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Pau-Orthez vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-77
33-18 20-27 18-19 26-13
Position#2
Record13-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.0
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
vs
Nantes
France
Position#6
Record12-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.6
FrancePro BRound 24· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Nantes
17 Feb 2026
POR97
NANT77
17 Jan 2025
POR73
NANT70
19 Jan 2024
POR89
NANT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
97avg 90
H12/12
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
75avg 90
H19/12
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
81avg 90
A23/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
77avg 90
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
94avg 90
A09/01
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
88avg 90
H16/01
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
90avg 90
A23/01
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
90-54
90
54
+36
94avg 90
H30/01
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
92avg 90
A06/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
75avg 90
A13/02
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
19-26
18-23
22-17
13-21
21-14
28-23
24-14
20-18
27-23
14-15
19-24
22-18
22-19
21-23
16-22
30-28
7-27
32-18
25-25
18-24
29-23
13-24
28-22
31-17
28-20
8-21
24-20
24-8
23-16
25-19
18-11
22-18
22-17
20-19
21-25
8-21
31-24
15-14
26-24
172.0Avg total
88.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.081.0168.0+6.057%
Season at home (11)84.278.8163.0+5.455%
Season away (12)89.783.0172.7+6.758%
Last 10 (10)88.783.3172.0+5.450%
Last 5 (5)86.877.4164.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.586.5174.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.278.5156.8-0.238%
vs Weaker (19)87.781.9169.6+5.858%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 83
H12/12
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 83
A19/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 83
A23/12
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
75-82
75
82
-7
56avg 83
H27/12
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
71-76
71
76
-5
54avg 83
A11/01
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 83
H16/01
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
101avg 83
A23/01
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 83
H30/01
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
96avg 83
A07/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
107-85
107
85
+22
108avg 83
H13/02
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
27-25
19-11
17-25
21-22
24-21
19-28
25-9
23-25
14-22
25-17
24-29
16-20
20-23
23-17
16-22
16-13
15-22
21-14
19-27
22-24
24-15
20-19
25-19
20-26
27-21
34-23
15-10
19-23
20-23
18-22
21-15
31-27
18-29
19-27
27-22
26-17
17-25
27-11
37-32
170.6Avg total
86.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.683.6167.2+0.052%
Season at home (12)82.281.8164.0+0.550%
Season away (11)85.185.6170.7-0.555%
Last 10 (10)86.983.7170.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)93.486.0179.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.087.7159.7-15.717%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.484.9169.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (7)82.678.9161.4+3.757%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Pau-OrthezNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H12/12
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/12
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/01
Pro B
Roanne
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H16/01
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A23/01
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H30/01
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/02
Pro B
84.8Avg total
44.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.940.481.3+0.445%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.339.579.8+0.843%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.382.8+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.384.8+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.684.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.041.585.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.839.478.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (19)41.540.882.3+0.747%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H12/12
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/12
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/12
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A11/01
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/01
Pro B
ASA
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/01
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H30/01
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A07/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/02
Pro B
85.6Avg total
41.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.384.8-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.344.682.9-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)40.646.086.6-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.885.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.090.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.346.885.2-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.346.286.5-5.931%-
vs Weaker (7)37.940.978.7-3.014%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.124.9
60.6%
53.1%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
32.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.7
75.8%
71.4%14.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.8
54.2%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.7
34.9%
32.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws27.819.3
69.4%
71.4%19.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LWWWLLLWWL
Nantes
WLLWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#6
+10.4
Net rating
-1.1
110.4
Offensive rating
104.7
100.0
Defensive rating
105.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.45
33.5%
3-point %
34.9%
69.8%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 104.7Defence100.0 · 105.8Shooting56.6% · 53.5%3-point %33.5% · 34.9%Ball care17.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds38.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
30/09/25Nantes v Pau-Orthez76-90
17/01/25Pau-Orthez v Nantes73-70
01/10/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez84-89
09/02/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez73-77
19/01/24Pau-Orthez v Nantes89-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AHyeres-Toulon80-83
06/02/26AQuimper85-79
30/01/26HCaen90-54
23/01/26ARouen91-78
16/01/26HRoanne88-93
09/01/26ADenain-Voltaire94-98
27/12/25HLa Rochelle81-82
23/12/25AAntibes90-87 OT
19/12/25HRouen86-72
12/12/25HAda Blois102-107 OT
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HRouen107-85
07/02/26AOrleans95-105
30/01/26HDenain-Voltaire78-83
23/01/26AASA96-80
16/01/26HAda Blois91-77
11/01/26AQuimper71-76
27/12/25HEvreux75-82
23/12/25ADenain-Voltaire86-93
19/12/25AAix Maurienne89-80
12/12/25HPoitiers81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%55%58%
Points / game87.084.289.7
Allowed / game81.078.883.0
Point differential+6.0+5.4+6.7
Avg total168.0163.0172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Nantes
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%50%55%
Points / game83.682.285.1
Allowed / game83.681.885.6
Point differential+0.0+0.5-0.5
Avg total167.2164.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne2419579%89.880.4+9.3
2 Orleans2417771%81.377.4+3.9
3 Ada Blois2316770%83.178.4+4.7
4 Vichy2415962%81.577.5+4.0
5 Denain-Voltaire2415962%85.882.5+3.2
6 Chalons-Reims24141058%81.880.8+1.0
7 Pau-Orthez23131057%87.081.0+6.0
8 Poitiers23131057%84.080.0+3.9
9 Hyeres-Toulon24131154%86.185.3+0.8
10 Aix Maurienne23121152%85.283.0+2.3
11 ASA23121152%84.183.7+0.4
12 Nantes23121152%83.683.6+0.0
13 Antibes24121250%83.081.5+1.5
14 La Rochelle24121250%77.080.1-3.1
15 St. Chamond24101442%85.483.4+2.0
16 Rouen2481633%79.886.5-6.6
17 Evreux2481633%77.084.3-7.3
18 Caen2471729%78.384.2-5.9
19 Quimper2361726%74.885.9-11.1
20 Challans232219%75.584.6-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez3320182697
Nantes1827191377
← all games of the day
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