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Pelplin vs Trefl Sopot II Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-91
19-27 25-22 25-22 28-20
Position#7
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.5
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#18
Record5-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game86.8
Poland1 LigaRound 12· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot II winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 72
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 72
A09/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 72
H12/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 72
H16/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 72
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 72
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
67avg 72
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
82avg 72
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 72
H13/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 72
H16/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-25
20-17
20-11
26-17
11-12
17-21
19-26
15-21
16-28
20-17
20-15
14-14
16-28
24-14
34-23
17-15
20-14
18-24
21-21
26-24
12-17
18-17
22-30
29-16
14-15
25-18
8-14
22-22
22-27
10-17
30-26
25-18
8-24
14-22
21-19
17-25
21-26
32-9
19-25
158.0Avg total
78.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.979.5158.4-0.555%
Season at home (6)78.777.8156.5+0.867%
Season away (5)79.281.4160.6-2.240%
Last 10 (10)78.379.7158.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)79.082.2161.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.782.6150.2-14.911%
vs Similar (15)83.785.1168.9-1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.373.3160.7+14.083%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl Sopot IIPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormII
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 76
A09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
72avg 76
H12/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
90avg 76
H20/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
64-72
64
72
-8
54avg 76
H23/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
60avg 76
A26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
91avg 76
A02/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 76
H07/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
92-84
92
84
+8
89avg 76
H09/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
81avg 76
A13/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
79avg 76
H17/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
20-20
30-19
22-26
20-27
20-22
18-24
24-19
22-35
25-25
24-15
22-16
17-23
17-15
15-20
15-14
23-18
23-21
16-29
15-19
15-24
18-20
21-21
25-14
31-20
21-25
14-21
14-16
15-22
30-22
21-12
26-28
25-28
27-27
21-20
11-25
26-34
13-21
22-24
26-21
172.7Avg total
83.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.486.8172.2-1.442%
Season at home (7)84.485.3169.7-0.943%
Season away (5)86.889.0175.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)83.988.8172.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)87.892.8180.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)84.188.4172.6-4.333%
vs Similar (3)89.382.0171.3+7.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
PelplinTrefl Sopot II
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A09/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H16/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H16/11
1 Liga
78.2Avg total
37.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.680.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.642.779.3-6.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.582.1+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.178.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.641.774.2-9.111%-
vs Similar (15)39.943.583.3-3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.236.783.8+10.583%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl Sopot IILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H20/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A13/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H17/11
1 Liga
88.6Avg total
42.0Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)43.045.488.4-2.442%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.046.089.0-3.043%-
Last 30 away (5)43.044.687.6-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.046.688.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.692.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.246.388.6-4.133%-
vs Similar (3)45.342.788.0+2.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.5
52.0%
51.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.7
26.3%
32.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.716.9
71.3%
70.2%16.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopot IItheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot II: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.0
53.1%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.0
28.9%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.216.5
71.1%
70.2%16.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WLLWLWWLLW
Trefl Sopot II
LLWLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#18
-0.9
Net rating
-5.1
100.4
Offensive rating
103.3
101.3
Defensive rating
108.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.3%
3-point %
28.9%
65.4%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 103.3Defence101.3 · 108.4Shooting47.1% · 48.7%3-point %26.3% · 28.9%Ball care19.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Pelplin   ■ Trefl Sopot II
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pelplin wins
0
Trefl Sopot II wins
No previous meetings.
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HPolonia Warszawa89-85
13/11/24HGKS Tychy68-83
06/11/24ABydgoszcz84-92
02/11/24HR. Rzeszow76-63
27/10/24AStarogard Gdanski78-88
20/10/24AMKKS Koszalin76-74
16/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II88-79
12/10/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg71-81
09/10/24AInowroclaw73-76
05/10/24HHydroTruck Radom80-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HLKS Lodz87-100
13/11/24APoznan84-100
09/11/24HKrosno92-84
07/11/24HWKK Wroclaw80-82
02/11/24ALancut96-98 OT
26/10/24APolonia Warszawa77-87
23/10/24HGKS Tychy64-72
20/10/24HBydgoszcz93-91
12/10/24HR. Rzeszow82-92
09/10/24AStarogard Gdanski84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game78.978.779.2
Allowed / game79.577.881.4
Point differential-0.5+0.8-2.2
Avg total158.4156.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trefl Sopot II
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%43%40%
Points / game85.484.486.8
Allowed / game86.885.389.0
Point differential-1.4-0.9-2.2
Avg total172.2169.7175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz118373%82.577.4+5.1
2 Poznan128467%86.179.8+6.3
3 Krosno117464%84.781.1+3.6
4 Inowroclaw117464%84.482.5+1.9
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg138562%78.874.0+4.8
6 Starogard Gdanski127558%83.180.4+2.7
7 GKS Tychy116555%80.577.7+2.8
8 Poli. Opolska116555%81.080.7+0.3
9 Lancut116555%82.582.9-0.4
10 Pelplin116555%78.979.5-0.5
11 Polonia Warszawa105550%84.881.9+2.9
12 LKS Lodz115645%84.684.5+0.1
13 Trefl Sopot II125742%85.486.8-1.4
14 WKK Wroclaw114736%77.479.5-2.1
15 R. Rzeszow114736%74.482.8-8.5
16 HydroTruck Radom124833%78.581.7-3.2
17 MKKS Koszalin124833%78.883.2-4.4
18 Slask Wroclaw II112918%71.682.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin1925252897
Trefl Sopot II2722222091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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