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Paulistano vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 88-70
23-23 19-12 19-19 27-16
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#18
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game72.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Botafogo
04 Dec 2025
PAUL101
BOTA77
02 Nov 2024
PAUL88
BOTA70
07 Dec 2023
PAUL85
BOTA77
16 Jan 2020
PAUL73
BOTA72
24 Mar 2019
PAUL100
BOTA104
01 Mar 2018
PAUL112
BOTA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 70
A18/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 70
H22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
45avg 70
A02/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 70
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 70
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 70
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 70
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 70
H28/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 70
A30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
26-17
16-13
15-15
22-24
11-11
30-14
14-19
18-15
9-18
16-21
18-10
13-21
28-33
19-21
15-14
13-21
13-18
24-27
23-14
17-19
21-21
15-18
14-14
29-13
24-13
13-18
14-18
30-17
26-31
12-29
22-23
19-17
16-23
24-22
20-21
27-24
19-22
16-16
22-24
153.8Avg total
76.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.080.6160.6-0.620%
Season at home (3)83.081.7164.7+1.333%
Season away (2)75.579.0154.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)76.976.9153.8+0.030%
Last 5 (5)80.080.6160.6-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.383.4156.7-10.10%
vs Similar (11)74.571.5146.1+3.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.767.4148.1+13.464%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 67
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 67
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 67
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 67
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 67
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
60avg 67
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
46avg 67
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 67
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-52
77
52
+25
74avg 67
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 67
A30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
15-27
20-29
24-23
28-13
8-23
13-24
17-15
18-16
32-18
21-17
17-16
11-19
17-12
12-17
18-21
18-15
15-15
15-26
11-25
17-7
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
17-10
20-17
22-11
18-14
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
152.7Avg total
73.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Season at home (2)62.576.5139.0-14.00%
Season away (4)76.070.5146.5+5.575%
Last 10 (10)73.779.0152.7-5.340%
Last 5 (5)69.673.0142.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.389.2167.5-10.929%
vs Similar (5)77.273.8151.0+3.440%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
PaulistanoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A18/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/10
NBB
80.5Avg total
40.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.175.8+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.577.4+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.837.674.4-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.880.5+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.085.6+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.443.379.7-6.914%-
vs Similar (11)38.035.873.8+2.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.535.175.5+5.464%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
76.0Avg total
34.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.143.581.6-5.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.644.282.8-5.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.742.980.6-5.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.941.176.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.066.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.845.082.8-7.138%-
vs Similar (5)37.436.073.4+1.440%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.9
49.2%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.1
33.1%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
72.7%13.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.6
45.6%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.1
66.5%
72.7%11.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLLWLLLLWW
Botafogo
LWLLWWLLWL
#12
League position
#18
+0.6
Net rating
-7.0
106.3
Offensive rating
96.6
105.7
Defensive rating
103.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
32.0%
63.0%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 96.6Defence105.7 · 103.6Shooting49.4% · 46.6%3-point %33.1% · 32.0%Ball care17.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds33.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Botafogo v Paulistano68-85
07/12/23Paulistano v Botafogo85-77
16/01/20Paulistano v Botafogo73-72
29/10/19Botafogo v Paulistano70-84
24/03/19Paulistano v Botafogo100-104
30/10/18Botafogo v Paulistano77-74
01/03/18Paulistano v Botafogo112-64
21/12/17Botafogo v Paulistano74-93
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24ASao Paulo84-86
28/10/24HBauru79-83
24/10/24HFranca90-100
14/10/24HPinheiros80-62
12/10/24AMogi67-72
08/05/24HFranca73-80
06/05/24HFranca75-89
02/05/24AFranca61-64
22/04/24HCorinthians Paulista77-68
18/04/24ACorinthians Paulista83-65
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
27/10/24ACearense77-52
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
22/10/24HCorinthians Paulista58-73
14/10/24AMogi72-70 OT
12/10/24ASao Jose81-70
27/04/24AFlamengo56-78
20/04/24HFlamengo87-92
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game80.083.075.5
Allowed / game80.681.779.0
Point differential-0.6+1.3-3.5
Avg total160.6164.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%0%75%
Points / game71.562.576.0
Allowed / game72.576.570.5
Point differential-1.0-14.0+5.5
Avg total144.0139.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas76186%82.468.7+13.7
2 Flamengo76186%77.965.1+12.7
3 Sao Paulo65183%81.776.2+5.5
4 Franca64267%81.778.0+3.7
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Bauru53260%80.280.0+0.2
7 Brasilia63350%81.279.5+1.7
8 Caxias do Sul42250%76.877.0-0.2
9 Botafogo63350%71.572.5-1.0
10 Pato73443%80.179.0+1.1
11 Pinheiros73443%68.372.6-4.3
12 Mogi73443%70.481.3-10.9
13 Vasco52340%63.063.4-0.4
14 Corinthians Paulista52340%76.477.0-0.6
15 Unifacisa52340%78.079.6-1.6
16 Paulistano51420%80.080.6-0.6
17 Cearense61517%63.776.8-13.2
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2319192788
Botafogo2312191670
← all games of the day
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