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Pau-Orthez vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-78
26-20 29-17 25-25 9-16
Position#7
Record7-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#13
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.4
FrancePro BRound 16· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Nantes
17 Feb 2026
POR97
NANT77
17 Jan 2025
POR73
NANT70
19 Jan 2024
POR89
NANT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Antibes
#12
W
85-84
85
84
+1
77avg 78
A21/11
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
106avg 78
A24/11
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 78
A28/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
89avg 78
H03/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
82-65
82
65
+17
97avg 78
H08/12
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 78
A15/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
66-87
66
87
-21
76avg 78
H19/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
86avg 78
A23/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
67avg 78
H27/12
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
73-74
73
74
-1
84avg 78
A12/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
16-21
20-22
25-26
28-14
18-22
18-16
29-21
23-23
12-21
12-16
21-24
19-20
20-17
16-24
22-17
26-15
21-22
22-18
13-10
28-13
16-33
26-18
22-19
9-27
21-25
18-15
18-20
18-27
22-24
14-20
22-11
16-19
17-18
19-16
18-21
9-24
23-15
16-17
25-18
156.6Avg total
78.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.177.5155.5+0.647%
Season at home (8)78.475.5153.9+2.962%
Season away (7)77.779.7157.4-2.029%
Last 10 (10)78.278.4156.6-0.240%
Last 5 (5)75.480.0155.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.087.4165.4-9.438%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.678.1154.6-1.544%
vs Weaker (5)79.673.6153.2+6.060%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#6
L
49-92
49
92
-43
32avg 85
A21/11
French Cup
Evreux
#17
L
70-78
70
78
-8
78avg 85
A24/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
103avg 85
A01/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
107avg 85
H08/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
87avg 85
H15/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
100avg 85
H22/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
70-66
70
66
+4
92avg 85
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
96avg 85
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
80avg 85
A16/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
10-23
13-20
14-27
19-20
19-18
17-15
15-25
21-16
19-23
26-14
19-27
20-21
26-8
24-20
20-24
22-16
23-20
17-21
27-14
23-17
19-19
13-20
23-22
17-24
21-12
21-14
23-20
11-18
23-18
19-16
17-14
23-11
15-21
20-22
26-17
13-19
26-23
16-36
20-19
156.3Avg total
77.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.979.4158.2-0.556%
Season at home (8)78.574.5153.0+4.075%
Season away (8)79.284.2163.5-5.038%
Last 10 (10)77.878.5156.3-0.760%
Last 5 (5)79.078.2157.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.783.8156.5-11.123%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.278.3156.5-0.246%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Pau-OrthezNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/11
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/11
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A28/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H03/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/12
Pro B
Angers
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A15/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H19/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A23/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H27/12
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A12/01
Pro B
80.1Avg total
38.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.078.5-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.980.2+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)36.440.276.6-3.821%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.580.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.080.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.941.881.6-1.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.339.978.2-1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)37.238.275.4-1.040%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#6
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A21/11
French Cup
Evreux
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H08/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/01
Pro B
75.1Avg total
38.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.176.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.638.175.7-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.141.877.8-5.719%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.975.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.474.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.840.875.5-6.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.838.876.6-0.946%-
vs Weaker (2)37.542.580.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.3
52.9%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
33.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
72.2%15.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.2
49.3%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.2
32.0%
33.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.113.3
66.2%
72.2%13.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLLLWWLLWW
Nantes
LWWWLWWWLL
#7
League position
#13
-0.3
Net rating
-1.2
104.2
Offensive rating
101.2
104.4
Defensive rating
102.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.6%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
32.0%
67.5%
Assist %
70.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 101.2Defence104.4 · 102.4Shooting51.2% · 48.8%3-point %32.7% · 32.0%Ball care20.9% · 19.6%Off. rebounds30.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Nantes wins
No previous meetings.
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24AEvreux73-74
27/12/23HRouen70-74
23/12/23ABoulazac76-82
19/12/23HAntibes66-87
15/12/23AAngers92-83
08/12/23HLille82-65
03/12/23HPoitiers77-78
28/11/23ALa Rochelle68-84
24/11/23AAix Maurienne93-73
21/11/23AAntibes85-84
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24ABoulazac75-97
12/01/24HASA84-71
27/12/23ALille70-66
22/12/23HFos-sur-Mer82-70
19/12/23ADenain-Voltaire84-87 OT
15/12/23HRouen89-71
08/12/23HChalons-Reims90-73
01/12/23AAngers85-80
24/11/23AEvreux70-78
21/11/23ASaint Quentin49-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game78.178.477.7
Allowed / game77.575.579.7
Point differential+0.6+2.9-2.0
Avg total155.5153.9157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game78.978.579.2
Allowed / game79.474.584.2
Point differential-0.5+4.0-5.0
Avg total158.2153.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle1513287%83.874.5+9.3
2 Vichy1512380%85.577.0+8.5
3 Boulazac1612475%81.475.6+5.8
4 Rouen1511473%85.378.4+6.9
5 Orleans159660%84.081.6+2.4
6 Nantes169756%78.979.4-0.5
7 St. Chamond158753%84.581.7+2.8
8 Pau-Orthez157847%78.177.5+0.6
9 Lille157847%74.875.6-0.8
10 Poitiers157847%79.580.9-1.4
11 Evreux157847%78.681.4-2.8
12 Denain-Voltaire157847%75.979.3-3.4
13 Antibes156940%80.282.2-2.0
14 Aix Maurienne156940%78.384.7-6.4
15 ASA1551033%76.479.9-3.5
16 Chalons-Reims1541127%77.780.0-2.3
17 Fos-sur-Mer1531220%74.981.4-6.5
18 Angers1531220%81.888.9-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez262925989
Nantes2017251678
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