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Paulistano vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 100-104
17-28 27-21 18-23 38-32
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#6
Record11-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.6
BrazilNBB
Other2018-19
Meetings · Paulistano v Botafogo
04 Dec 2025
PAUL101
BOTA77
02 Nov 2024
PAUL88
BOTA70
07 Dec 2023
PAUL85
BOTA77
16 Jan 2020
PAUL73
BOTA72
24 Mar 2019
PAUL100
BOTA104
01 Mar 2018
PAUL112
BOTA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#10
W
97-71
97
71
+26
A11/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H23/01
NBB
Minas
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A30/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A01/02
NBB
Mogi
#4
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A15/02
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
109-65
109
65
+44
H28/02
NBB
Joinville
#13
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
A15/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#9
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H21/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
21-15
20-20
21-16
22-11
21-23
24-14
30-23
22-16
17-18
19-35
27-22
15-22
26-18
26-25
18-23
29-23
15-19
21-22
22-31
24-23
24-17
26-30
17-19
22-8
23-23
26-25
38-9
22-21
18-22
20-22
21-16
21-27
28-16
18-23
19-27
16-22
20-17
23-17
15-20
170.8Avg total
88.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.880.4165.2+4.562%
Season at home (12)86.880.8167.5+6.067%
Season away (12)82.980.0162.9+2.958%
Last 10 (10)88.882.0170.8+6.850%
Last 5 (5)91.482.0173.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.890.2176.0-4.525%
vs Similar (4)83.284.0167.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.378.0162.3+6.273%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H19/01
NBB
Cearense
#11
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A26/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NBB
Joinville
#13
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A19/02
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H23/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H02/03
NBB
Minas
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H06/03
NBB
Brasilia
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A16/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
12-17
19-22
16-9
21-13
19-18
15-21
23-17
14-25
14-12
14-16
25-16
18-28
16-13
27-17
11-21
14-15
19-13
11-13
15-13
9-18
26-27
19-10
25-19
18-13
13-20
16-28
20-12
17-17
19-13
23-16
20-16
19-15
16-14
26-15
18-21
19-19
21-10
15-27
17-33
142.6Avg total
72.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.075.6149.5-1.646%
Season at home (13)76.973.4150.3+3.562%
Season away (11)70.578.2148.6-7.727%
Last 10 (10)72.170.5142.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)75.272.6147.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.585.3158.9-11.820%
vs Similar (9)74.174.1148.2+0.044%
vs Weaker (6)73.369.7143.0+3.767%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
PaulistanoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/01
NBB
Minas
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
NBB
Mogi
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A15/02
NBB
Vasco
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/02
NBB
Joinville
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A15/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/03
NBB
79.6Avg total
42.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.877.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.578.7+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.037.177.1+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.579.6+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.841.286.0+3.575%-
vs Similar (4)39.237.877.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.835.976.6+4.968%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H19/01
NBB
Cearense
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A26/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/01
NBB
Joinville
#13
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/02
NBB
Vasco
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H02/03
NBB
Minas
#8
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H06/03
NBB
Brasilia
#10
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A16/03
NBB
68.9Avg total
34.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.272.7-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.073.7+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.238.571.7-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.368.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.440.574.9-6.127%-
vs Similar (9)37.634.171.7+3.456%-
vs Weaker (6)35.033.868.8+1.267%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paulistano wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
30/10/18Botafogo v Paulistano77-74
01/03/18Paulistano v Botafogo112-64
21/12/17Botafogo v Paulistano74-93
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/19HBauru74-76
18/03/19HFranca86-93
15/03/19AJoinville97-87 OT
28/02/19HVasco109-65
15/02/19AMogi91-89
01/02/19AFlamengo87-95
30/01/19AMinas85-88
23/01/19HPinheiros85-91
11/01/19ABrasilia97-71
09/01/19ACearense77-65
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/19AMogi72-89
09/03/19HBrasilia79-65
06/03/19HMinas79-62
02/03/19HFlamengo67-73
23/02/19HVasco79-74
19/02/19AJoinville59-54
28/01/19ASao Jose72-79
26/01/19APinheiros67-69
22/01/19HCearense78-69
19/01/19HFranca69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game84.886.882.9
Allowed / game80.480.880.0
Point differential+4.5+6.0+2.9
Avg total165.2167.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Botafogo
NBB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%62%27%
Points / game74.076.970.5
Allowed / game75.673.478.2
Point differential-1.6+3.5-7.7
Avg total149.5150.3148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2522388%87.076.8+10.2
2 Flamengo2420483%83.370.8+12.5
3 Pinheiros2520580%81.775.8+5.8
4 Mogi2516964%84.080.6+3.4
5 Paulistano2415962%84.880.4+4.5
6 Botafogo24111346%74.075.6-1.6
7 Corinthians Paulista24101442%79.680.2-0.7
8 Bauru24101442%77.278.9-1.7
9 Minas24101442%78.381.1-2.8
10 Brasilia2491538%78.984.0-5.1
11 Sao Jose2591636%79.081.8-2.8
12 Cearense2481633%72.876.6-3.8
13 Joinville2451921%77.185.0-7.9
14 Vasco2451921%74.284.9-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano17271838100
Botafogo28212332104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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