-12.5
20 Evreux2020%72.084.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes1718202176
Pau-Orthez2925221490
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