PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pavlodar vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 65-72
23-26 16-11 14-17 12-18
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game72.4
KazakhstanPremier League
Other2018-19
Meetings · Pavlodar v Aktobe
19 Jan 2026
PAVL52
AKTO86
05 Feb 2025
PAVL v AKTO
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
PAVL v AKTO
upcoming
15 Dec 2023
PAVL76
AKTO104
14 Dec 2023
PAVL71
AKTO87
07 Dec 2018
PAVL65
AKTO72
19 Apr 2018
PAVL78
AKTO99
18 Mar 2018
PAVL46
AKTO55
17 Feb 2018
PAVL53
AKTO72
24 Dec 2017
PAVL59
AKTO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A18/04
Premier League
Aktobe
#11
L
78-99
78
99
-21
H19/04
Premier League
Aktobe
#11
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A20/04
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
94-70
94
70
+24
A31/10
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H01/11
Premier League
Aktobe
#1
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A02/11
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H03/11
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A04/11
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H05/12
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A06/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-26
13-9
26-23
14-26
15-30
23-22
26-21
16-17
19-28
14-19
37-25
26-11
20-21
20-23
28-15
21-18
17-18
21-21
28-20
25-23
24-27
22-26
27-20
26-14
10-28
25-13
25-12
29-29
13-16
20-17
12-24
20-9
22-11
21-12
28-20
21-16
13-21
26-7
16-17
162.7Avg total
85.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.672.7159.3+13.986%
Season at home (3)88.065.3153.3+22.7100%
Season away (4)85.578.2163.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)85.377.4162.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)85.072.4157.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)59.676.6136.2-17.08%
vs Similar (3)79.074.7153.7+4.367%
vs Weaker (3)90.363.0153.3+27.3100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H18/04
Premier League
Pavlodar
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
A19/04
Premier League
Pavlodar
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H20/04
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
94-71
94
71
+23
A31/10
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
99-68
99
68
+31
A01/11
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H02/11
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H03/11
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H04/11
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H05/12
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H06/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
26-21
9-13
23-26
26-14
30-15
22-23
21-26
17-16
28-19
19-14
25-37
24-22
27-15
23-23
20-11
29-15
19-11
28-23
23-19
23-25
27-24
26-22
20-27
19-11
23-20
16-12
29-18
30-13
25-17
12-24
21-13
18-22
19-19
16-12
24-20
22-15
18-17
21-29
17-8
163.8Avg total
88.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.472.4160.9+16.086%
Season at home (5)85.273.6158.8+11.680%
Season away (2)96.569.5166.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.475.4163.8+13.080%
Last 5 (5)85.273.6158.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.779.5144.2-14.820%
vs Similar (7)65.472.3137.7-6.914%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.170.2153.2+12.985%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
PavlodarAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A18/04
Premier League
Aktobe
#11
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H19/04
Premier League
Aktobe
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A20/04
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A31/10
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H01/11
Premier League
Aktobe
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A02/11
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/11
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/11
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H05/12
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
Premier League
80.3Avg total
39.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.741.171.8-10.410%-
Last 30 at home (15)26.940.767.6-13.713%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.575.9-7.07%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.880.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)28.542.571.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (3)38.039.377.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker (3)41.331.372.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H18/04
Premier League
Pavlodar
#12
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A19/04
Premier League
Pavlodar
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/04
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A31/10
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A01/11
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/11
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/11
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H04/11
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H05/12
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/12
Premier League
82.3Avg total
46.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.976.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.278.3-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.734.574.2+5.160%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.482.3+11.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.681.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.940.975.8-6.020%-
vs Similar (7)35.337.372.6-2.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.133.578.6+11.592%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pavlodar wins
5
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
02/11/18Aktobe v Pavlodar96-98
20/04/18Aktobe v Pavlodar89-86
19/04/18Pavlodar v Aktobe78-99
18/04/18Aktobe v Pavlodar77-83
18/03/18Pavlodar v Aktobe46-55
17/02/18Pavlodar v Aktobe53-72
24/12/17Pavlodar v Aktobe59-69
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/18ABars Petropavlovsk76-61
05/12/18HAstana 291-52
04/11/18AKazygurt74-86
03/11/18HSDUSH Almaty86-67
02/11/18AAktobe98-96
01/11/18HBars Petropavlovsk87-77
31/10/18AAstana 294-70
20/04/18AAktobe86-89
19/04/18HAktobe78-99
18/04/18AAktobe83-77
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/18HSDUSH Almaty78-69
05/12/18HBars Petropavlovsk77-73
04/11/18HAstana 288-67
03/11/18HKazygurt87-61
02/11/18HPavlodar96-98
01/11/18ASDUSH Almaty99-68
31/10/18ABars Petropavlovsk94-71
20/04/18HPavlodar89-86
19/04/18APavlodar99-78
18/04/18HPavlodar77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Premier League 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game86.688.085.5
Allowed / game72.765.378.2
Point differential+13.9+22.7+7.2
Avg total159.3153.3163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
Premier League 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game88.485.296.5
Allowed / game72.473.669.5
Point differential+16.0+11.6+27.0
Avg total160.9158.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%40%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aktobe76186%88.472.4+16.0
2 Pavlodar76186%86.672.7+13.9
3 Kazygurt86275%82.170.8+11.4
4 Bars Petropavlovsk83538%74.981.5-6.6
5 SDUSH Almaty81712%72.284.1-11.9
6 Astana 281712%65.484.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar2316141265
Aktobe2611171872
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.