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Pau-Orthez vs Nanterre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game90.4
Pau-Orthez
France
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Nanterre
France
Position#5
Record6-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game81.1
FranceLNBRound 16· Palais des Sports de Pau
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Nanterre
16 Jan 2027
POR v NAN
upcoming
04 Dec 2022
POR71
NAN80
19 Apr 2022
POR75
NAN78
27 Mar 2021
POR86
NAN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 82
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 82
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 82
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
61-89
61
89
-28
53avg 82
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 82
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 82
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
73avg 82
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#2
L
97-106 OT
97
106
-9
86avg 82
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H13/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
14-23
12-18
18-14
20-23
14-19
14-20
19-31
14-19
17-22
16-22
25-22
21-19
30-34
31-16
14-22
27-17
28-20
24-19
16-22
17-20
15-16
29-24
20-27
23-20
27-16
27-27
17-31
26-32
19-26
21-23
23-28
21-12
170.4Avg total
83.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.690.4174.0-6.825%
Season at home (4)83.087.0170.0-4.050%
Season away (4)84.293.8178.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.297.4177.6-17.20%
vs Similar (13)86.881.8168.6+5.177%
vs Weaker (12)86.877.9164.8+8.992%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#26
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
74avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 80
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
87avg 80
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
51avg 80
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
90avg 80
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 80
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#13
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 80
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Dijon
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
no box
A15/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-27
13-19
22-12
21-19
22-20
28-17
30-17
21-17
14-13
31-15
27-20
20-19
18-27
16-19
11-15
23-17
21-17
22-17
20-18
21-23
19-26
22-20
18-18
13-31
34-25
24-18
30-24
22-16
32-19
20-23
19-23
16-32
20-20
25-22
21-28
26-21
25-19
23-28
27-23
172.4Avg total
88.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.581.1169.6+7.475%
Season at home (4)89.571.8161.2+17.8100%
Season away (4)87.590.5178.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)88.583.9172.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)91.491.8183.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.087.7176.7+1.333%
vs Similar (12)81.183.6164.7-2.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.779.0166.7+8.773%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Pau-OrthezNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H13/11
LNB
85.0Avg total
42.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.484.8+1.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.482.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.294.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
vs Similar (13)44.044.288.2-0.254%-
vs Weaker (12)40.438.779.1+1.875%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#13
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A11/11
Champions League
Dijon
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/11
LNB
85.5Avg total
42.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.479.5+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)43.544.988.4-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.685.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.492.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (12)41.242.183.3-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.940.684.5+3.367%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.2
28.7%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
74.2%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.6
70.3%
74.2%15.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWLLLWW
Nanterre
WLWWLWLWWL
#14
League position
#5
-3.6
Net rating
+3.4
91.4
Offensive rating
96.2
95.1
Defensive rating
92.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.7%
3-point %
31.5%
65.2%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 96.2Defence95.1 · 92.8Shooting48.0% · 51.3%3-point %28.7% · 31.5%Ball care14.1% · 14.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pau-Orthez wins
6
Nanterre wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Nanterre v Pau-Orthez78-64
28/03/23Nanterre v Pau-Orthez85-64
04/12/22Pau-Orthez v Nanterre71-80
19/04/22Pau-Orthez v Nanterre75-78
08/01/22Nanterre v Pau-Orthez101-77
20/05/21Nanterre v Pau-Orthez115-77
27/03/21Pau-Orthez v Nanterre86-79
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HStrasbourg84-89
07/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne97-106
31/10/26ALe Mans97-106 OT
25/10/26HLimoges85-81
17/10/26HSaint Quentin102-89
10/10/26ACholet79-85
03/10/26HDijon61-89
26/09/26ANanterre64-78
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ADijon101-91
11/11/26ARytas82-102
07/11/26HChalon/Saone93-81
31/10/26AJL Bourg101-98
27/10/26ASabah Baku80-87
24/10/26HCholet86-69
17/10/26ANancy65-80
13/10/26HRytas93-65
10/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-73
07/10/26ATrabzonspor83-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.683.084.2
Allowed / game90.487.093.8
Point differential-6.8-4.0-9.5
Avg total174.0170.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
Nanterre
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game88.589.587.5
Allowed / game81.171.890.5
Point differential+7.4+17.8-3.0
Avg total169.6161.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
4 Dijon86275%92.984.1+8.8
5 Nanterre86275%88.581.1+7.4
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
12 Nancy82625%80.585.4-4.9
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque81712%79.189.5-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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