Pavlodar vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 76-104

16-25 25-20 12-32 23-27

Position#8

Record1-12

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game87.3

Pavlodar

Aktobe 🏆

Position#3

Record6-5

FormLWLLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game86.9

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Pavlodar v Aktobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aktobe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPavlodar

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

83-96

-13

71avg 59

A28/10

National League

Almaty

66-87

-21

53avg 59

A30/10

National League

Almaty

71-82

-11

64avg 59

A31/10

National League

Atyrau

83-86

-3

no box

H05/11

National League

Atyrau

73-82

-9

50avg 59

H06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

74-96

-22

56avg 59

H18/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

77-85

-8

59avg 59

H19/11

National League

Astana 2

76-90

-14

61avg 59

H01/12

National League

Astana 2

86-77

77avg 59

H02/12

National League

Aktobe

71-87

-16

56avg 59

H14/12

National League

18-29

13-25

22-27

30-15

15-27

10-23

22-11

19-26

15-23

21-14

22-18

13-27

18-21

15-22

25-23

25-20

10-25

20-19

17-22

26-16

22-24

17-35

21-19

14-18

16-19

29-17

17-29

15-20

22-23

22-24

16-23

16-20

19-26

35-15

16-11

16-25

20-23

15-26

18-23

18-15

162.8Avg total

76.0Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.2	87.3	161.5	-13.1	8%
Season at home (9)	75.4	87.4	162.9	-12.0	11%
Season away (4)	71.5	87.0	158.5	-15.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	86.8	162.8	-10.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	87.0	163.8	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	72.6	85.9	158.6	-13.3	11%
vs Similar (6)	72.5	77.3	149.8	-4.8	33%
vs Weaker (6)	82.8	70.2	153.0	+12.7	67%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Astana 2

83-72

+11

76avg 78

A19/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

85-74

+11

no box

H26/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-75

+14

96avg 78

H27/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-96

-8

88avg 78

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

76-101

101

-25

69avg 78

A09/11

National League

Atyrau

89-96

-7

80avg 78

H20/11

National League

Atyrau

98-97 OT

no box

H21/11

National League

Irbis Almaty

95-114

114

-19

84avg 78

H25/11

National League

Irbis Almaty

64-86

-22

54avg 78

H26/11

National League

Pavlodar

87-71

+16

84avg 78

A14/12

National League

18-24

25-14

15-16

25-18

21-25

20-15

23-18

21-16

20-22

20-16

29-24

20-13

20-26

19-30

27-17

22-23

24-31

19-24

11-20

22-26

27-26

17-28

19-22

26-20

13-29

32-23

26-15

17-21

35-36

29-31

19-23

12-24

15-26

21-25

15-16

13-19

23-20

26-15

23-18

15-18

173.6Avg total

85.4Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	85.2	86.9	172.1	-1.7	55%
Season at home (6)	86.7	90.3	177.0	-3.7	50%
Season away (5)	83.4	82.8	166.2	+0.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	88.2	173.6	-2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	92.8	179.4	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	71.8	83.7	155.5	-11.9	13%
vs Similar (12)	79.5	81.9	161.4	-2.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	87.0	73.3	160.3	+13.7	100%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PavlodarAktobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.6	23.8	42.4	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	23.0	42.9	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	23.9	44.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.1	41.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	26.5	48.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	27.4	50.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	24.1	43.9	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.3	22.3	43.7	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.4	47.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	17.0	39.7	+5.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.7	39.7	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.5	39.9	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.4	49.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.9	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.0	15.3	37.3	+6.7	100%	-

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

31-54

-23

A28/10

National League

Almaty

25-50

-25

A30/10

National League

Almaty

36-37

-1

A31/10

National League

Atyrau

33-43

-10

H05/11

National League

Atyrau

30-44

-14

H06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

39-59

-20

H18/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-36

H19/11

National League

Astana 2

44-47

-3

H01/12

National League

Astana 2

54-41

+13

H02/12

National League

Aktobe

35-49

-14

H14/12

National League

83.2Avg total

37.2Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	44.1	83.9	-4.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	39.6	77.8	-1.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	46.0	83.2	-8.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	46.4	89.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.6	45.9	83.5	-8.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.2	36.8	76.0	+2.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	34.0	76.7	+8.7	100%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana 2

