PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pelplin vs Lancut Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 92-90
Projected total 182.5
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game93.4
Vs
56%
44%
■ PELP 56%■ LANC 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.4
Poland1 LigaRound 10· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pelplin v Lancut
21 Nov 2026
PELP v LANC
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
PELP83
LANC69
30 Mar 2025
PELP87
LANC88
09 Oct 2021
PELP79
LANC91
17 Oct 2020
PELP94
LANC92
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Pelplin host Lancut in the 1 Liga. Pythia makes Pelplin the favourite at 56% and projects 92-90, about 183 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Pelplin are 5-4 this season (92.8 scored, 93.4 allowed a game), form WWLLW; Lancut are 4-4 this season (87.0 scored, 84.4 allowed a game), form LLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin win
56.1%fair 1.78
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut win
43.9%fair 2.28
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 78
A29/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
92avg 78
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 78
A30/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
83-97
83
97
-14
74avg 78
A03/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 78
H09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
98avg 78
A17/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 78
H24/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
94-108
94
108
-14
88avg 78
A31/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
108-101
108
101
+7
no box
A14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-31
25-23
17-17
30-14
18-25
22-17
19-20
21-28
19-23
15-19
19-21
17-23
24-21
21-22
21-31
23-23
23-16
15-27
30-14
33-18
26-28
19-32
28-20
34-21
20-22
25-25
20-24
25-29
27-28
27-30
15-21
29-19
23-23
21-29
18-27
26-35
30-20
25-16
27-30
184.7Avg total
91.3Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.893.4186.2-0.756%
Season at home (4)92.586.5179.0+6.075%
Season away (5)93.099.0192.0-6.040%
Last 10 (10)91.393.4184.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)99.699.4199.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.296.0181.2-10.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.587.1170.6-3.641%
vs Weaker (8)91.583.6175.1+7.988%
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
74avg 82
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 82
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
88avg 82
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 82
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
80avg 82
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
L
84-91
84
91
-7
79avg 82
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
67avg 82
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
104-84
104
84
+20
111avg 82
A25/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
L
73-92
73
92
-19
60avg 82
A31/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
16-19
18-18
23-22
25-24
20-23
19-16
18-28
12-34
28-31
29-16
24-14
20-16
22-16
23-22
25-22
23-14
20-15
17-17
18-19
25-24
15-23
23-22
21-22
20-22
19-21
17-15
24-32
26-24
28-20
26-14
24-26
24-25
21-24
15-24
13-19
26-14
22-25
24-14
22-29
170.7Avg total
86.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.084.4171.4+2.650%
Season at home (3)89.383.0172.3+6.367%
Season away (5)85.685.2170.8+0.440%
Last 10 (10)86.084.7170.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)87.087.8174.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.789.7171.3-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.287.0175.2+1.271%
vs Weaker (7)89.186.1175.3+3.057%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
85.8%
Under 164.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
77.7%
Under 169.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
67.6%
Under 174.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Pelplin total 82.5
Over 82.5
82.2%
Under 82.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pelplin total 86.5
Over 86.5
70.4%
Under 86.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pelplin total 90.5
Over 90.5
55.9%
Under 90.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lancut total 79.5
Over 79.5
85.2%
Under 79.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lancut total 83.5
Over 83.5
74.3%
Under 83.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lancut total 87.5
Over 87.5
60.4%
Under 87.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pelplin -3
PELP -3
47.0%
LANC +3
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
PELP
No market prices yet.
LANC
No market prices yet.
Spread Pelplin 0
PELP 0
56.1%
LANC 0
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
PELP
No market prices yet.
LANC
No market prices yet.
Spread Pelplin +3
PELP +3
65.1%
LANC -3
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
PELP
No market prices yet.
LANC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
PelplinLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A30/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A17/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H24/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A31/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H07/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A14/11
1 Liga
95.3Avg total
48.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.688.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.440.183.5+3.369%-
Last 30 away (17)45.048.193.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)48.446.995.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.648.6103.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.247.897.0+1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.844.886.6-3.135%-
vs Weaker (8)46.642.188.8+4.575%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A25/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A31/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/11
1 Liga
87.3Avg total
43.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.489.6-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.884.8+1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)45.248.193.2-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.687.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.446.689.0-4.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.943.087.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (7)45.148.693.7-3.429%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.6
53.9%
53.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.1
33.5%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws26.418.0
68.2%
70.8%18.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.3
33.0%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.818.4
74.2%
70.8%18.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WLLWWWLLWL
Lancut
WLWLLWWLLW
#7
League position
#9
-4.1
Net rating
-0.3
92.7
Offensive rating
95.0
96.8
Defensive rating
95.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.5%
3-point %
33.0%
59.3%
Assist %
69.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 95.0Defence96.8 · 95.3Shooting52.7% · 52.3%3-point %33.5% · 33.0%Ball care17.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pelplin   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pelplin wins
5
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Pelplin v Lancut83-69
25/10/25Lancut v Pelplin77-70
30/03/25Pelplin v Lancut87-88
21/12/24Lancut v Pelplin91-92
22/01/22Lancut v Pelplin86-80
09/10/21Pelplin v Lancut79-91
23/01/21Lancut v Pelplin98-91
17/10/20Pelplin v Lancut94-92
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AStarogard Gdanski108-101
07/11/26HLKS Lodz91-98
31/10/26APolonia Warszawa94-108
24/10/26HSpojnia Stargard99-92
17/10/26AR. Rzeszow106-98
09/10/26HKrosno91-80
03/10/26AWKK Wroclaw83-97
30/09/26ALeszno74-91
27/09/26HPoli. Opolska89-76
29/04/26ASpojnia Stargard78-93
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HSpojnia Stargard94-82
31/10/26AKrosno73-92
25/10/26APoli. Opolska104-84
18/10/26APoznan80-90
11/10/26HBytom84-91
03/10/26AGKS Tychy78-65
26/09/26HStarogard Gdanski90-76
21/09/26APolonia Warszawa93-95
26/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-91
25/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game92.892.593.0
Allowed / game93.486.599.0
Point differential-0.7+6.0-6.0
Avg total186.2179.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game87.089.385.6
Allowed / game84.483.085.2
Point differential+2.6+6.3+0.4
Avg total171.4172.3170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz86275%89.279.9+9.4
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
9 Lancut84450%87.084.4+2.6
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 Bytom82625%81.686.4-4.8
13 R. Rzeszow82625%78.287.9-9.6
14 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
15 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.