Penarol vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 92-90 (OT)

16-20 20-24 21-25 26-14 9-7

Position#2

Record1-1

FormLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game75.0

Penarol 🏆

Bigua

Position#7

Record1-2

FormWLLLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game83.3

Liga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol

Other2023-24

Meetings · Penarol v Bigua

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bigua winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Aguada

76-77

-1

63avg 76

A28/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

90-73

+17

88avg 76

A02/11

Liga Uruguaya

14-19

23-19

16-17

23-22

24-19

26-16

11-8

29-30

158.0Avg total

83.0Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	83.0	75.0	158.0	+8.0	50%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	83.0	75.0	158.0	+8.0	50%
Last 10 (2)	83.0	75.0	158.0	+8.0	50%
Last 5 (2)	83.0	75.0	158.0	+8.0	50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	76.0	77.0	153.0	-1.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	90.0	73.0	163.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bigua

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBigua

Date

Competition

Larre Borges

#11

92-85

no box

A01/04

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#11

90-74

+16

no box

H05/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

69-70

-1

no box

H19/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

84-91

-7

no box

A22/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

87-68

+19

no box

H26/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

93-80

+13

no box

A03/05

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

79-88

-9

no box

H06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

59-93

-34

44avg 68

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

79-84

-5

73avg 68

H01/11

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

84-73

+11

88avg 68

A04/11

Liga Uruguaya

26-18

25-22

25-24

16-21

32-12

19-16

22-26

17-20

15-25

23-23

15-9

16-13

28-30

25-17

17-21

14-23

26-18

23-12

21-20

17-18

27-19

18-19

22-19

26-23

23-17

20-20

17-22

19-29

21-18

9-24

12-33

17-18

19-24

18-22

14-18

28-20

30-20

21-21

11-20

22-12

162.2Avg total

81.6Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	74.0	83.3	157.3	-9.3	33%
Season at home (1)	79.0	84.0	163.0	-5.0	0%
Season away (2)	71.5	83.0	154.5	-11.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	80.6	162.2	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	83.6	162.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	75.8	93.0	168.8	-17.2	25%
vs Similar (8)	86.0	86.6	172.6	-0.6	62%
vs Weaker (18)	92.9	86.8	179.7	+6.1	72%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolBigua

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.5	46.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	25.1	48.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	20.1	44.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.2	23.8	41.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.6	23.9	47.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.3	23.3	47.7	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 10 (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 5 (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	26.0	16.0	42.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	20.8	44.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	24.2	43.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.5	19.5	44.0	+5.0	72%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

37-38

-1

A28/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

50-35

+15

A02/11

Liga Uruguaya

80.0Avg total

43.5Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	43.5	36.5	80.0	+7.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (2)	43.5	36.5	80.0	+7.0	50%	-
Last 10 (2)	43.5	36.5	80.0	+7.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	43.5	36.5	80.0	+7.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	50.0	35.0	85.0	+15.0	100%	-

This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Larre Borges

#11

51-40

+11

A01/04

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#11

51-28

+23

H05/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

38-48

-10

H19/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

53-47

A22/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

49-30

+19

H26/04

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

45-38

A03/05

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

43-37

H06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

30-42

-12

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

37-46

-9

H01/11

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

51-41

+10

A04/11

Liga Uruguaya

84.5Avg total

44.8Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	44.2	90.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.6	42.8	89.4	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.2	45.5	90.7	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	39.7	84.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.8	48.0	84.8	-11.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.9	45.2	89.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	48.8	42.8	91.7	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	13.5	12.5	26.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (2)	13.5	12.5	26.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (2)	13.5	12.5	26.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	13.5	12.5	26.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	11.0	8.0	19.0	+3.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	22.4	37.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	29.0	30.0	59.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	24.1	46.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	24.5	44.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.9	21.6	44.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	39%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	43.2	85.5	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	44.9	89.5	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	41.5	81.5	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	40.9	77.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.0	45.0	84.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.1	41.4	83.5	+0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.2	43.6	86.8	-0.3	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 81.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.5	51.3%	51.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	11.0	36.1%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	9.0	69.2%	71.7%	9.0

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 74.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.0	50.5%	51.0%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	8.3	28.1%	33.3%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	15.0	69.2%	71.7%	15.0

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.5	53.0%	51.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	9.5	30.6%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.0	11.5	82.1%	71.7%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	17.7	51.5%	51.0%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.0	11.3	34.3%	33.3%	34.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.3	72.7%	71.7%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.5	53.0%	51.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	9.5	30.6%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.0	11.5	82.1%	71.7%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	17.7	51.5%	51.0%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.0	11.3	34.3%	33.3%	34.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.3	72.7%	71.7%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

Bigua

WLLLWWLLWW

League position

+8.1

Net rating

-11.4

108.8

Offensive rating

97.2

100.8

Defensive rating

108.6

52.6%

Effective FG%

46.6%

49.6%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

13.5%

Turnover %

17.2%

26.7%

Off. rebound %

26.3%

0.19

Free-throw rate

0.34

36.1%

3-point %

28.1%

59.0%

Assist %

76.3%

50%

Form (last 2/10)

50%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ Bigua

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Bigua wins

No previous meetings.

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	90-73
28/10/23	A	Aguada	76-77

Bigualast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/23	A	Malvin	84-73
01/11/23	H	Urupan	79-84
29/10/23	A	Hebraica y Macabi	59-93
06/05/23	H	Nacional	79-88
03/05/23	A	Nacional	93-80
26/04/23	H	Nacional	87-68
22/04/23	A	Nacional	84-91
19/04/23	H	Nacional	69-70
05/04/23	H	Larre Borges	90-74
01/04/23	A	Larre Borges	92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga Uruguaya 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	-	-
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	50%	-	50%
Points / game	83.0	-	83.0
Allowed / game	75.0	-	75.0
Point differential	+8.0	-	+8.0
Avg total	158.0	-	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	-	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Bigua

Liga Uruguaya 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Points / game	74.0	79.0	71.5
Allowed / game	83.3	84.0	83.0
Point differential	-9.3	-5.0	-11.5
Avg total	157.3	163.0	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nacional	3	3	0	100%	92.0	71.0	+21.0
2	Aguada	4	3	1	75%	79.2	75.0	+4.2
3	Defensor	3	2	1	67%	78.7	71.0	+7.7
4	Hebraica y Macabi	3	2	1	67%	78.7	71.0	+7.7
5	Malvin	3	2	1	67%	85.7	82.0	+3.7
6	Penarol	2	1	1	50%	83.0	75.0	+8.0
7	Urupan	2	1	1	50%	78.5	83.5	-5.0
8	Trouville	3	1	2	33%	80.0	82.3	-2.3
9	Bigua	3	1	2	33%	74.0	83.3	-9.3
10	Larre Borges	3	1	2	33%	79.7	90.0	-10.3
11	Cordon	4	1	3	25%	74.5	86.2	-11.8
12	Goes	3	0	3	0%	77.0	87.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Penarol	16	20	21	26	9	92
Bigua	20	24	25	14	7	90

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Penarol vs Bigua Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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