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Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 60-58
12-15 9-21 23-11 16-11
Position#14
Record1-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game53.2
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#15
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game57.1
Allowed / game85.4
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau 2
18 Dec 2025
PAVL60
KASP58
16 Dec 2025
PAVL93
KASP63
28 Mar 2017
PAVL84
KASP68
05 Mar 2017
PAVL96
KASP56
13 Feb 2017
PAVL86
KASP42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
49-68
49
68
-19
25avg 53
A16/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
43-86
43
86
-43
23avg 53
H17/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
60-80
60
80
-20
50avg 53
H18/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
60-126
60
126
-66
45avg 53
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
52-109
52
109
-57
28avg 53
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
35-94
35
94
-59
15avg 53
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
63-111
63
111
-48
53avg 53
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-92
35
92
-57
25avg 53
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 53
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 53
A17/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-19
14-16
9-21
20-12
14-27
11-26
12-16
6-17
23-16
18-18
13-21
6-25
9-36
21-22
16-40
14-28
8-35
10-27
18-36
16-11
7-22
7-22
14-28
7-22
15-31
11-26
13-31
24-23
11-27
11-23
8-20
5-22
21-17
26-14
22-14
24-18
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
146.0Avg total
54.5Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)53.289.8142.9-36.68%
Season at home (6)54.889.3144.2-34.517%
Season away (6)51.590.2141.7-38.70%
Last 10 (10)54.591.5146.0-37.010%
Last 5 (5)56.289.2145.4-33.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)65.588.4154.0-22.914%
vs Similar ◀ (1)93.063.0156.0+30.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy Aktau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
64-81
64
81
-17
56avg 47
H10/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
39-99
39
99
-60
28avg 47
A11/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
51-92
51
92
-41
41avg 47
H12/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
55-100
55
100
-45
no box
A22/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
45-75
45
75
-30
31avg 47
H23/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
54-65
54
65
-11
40avg 47
A24/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
59-80
59
80
-21
37avg 47
H25/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
72-112
72
112
-40
58avg 47
H15/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
63-93
63
93
-30
41avg 47
A16/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
63-86
63
86
-23
56avg 47
H17/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
9-21
21-23
16-18
13-24
11-21
6-29
9-25
11-27
11-23
20-18
9-24
23-31
8-22
13-23
11-24
13-23
14-19
7-14
11-19
19-19
15-12
9-10
11-24
12-24
13-19
19-11
15-26
12-25
19-31
22-33
19-23
17-21
14-26
14-22
18-24
12-15
21-35
17-14
13-22
144.8Avg total
56.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)57.185.4142.5-28.26%
Season at home (10)56.686.4143.0-29.80%
Season away (7)57.983.9141.7-26.014%
Last 10 (10)56.588.3144.8-31.80%
Last 5 (5)62.287.2149.4-25.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)56.389.0145.3-32.83%
vs Similar ◀ (1)63.093.0156.0-30.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -9.4-9.4Q3Q3: -10.8-10.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -9.7-9.7
-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -9.4-9.4Q3Q3: -10.8-10.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -9.7-9.7
PavlodarKaspiy Aktau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A16/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
H17/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
30-58
30
58
-28
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
18-62
18
62
-44
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
14-44
14
44
-30
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
73.8Avg total
26.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.445.577.9-13.023%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.944.378.2-10.445%-
Last 30 away (19)31.646.277.7-14.611%-
Last 10 (10)26.747.173.8-20.420%-
Last 5 (5)26.645.872.4-19.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)31.946.077.9-14.021%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)47.031.078.0+16.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy Aktau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H10/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A11/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H12/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A22/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H23/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H15/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A16/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H17/12
Higher League
74.2Avg total
28.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.246.374.5-18.13%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.546.474.9-17.90%-
Last 30 away (15)27.946.374.1-18.47%-
Last 10 (10)28.545.774.2-17.210%-
Last 5 (5)30.845.476.2-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)28.146.374.4-18.23%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)31.047.078.0-16.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pavlodar wins
0
Kaspiy Aktau 2 wins
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
16/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 293-63
15/12/25AAtyrau 235-92
30/11/25AShymkent63-111
29/11/25HTuran35-94
28/11/25AShymkent52-109
27/11/25HTuran60-126
18/11/25HKaraganda60-80
17/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk43-86
16/11/25ATigers-KazATU49-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HKaraganda63-86
16/12/25APavlodar63-93
15/12/25HKaraganda72-112
25/11/25HChelSU Kostanay59-80
24/11/25ATobol Kostanay 254-65
23/11/25HChelSU Kostanay45-75
22/11/25ATobol Kostanay 255-100
12/11/25HAtyrau 251-92
11/11/25ABC Almaty 239-99
10/11/25HCHAMP1ON64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game53.254.851.5
Allowed / game89.889.390.2
Point differential-36.6-34.5-38.7
Avg total142.9144.2141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game57.156.657.9
Allowed / game85.486.483.9
Point differential-28.2-29.8-26.0
Avg total142.5143.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan17170100%89.859.5+30.3
2 Aktobe1211192%84.668.8+15.8
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21713476%77.168.2+8.8
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1511473%83.962.4+21.5
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
8 BC Almaty 2124833%73.876.9-3.1
9 Karaganda124833%76.380.2-3.9
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 CHAMP1ON123925%67.676.3-8.8
12 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
13 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
14 Pavlodar121118%53.289.8-36.6
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2171166%57.185.4-28.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar129231660
Kaspiy Aktau 21521111158
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