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Pau-Orthez vs Nancy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-83
19-17 23-21 7-18 24-27
Position#17
Record11-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Nancy 🏆
France
Position#13
Record11-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.8
FranceLNBRound 32
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Nancy
06 Mar 2027
POR v NAC
upcoming
06 May 2023
POR73
NAC83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nancy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 79
A14/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
H18/03
French Cup
Ada Blois
#16
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
no box
H25/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
64-85
64
85
-21
no box
A28/03
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
78avg 79
A01/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
68avg 79
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 79
A15/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 79
H23/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 79
H25/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A28/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
21-16
18-19
19-21
17-23
20-24
16-30
25-21
27-20
16-20
12-11
16-20
22-22
17-17
16-13
9-33
14-17
23-21
26-20
26-23
20-17
16-29
13-21
23-27
10-18
15-24
19-20
14-8
16-14
31-26
12-19
28-20
21-24
24-24
22-16
20-19
20-25
19-17
9-19
20-19
158.4Avg total
75.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.982.8161.6-3.935%
Season at home (15)80.178.9159.1+1.253%
Season away (16)77.786.4164.1-8.719%
Last 10 (10)75.383.1158.4-7.830%
Last 5 (5)74.481.2155.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.984.4164.2-4.535%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.583.8163.3-4.231%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNancy
Date
Competition
Limoges
#15
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 78
A04/03
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
91avg 78
A10/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A25/03
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 78
A28/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
70avg 78
H01/04
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
101avg 78
H08/04
LNB
Paris
#10
L
91-99
91
99
-8
69avg 78
A15/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 78
H18/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 78
H25/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 78
H30/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-16
16-18
21-26
17-22
18-30
22-22
30-19
16-24
23-19
20-22
16-16
29-9
13-21
14-22
22-23
15-28
20-20
22-28
25-20
28-15
28-24
20-19
24-22
33-19
18-27
20-31
20-22
12-27
21-18
23-25
22-21
19-20
24-23
19-11
18-18
17-16
19-22
26-19
21-27
168.3Avg total
83.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.784.8166.6-3.135%
Season at home (16)85.182.6167.7+2.456%
Season away (15)78.287.2165.4-9.013%
Last 10 (10)83.085.3168.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)86.485.2171.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.285.3166.6-4.122%
vs Similar ◀ (20)83.383.3166.6-0.050%
vs Weaker (1)53.089.0142.0-36.00%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Pau-OrthezNancy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A14/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/03
French Cup
Ada Blois
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/03
LNB
Limoges
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A15/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H25/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/04
LNB
80.1Avg total
38.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.981.9-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.583.1+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.442.380.7-3.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.080.1-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.682.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.042.982.9-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.040.580.5-0.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/03
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/03
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A28/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H01/04
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H08/04
LNB
Paris
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A15/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H18/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H25/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/04
LNB
83.1Avg total
40.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.384.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.882.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.645.786.3-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.283.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.344.987.2-2.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.542.584.0-0.950%-
vs Weaker (1)29.045.074.0-16.00%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.4
55.2%
53.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.4
30.1%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.211.2
73.7%
75.2%11.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.4
56.6%
53.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
35.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.1
69.1%
75.2%14.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LWWLLWLLLL
Nancy
LWLLWLWLLL
#17
League position
#13
-7.6
Net rating
-3.3
104.9
Offensive rating
109.1
112.5
Defensive rating
112.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.1%
3-point %
32.8%
62.8%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 109.1Defence112.5 · 112.4Shooting51.3% · 53.8%3-point %30.1% · 32.8%Ball care18.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Nancy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pau-Orthez wins
1
Nancy wins
DateGameScore
15/10/22Nancy v Pau-Orthez88-81
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23ADijon68-80
25/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne87-83
23/04/23HJL Bourg87-79
15/04/23AGravelines-Dunkerque58-70
09/04/23HMonaco72-94
01/04/23ALimoges89-81
28/03/23ANanterre64-85
25/03/23HAda Blois80-83 OT
18/03/23HMonaco78-98
14/03/23ALe Portel70-78
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne83-84
25/04/23HStrasbourg80-72
18/04/23HDijon78-91
15/04/23AParis91-99
08/04/23HLe Mans100-80
01/04/23HJL Bourg82-96
28/03/23AAda Blois78-75
25/03/23ANanterre75-81
10/03/23ABoulogne-Levallois87-93
04/03/23ALimoges76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLWW53%
AwayLLWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%53%19%
Points / game78.980.177.7
Allowed / game82.878.986.4
Point differential-3.9+1.2-8.7
Avg total161.6159.1164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)43% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Nancy
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeLWLWL56%
AwayLLLWL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%56%13%
Points / game81.785.178.2
Allowed / game84.882.687.2
Point differential-3.1+2.4-9.0
Avg total166.6167.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3226681%89.579.8+9.8
2 Boulogne-Levallois30201067%86.183.5+2.7
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne31201165%85.076.8+8.2
4 Dijon32201262%86.784.0+2.7
5 JL Bourg31191261%86.284.1+2.1
6 Cholet31171455%82.782.9-0.2
7 Le Mans31161552%87.684.3+3.4
8 Gravelines-Dunkerque32161650%78.880.3-1.5
9 Paris32151747%88.090.2-2.2
10 Strasbourg31141745%81.482.9-1.5
11 Nanterre31141745%80.783.2-2.5
12 Roanne32141844%91.291.1+0.1
13 Le Portel31131842%79.379.1+0.2
14 Limoges31131842%77.580.9-3.4
15 Ada Blois32131941%82.186.7-4.6
16 Nancy31112035%81.784.8-3.1
17 Pau-Orthez31112035%78.982.8-3.9
18 Fos-sur-Mer32102231%76.882.8-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez192372473
Nancy1721182783
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