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Pelplin vs Polonia Warszawa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-57
19-11 20-12 17-22 23-12
Position#7
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game84.8
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#11
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game84.4
Poland1 LigaRound 11· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pelplin v Polonia Warszawa
13 Feb 2027
PELP v POLO
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
PELP79
POLO57
16 Nov 2024
PELP89
POLO85
06 Apr 2024
PELP81
POLO82
08 Oct 2022
PELP79
POLO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polonia Warszawa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
82-59
82
59
+23
78avg 78
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
103avg 78
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 78
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
38avg 78
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 78
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 78
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 78
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 78
H15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
25-14
18-10
23-18
26-27
18-23
27-24
36-28
24-24
21-24
28-29
18-19
29-20
14-18
16-17
25-25
21-26
24-28
29-24
15-27
17-11
19-22
21-26
26-13
26-20
21-16
12-22
11-19
21-17
26-17
26-28
21-15
23-19
22-27
23-27
18-22
20-14
15-19
14-31
19-21
170.2Avg total
85.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.484.8170.2+0.650%
Season at home (5)87.283.2170.4+4.080%
Season away (5)83.686.4170.0-2.820%
Last 10 (10)85.484.8170.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.281.2161.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.092.1172.1-12.133%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.185.2170.3-0.147%
vs Weaker (6)82.574.0156.5+8.567%
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polonia WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarszawa
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
71avg 74
H22/09
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 74
A28/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
87avg 74
H01/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 74
A05/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 74
H12/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
82avg 74
A19/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 74
H26/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 74
A31/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
108-96
108
96
+12
112avg 74
H08/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
57-83
57
83
-26
46avg 74
A15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-17
29-18
20-21
21-16
18-29
17-24
22-20
26-20
25-22
17-23
26-22
20-15
18-22
24-22
20-12
18-16
22-19
23-22
22-33
15-21
23-24
26-17
18-20
19-17
19-18
23-23
25-19
23-20
22-18
17-14
25-28
25-26
32-22
22-24
29-24
9-29
21-11
16-20
11-23
169.9Avg total
85.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.584.4169.9+1.170%
Season at home (5)91.486.0177.4+5.480%
Season away (5)79.682.8162.4-3.260%
Last 10 (10)85.584.4169.9+1.170%
Last 5 (5)86.485.4171.8+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.783.7160.3-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.878.8159.6+1.960%
vs Weaker (4)86.587.5174.0-1.050%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
PelplinPolonia Warszawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
1 Liga
83.1Avg total
42.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.785.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.339.984.1+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.745.286.9-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.383.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.478.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.345.789.0-2.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.343.186.4+0.140%-
vs Weaker (6)41.337.278.5+4.250%-
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polonia WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/09
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H01/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H26/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
1 Liga
81.7Avg total
41.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.8+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.638.778.3+0.856%-
Last 30 away (12)41.840.282.0+1.558%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.681.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.282.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.241.777.8-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.938.279.1+2.760%-
vs Weaker (4)44.541.586.0+3.075%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.8
53.1%
52.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.9
34.5%
31.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.117.9
66.1%
70.0%17.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polonia Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polonia Warszawa: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.5
51.7%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
31.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws27.519.1
69.5%
70.0%19.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LLWLWLWLWW
Polonia Warszawa
LWWWWLWWLW
#7
League position
#11
+0.3
Net rating
+1.4
112.2
Offensive rating
110.4
111.9
Defensive rating
108.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.43
34.5%
3-point %
33.3%
63.2%
Assist %
58.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 110.4Defence111.9 · 108.9Shooting52.7% · 51.0%3-point %34.5% · 33.3%Ball care15.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 32.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Pelplin   ■ Polonia Warszawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pelplin wins
3
Polonia Warszawa wins
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HBydgoszcz68-85
09/11/25ALeszno86-95
02/11/25HPoli. Opolska94-77
25/10/25ALancut70-77
19/10/25HLKS Lodz83-72
11/10/25AGKS Tychy89-105
04/10/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg84-80
01/10/25AStarogard Gdanski91-96
27/09/25HSpojnia Stargard107-102
21/09/25AMiners Katowice82-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ALeszno57-83
08/11/25HLancut108-96
31/10/25AGKS Tychy87-80
26/10/25HStarogard Gdanski86-77
19/10/25AMiners Katowice94-91 OT
12/10/25HR. Rzeszow85-90
05/10/25APoznan82-71
01/10/25HZubry Bialystok94-87
28/09/25ABydgoszcz78-89
22/09/25HPoli. Opolska84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game85.487.283.6
Allowed / game84.883.286.4
Point differential+0.6+4.0-2.8
Avg total170.2170.4170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polonia Warszawa
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.591.479.6
Allowed / game84.486.082.8
Point differential+1.1+5.4-3.2
Avg total169.9177.4162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz109190%88.376.1+12.2
2 Starogard Gdanski98189%86.676.0+10.6
3 LKS Lodz97278%84.074.9+9.1
4 Polonia Warszawa107370%85.584.4+1.1
5 GKS Tychy117464%87.183.8+3.3
6 Lancut117464%85.884.5+1.3
7 Spojnia Stargard95456%82.380.8+1.6
8 R. Rzeszow95456%80.179.4+0.7
9 Pelplin105550%85.484.8+0.6
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%77.177.0+0.1
11 Leszno104640%76.481.1-4.7
12 WKK Wroclaw114736%78.582.5-4.0
13 Poznan103730%78.678.7-0.1
14 Poli. Opolska103730%82.185.4-3.3
15 Inowroclaw103730%77.686.0-8.4
16 Miners Katowice92722%77.284.2-7.0
17 Zubry Bialystok9090%73.986.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin1920172379
Polonia Warszawa1112221257
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