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Pavlodar vs Aktobe Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#7
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game83.6
KazakhstanNational League· Scysor No
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pavlodar v Aktobe
19 Jan 2026
PAVL52
AKTO86
05 Feb 2025
PAVL v AKTO
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
PAVL v AKTO
upcoming
15 Dec 2023
PAVL76
AKTO104
14 Dec 2023
PAVL71
AKTO87
07 Dec 2018
PAVL65
AKTO72
19 Apr 2018
PAVL78
AKTO99
18 Mar 2018
PAVL46
AKTO55
17 Feb 2018
PAVL53
AKTO72
24 Dec 2017
PAVL59
AKTO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 62
H16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
50avg 62
H17/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 62
H21/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
65avg 62
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 62
A05/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 62
A06/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
58avg 62
A11/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 62
A12/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
60avg 62
A15/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
57avg 62
A16/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
22-13
25-21
25-19
7-22
21-15
17-15
17-18
15-23
17-37
29-17
15-17
22-21
20-17
17-19
10-22
16-19
20-21
6-27
27-20
21-16
21-30
22-23
11-20
18-20
17-22
15-21
20-27
27-31
21-29
21-25
20-17
10-38
25-16
24-23
15-28
19-21
14-25
15-20
16-30
161.5Avg total
73.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.485.9156.3-15.514%
Season at home (12)68.185.4153.5-17.38%
Season away (10)73.286.4159.6-13.220%
Last 10 (10)73.488.1161.5-14.710%
Last 5 (5)74.496.4170.8-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.688.1157.7-18.510%
vs Similar (1)88.094.0182.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 76
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 76
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 76
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 76
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 76
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 76
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
60avg 76
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 76
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 76
H24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
14-15
13-28
19-25
26-25
19-8
23-16
14-24
7-19
16-26
19-16
20-16
15-20
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
158.6Avg total
75.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.183.6160.7-6.421%
Season at home (10)77.680.1157.7-2.530%
Season away (4)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)75.283.4158.6-8.210%
Last 5 (5)69.679.8149.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.283.5162.7-4.429%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)74.772.7147.3+2.033%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
PavlodarAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H17/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H21/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A05/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A12/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A15/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/01
National League
81.9Avg total
36.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.445.379.7-10.913%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.946.178.9-13.213%-
Last 30 away (15)35.944.580.4-8.513%-
Last 10 (10)36.745.281.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.688.2-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)33.945.579.4-11.710%-
vs Similar (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.3-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.740.780.3-1.039%-
Last 30 away (12)41.841.082.8+0.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.241.781.9-1.529%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.031.371.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pavlodar wins
8
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
09/12/24Aktobe v Pavlodar63-67
08/12/24Aktobe v Pavlodar72-93
13/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar96-77
12/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar81-67
15/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe76-104
14/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe71-87
25/03/19Aktobe v Pavlodar85-66
28/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar80-56
01/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar92-66
07/12/18Pavlodar v Aktobe65-72
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AIrbis Almaty64-96
15/01/25AIrbis Almaty74-105
12/01/25AAlmaty89-102
11/01/25AAlmaty70-90
06/01/25ATobol Kostanay75-89
05/01/25ATobol Kostanay69-87
22/12/24HIrbis Almaty69-79
21/12/24HIrbis Almaty76-94
17/12/24HKaspiy Aktau62-70
16/12/24HKaspiy Aktau86-69
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
23/12/24HTobol Kostanay70-78
09/12/24HPavlodar63-67
08/12/24HPavlodar72-93
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL8%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %14%8%20%
Points / game70.468.173.2
Allowed / game85.985.486.4
Point differential-15.5-17.3-13.2
Avg total156.3153.5159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %21%30%0%
Points / game77.177.676.0
Allowed / game83.680.192.2
Point differential-6.4-2.5-16.2
Avg total160.7157.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1816289%88.173.6+14.4
2 Irbis Almaty1713476%80.968.9+12.0
3 Almaty1712571%82.678.2+4.5
4 Atyrau2011955%79.376.2+3.2
5 Astana 22291341%75.080.2-5.2
6 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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