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Pau-Orthez vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-70
13-19 22-22 20-17 18-12
Position#8
Record10-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#17
Record5-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.8
FrancePro BRound 20· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Nantes
17 Feb 2026
POR97
NANT77
17 Jan 2025
POR73
NANT70
19 Jan 2024
POR89
NANT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#3
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
119avg 88
A09/11
Pro B
Strasbourg
#16
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
79avg 88
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
82avg 88
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
83-78
83
78
+5
93avg 88
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
89avg 88
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
84-67
84
67
+17
98avg 88
H13/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
82avg 88
A20/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
89-87
89
87
+2
97avg 88
H27/12
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
78-107
78
107
-29
no box
H07/01
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
107avg 88
A10/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-24
23-24
21-18
30-16
16-19
15-24
13-15
13-18
16-24
15-14
24-22
18-19
29-20
16-17
20-22
19-19
14-23
17-20
22-14
20-16
21-8
29-17
14-26
23-21
22-23
16-18
11-15
26-17
17-27
23-23
23-20
35-32
18-27
14-31
11-17
24-15
20-35
25-20
15-14
169.4Avg total
84.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.181.1162.2+0.153%
Season at home (10)78.178.9157.0-0.850%
Season away (9)84.483.4167.9+1.056%
Last 10 (10)84.385.1169.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)84.286.2170.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.084.6166.6-2.657%
vs Similar (14)78.679.4158.0-0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.978.6158.4+1.343%
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Antibes
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
95avg 93
H01/11
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
100-70
100
70
+30
119avg 93
H08/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
74avg 93
A15/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
103-78
103
78
+25
102avg 93
H29/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
88-103
88
103
-15
96avg 93
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
94avg 93
A10/12
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
119avg 93
H13/12
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
77-87
77
87
-10
87avg 93
H20/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
78-89
78
89
-11
86avg 93
A27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
118avg 93
H10/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-16
19-21
21-22
23-15
23-15
28-16
26-24
10-26
16-14
17-32
23-29
28-25
25-15
32-12
18-26
24-31
26-26
20-23
18-23
18-14
26-34
20-15
16-29
25-26
30-20
20-17
22-21
18-21
22-24
19-25
18-17
15-22
26-23
19-17
18-27
22-20
27-28
24-22
24-22
174.3Avg total
86.5Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.086.8168.8-4.826%
Season at home (10)86.583.9170.4+2.640%
Season away (9)77.090.0167.0-13.011%
Last 10 (10)86.587.8174.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)85.888.8174.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.989.1167.0-11.215%
vs Similar (13)84.291.4175.6-7.215%
vs Weaker (3)99.767.7167.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
Pau-OrthezNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/11
Pro B
Strasbourg
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/12
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H07/01
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/01
Pro B
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.179.7+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.437.977.4+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.582.3+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.942.184.0-0.329%-
vs Similar (14)39.939.479.4+0.557%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.936.177.0+4.757%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/11
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H13/12
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H20/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H10/01
Pro B
88.1Avg total
44.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.984.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.386.1-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.583.7-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.888.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.492.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.443.481.8-5.023%-
vs Similar (13)41.645.487.0-3.831%-
vs Weaker (3)50.737.087.7+13.7100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.017.7
45.4%
52.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.7
39.3%
33.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.0
72.4%
73.2%16.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.7
56.3%
52.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.2%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.414.4
78.3%
73.2%14.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WLWLWLWLWW
Nantes
WLLWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#17
-0.5
Net rating
-1.0
107.2
Offensive rating
109.7
107.7
Defensive rating
110.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
36.2%
63.4%
Assist %
69.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 109.7Defence107.7 · 110.7Shooting51.0% · 55.6%3-point %39.3% · 36.2%Ball care16.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
01/10/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez84-89
09/02/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez73-77
19/01/24Pau-Orthez v Nantes89-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25AAix Maurienne98-93 OT
07/01/25HParis78-107
27/12/24HBoulazac89-87
20/12/24APoitiers72-77
13/12/24HEvreux84-67
06/12/24HHyeres-Toulon72-76
29/11/24AASA83-78
15/11/24HOrleans68-78
12/11/24HStrasbourg94-86 OT
09/11/24AAda Blois105-102 OT
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HDenain-Voltaire97-92
27/12/24AChalons-Reims78-89
20/12/24HSt. Chamond77-87
13/12/24HRoanne97-84
10/12/24AOrleans80-92
06/12/24APoitiers88-103
29/11/24HEvreux103-78
15/11/24ARouen66-101
08/11/24HFos-sur-Mer100-70
01/11/24HAntibes79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game81.178.184.4
Allowed / game81.178.983.4
Point differential+0.1-0.8+1.0
Avg total162.2157.0167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW26%
HomeWWWLW40%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%40%11%
Points / game82.086.577.0
Allowed / game86.883.990.0
Point differential-4.8+2.6-13.0
Avg total168.8170.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac1915479%81.773.9+7.8
2 Orleans1915479%85.779.7+6.0
3 Roanne1914574%88.682.0+6.6
4 Ada Blois1913668%88.980.8+8.1
5 Aix Maurienne1912763%90.685.9+4.7
6 Poitiers1911858%85.182.1+3.0
7 Caen1911858%77.578.9-1.5
8 Rouen1910953%85.378.8+6.5
9 ASA1910953%87.482.7+4.7
10 St. Chamond1910953%85.784.1+1.6
11 Pau-Orthez1910953%81.181.1+0.1
12 Antibes1910953%78.678.8-0.2
13 Denain-Voltaire1981142%80.981.0-0.1
14 Chalons-Reims2081240%81.586.5-5.0
15 Vichy1971237%77.379.6-2.4
16 Hyeres-Toulon1971237%75.181.7-6.7
17 Fos-sur-Mer1961332%74.480.5-6.2
18 Evreux2061430%78.585.2-6.7
19 Nantes1951426%82.086.8-4.8
20 Chartres1931616%77.492.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1322201873
Nantes1922171270
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