43-38

A19/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

41-40

H26/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

40-38

H27/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-56

-17

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

43-55

-12

A09/11

National League

Atyrau

44-54

-10

H20/11

National League

Atyrau

45-52

-7

H21/11

National League

Irbis Almaty

64-67

-3

H25/11

National League

Irbis Almaty

36-51

-15

H26/11

National League

Pavlodar

49-35

+14

A14/12

National League

93.0Avg total

44.4Scored

48.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	44.1	82.7	-5.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	44.6	83.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	43.7	81.5	-5.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	48.6	93.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	51.8	99.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.4	46.6	85.0	-8.2	13%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.5	42.7	80.2	-5.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	43.3	37.7	81.0	+5.7	100%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	20.9	37.9	-4.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	21.3	38.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.8	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.8	37.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	39%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.8	18.9	34.7	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.5	20.8	43.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.7	15.7	34.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.4	75.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.8	39.6	73.4	-5.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	40.6	74.0	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.0	40.1	75.1	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.3	40.5	73.8	-7.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.2	36.2	76.3	+4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.5	75.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	36.7	73.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.7	78.7	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.2	76.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	32.7	36.5	69.3	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.0	39.2	81.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	43.7	35.7	79.3	+8.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pavlodar wins

Aktobe wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/23	Pavlodar v Aktobe	71-87
25/03/19	Aktobe v Pavlodar	85-66
28/02/19	Aktobe v Pavlodar	80-56
01/02/19	Aktobe v Pavlodar	92-66
07/12/18	Pavlodar v Aktobe	65-72
02/11/18	Aktobe v Pavlodar	96-98
20/04/18	Aktobe v Pavlodar	89-86
19/04/18	Pavlodar v Aktobe	78-99
18/04/18	Aktobe v Pavlodar	77-83
18/03/18	Pavlodar v Aktobe	46-55

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/23	H	Aktobe	71-87
02/12/23	H	Astana 2	86-77
01/12/23	H	Astana 2	76-90
19/11/23	H	Kaspiy Aktau	77-85
18/11/23	H	Kaspiy Aktau	74-96
06/11/23	H	Atyrau	73-82
05/11/23	H	Atyrau	83-86
31/10/23	A	Almaty	71-82
30/10/23	A	Almaty	66-87
28/10/23	A	Irbis Almaty	83-96

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/23	A	Pavlodar	87-71
26/11/23	H	Irbis Almaty	64-86
25/11/23	H	Irbis Almaty	95-114
21/11/23	H	Atyrau	98-97 OT
20/11/23	H	Atyrau	89-96
09/11/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	76-101
08/11/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-96
27/10/23	H	Kaspiy Aktau	89-75
26/10/23	H	Kaspiy Aktau	85-74
19/10/23	A	Astana 2	83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar

National League 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	8%
Home	LLLWL	11%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	9	4
Win %	8%	11%	0%
Points / game	74.2	75.4	71.5
Allowed / game	87.3	87.4	87.0
Point differential	-13.1	-12.0	-15.5
Avg total	161.5	162.9	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aktobe

National League 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	55%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	WWLLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	85.2	86.7	83.4
Allowed / game	86.9	90.3	82.8
Point differential	-1.7	-3.7	+0.6
Avg total	172.1	177.0	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	14	13	1	93%	89.8	72.9	+16.9
2	Atyrau	12	9	3	75%	82.9	73.8	+9.1
3	Tobol Kostanay	12	7	5	58%	83.0	79.8	+3.2
4	Astana 2	14	8	6	57%	76.9	74.7	+2.2
5	Aktobe	11	6	5	55%	85.2	86.9	-1.7
6	Almaty	12	4	8	33%	78.1	82.2	-4.1
7	Kaspiy Aktau	14	3	11	21%	74.9	87.6	-12.6
8	Pavlodar	13	1	12	8%	74.2	87.3	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pavlodar	16	25	12	23	76
Aktobe	25	20	32	27	104

← all games of the day

Pavlodar vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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