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Pelplin vs Polonia Warszawa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-85
17-25 21-26 32-9 19-25
Position#7
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game78.9
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#11
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.1
Poland1 LigaRound 11· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pelplin v Polonia Warszawa
13 Feb 2027
PELP v POLO
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
PELP79
POLO57
16 Nov 2024
PELP89
POLO85
06 Apr 2024
PELP81
POLO82
08 Oct 2022
PELP79
POLO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polonia Warszawa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 73
A28/09
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 73
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 73
A09/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 73
H12/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 73
H16/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 73
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 73
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
67avg 73
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
82avg 73
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 73
H13/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
20-14
24-20
15-14
21-23
19-25
20-17
20-11
26-17
11-12
17-21
19-26
15-21
16-28
20-17
20-15
14-14
16-28
24-14
34-23
17-15
20-14
18-24
21-21
26-24
12-17
18-17
22-30
29-16
14-15
25-18
8-14
22-22
22-27
10-17
30-26
25-18
8-24
14-22
21-19
156.8Avg total
77.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.978.9156.8-1.050%
Season at home (5)76.676.4153.0+0.260%
Season away (5)79.281.4160.6-2.240%
Last 10 (10)77.978.9156.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)76.480.0156.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.782.6150.2-14.911%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.585.3168.7-1.847%
vs Weaker (6)87.373.3160.7+14.083%
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polonia WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarszawa
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#9
W
84-64
84
64
+20
83avg 77
H14/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
92avg 77
H06/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 77
A09/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
62avg 77
A16/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 77
A19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
75-64
75
64
+11
66avg 77
A23/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 77
H26/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
96-87
96
87
+9
104avg 77
A03/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 77
H09/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
95avg 77
A13/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
14-21
16-17
28-10
29-13
17-22
18-22
19-11
8-19
24-21
21-27
22-19
13-22
26-21
20-18
19-26
19-22
22-21
14-16
32-17
23-16
14-12
19-9
19-27
18-23
21-23
29-16
19-15
24-14
30-14
25-28
17-31
21-17
15-15
25-30
18-19
21-20
21-24
28-19
21-28
164.1Avg total
84.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.881.1165.9+3.756%
Season at home (3)83.075.3158.3+7.767%
Season away (6)85.784.0169.7+1.750%
Last 10 (10)84.779.4164.1+5.360%
Last 5 (5)88.082.6170.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.188.8167.8-9.725%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.481.8165.2+1.750%
vs Weaker (6)91.577.5169.0+14.083%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
PelplinPolonia Warszawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/09
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A09/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H16/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/11
1 Liga
78.2Avg total
37.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.380.7-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.142.279.3-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.582.1+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.378.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.477.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.641.774.2-9.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.443.083.4-2.647%-
vs Weaker (6)47.236.783.8+10.583%-
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polonia WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H14/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H06/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A16/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H26/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A03/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H09/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/11
1 Liga
78.2Avg total
40.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.683.1+1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.040.484.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.881.9+0.325%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.678.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.677.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.844.586.2-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.837.478.2+3.350%-
vs Weaker (6)47.339.386.7+8.050%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.9
50.9%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.8
27.8%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.616.7
70.8%
70.2%16.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polonia Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polonia Warszawa: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.8
52.8%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.617.3
70.3%
70.2%17.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LLWLWWLLWW
Polonia Warszawa
LLWWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#11
-1.5
Net rating
+6.2
99.2
Offensive rating
105.4
100.8
Defensive rating
99.2
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.8%
3-point %
32.5%
65.9%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 105.4Defence100.8 · 99.2Shooting47.3% · 51.2%3-point %27.8% · 32.5%Ball care19.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Pelplin   ■ Polonia Warszawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pelplin wins
2
Polonia Warszawa wins
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HGKS Tychy68-83
06/11/24ABydgoszcz84-92
02/11/24HR. Rzeszow76-63
27/10/24AStarogard Gdanski78-88
20/10/24AMKKS Koszalin76-74
16/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II88-79
12/10/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg71-81
09/10/24AInowroclaw73-76
05/10/24HHydroTruck Radom80-76
28/09/24AWKK Wroclaw85-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ALKS Lodz103-104 OT
09/11/24HPoznan79-81
03/11/24AKrosno96-87
26/10/24HTrefl Sopot II87-77
23/10/24ALancut75-64
19/10/24AGKS Tychy87-76
16/10/24ABydgoszcz78-87
09/10/24AR. Rzeszow75-86
06/10/24HStarogard Gdanski83-68
14/04/24HGKS Tychy84-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game77.976.679.2
Allowed / game78.976.481.4
Point differential-1.0+0.2-2.2
Avg total156.8153.0160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polonia Warszawa
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game84.883.085.7
Allowed / game81.175.384.0
Point differential+3.7+7.7+1.7
Avg total165.9158.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz107370%82.977.4+5.5
2 Inowroclaw107370%85.381.7+3.6
3 Poznan117464%86.579.6+6.8
4 Krosno117464%84.781.1+3.6
5 Poli. Opolska106460%81.378.7+2.6
6 Starogard Gdanski106460%83.881.5+2.3
7 Polonia Warszawa95456%84.881.1+3.7
8 Lancut95456%82.181.9+0.2
9 GKS Tychy105550%78.577.7+0.8
10 Pelplin105550%77.978.9-1.0
11 Trefl Sopot II115645%85.385.6-0.4
12 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%79.775.3+4.3
13 R. Rzeszow94544%76.884.2-7.4
14 LKS Lodz104640%83.184.3-1.2
15 WKK Wroclaw104640%77.479.6-2.2
16 HydroTruck Radom103730%77.783.0-5.3
17 MKKS Koszalin103730%77.983.3-5.4
18 Slask Wroclaw II92722%70.683.3-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin1721321989
Polonia Warszawa252692585
← all games of the day
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