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Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 93-63
21-17 26-14 22-14 24-18
Position#14
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.0
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#15
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game56.3
Allowed / game84.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau 2
18 Dec 2025
PAVL60
KASP58
16 Dec 2025
PAVL93
KASP63
28 Mar 2017
PAVL84
KASP68
05 Mar 2017
PAVL96
KASP56
13 Feb 2017
PAVL86
KASP42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
42avg 53
A14/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-87
38
87
-49
18avg 53
H15/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
49-68
49
68
-19
25avg 53
A16/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
43-86
43
86
-43
23avg 53
H17/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
60-80
60
80
-20
50avg 53
H18/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
60-126
60
126
-66
45avg 53
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
52-109
52
109
-57
28avg 53
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
35-94
35
94
-59
15avg 53
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
63-111
63
111
-48
53avg 53
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-92
35
92
-57
25avg 53
A15/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
9-15
10-16
24-19
11-28
10-22
8-14
9-23
6-19
14-16
9-21
20-12
14-27
11-26
12-16
6-17
23-16
18-18
13-21
6-25
9-36
21-22
16-40
14-28
8-35
10-27
18-36
16-11
7-22
7-22
14-28
7-22
15-31
11-26
13-31
24-23
11-27
11-23
8-20
5-22
141.8Avg total
49.0Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)49.092.8141.8-43.80%
Season at home (5)47.294.6141.8-47.40%
Season away (5)50.891.0141.8-40.20%
Last 10 (10)49.092.8141.8-43.80%
Last 5 (5)49.0106.4155.4-57.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)65.888.0153.7-22.213%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy Aktau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
39-89
39
89
-50
25avg 47
H08/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
68-96
68
96
-28
63avg 47
A09/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
64-81
64
81
-17
56avg 47
H10/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
39-99
39
99
-60
28avg 47
A11/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
51-92
51
92
-41
41avg 47
H12/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
55-100
55
100
-45
no box
A22/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
45-75
45
75
-30
31avg 47
H23/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
54-65
54
65
-11
40avg 47
A24/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
59-80
59
80
-21
37avg 47
H25/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
72-112
72
112
-40
58avg 47
H15/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-28
17-22
10-23
4-16
22-31
12-32
21-16
13-17
18-19
9-21
21-23
16-18
13-24
11-21
6-29
9-25
11-27
11-23
20-18
9-24
23-31
8-22
13-23
11-24
13-23
14-19
7-14
11-19
19-19
15-12
9-10
11-24
12-24
13-19
19-11
15-26
12-25
19-31
22-33
19-23
143.5Avg total
54.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)56.384.8141.1-28.57%
Season at home (9)55.986.4142.3-30.60%
Season away (6)57.082.3139.3-25.317%
Last 10 (10)54.688.9143.5-34.30%
Last 5 (5)57.086.4143.4-29.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)54.789.3144.1-34.63%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -15.0-15.0Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: -12.2-12.2Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -9.8-9.8
-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -15.0-15.0Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: -12.2-12.2Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -9.8-9.8
PavlodarKaspiy Aktau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A14/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H15/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A16/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
H17/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
30-58
30
58
-28
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
18-62
18
62
-44
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
14-44
14
44
-30
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A15/12
Higher League
72.1Avg total
23.8Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.045.577.5-13.520%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.044.576.5-12.533%-
Last 30 away (18)32.046.178.1-14.111%-
Last 10 (10)23.848.372.1-24.510%-
Last 5 (5)22.054.276.2-32.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)32.045.577.5-13.520%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy Aktau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H08/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
34-63
34
63
-29
A09/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H10/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A11/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H12/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A22/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H23/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H15/12
Higher League
75.3Avg total
28.0Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.446.473.8-19.03%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.246.174.4-17.90%-
Last 30 away (16)26.746.773.4-20.06%-
Last 10 (10)28.047.375.3-19.310%-
Last 5 (5)29.645.074.6-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)27.446.473.8-19.03%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pavlodar wins
0
Kaspiy Aktau 2 wins
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25AAtyrau 235-92
30/11/25AShymkent63-111
29/11/25HTuran35-94
28/11/25AShymkent52-109
27/11/25HTuran60-126
18/11/25HKaraganda60-80
17/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk43-86
16/11/25ATigers-KazATU49-68
15/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk38-87
14/11/25ATigers-KazATU55-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25HKaraganda72-112
25/11/25HChelSU Kostanay59-80
24/11/25ATobol Kostanay 254-65
23/11/25HChelSU Kostanay45-75
22/11/25ATobol Kostanay 255-100
12/11/25HAtyrau 251-92
11/11/25ABC Almaty 239-99
10/11/25HCHAMP1ON64-81
09/11/25ABC Almaty 268-96
08/11/25HCHAMP1ON39-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game49.047.250.8
Allowed / game92.894.691.0
Point differential-43.8-47.4-40.2
Avg total141.8141.8141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %7%0%17%
Points / game56.355.957.0
Allowed / game84.886.482.3
Point differential-28.5-30.6-25.3
Avg total141.1142.3139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan15150100%90.758.3+32.4
2 Aktobe1211192%84.668.8+15.8
3 Shymkent1614288%99.270.1+29.1
4 Bars Petropavlovsk1311285%85.558.5+27.0
5 Atyrau 21511473%76.368.9+7.4
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
8 Tigers-KazATU145936%67.781.8-14.1
9 BC Almaty 2124833%73.876.9-3.1
10 Karaganda103730%75.882.0-6.2
11 CHAMP1ON123925%67.676.3-8.8
12 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
13 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
14 Kaspiy Aktau 2151147%56.384.8-28.5
15 Pavlodar100100%49.092.8-43.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar2126222493
Kaspiy Aktau 21714141863
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