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Penarol vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 98-76
31-19 18-22 19-15 30-20
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#5
Record11-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game88.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Bigua
09 Feb 2026
PENA98
BIGU76
06 Dec 2024
PENA76
BIGU73
07 Nov 2023
PENA92
BIGU90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 81
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 81
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-67
89
67
+22
91avg 81
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 81
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
77-58
77
58
+19
83avg 81
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
71avg 81
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
107-74
107
74
+33
114avg 81
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 81
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 81
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 81
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
28-14
22-10
20-13
21-16
19-16
17-22
25-15
24-19
25-11
27-19
13-18
20-25
27-16
21-25
20-14
19-16
20-10
19-11
19-21
17-18
23-12
19-19
20-20
27-15
25-18
24-24
31-17
20-25
21-21
19-20
20-25
26-15
28-15
17-19
24-27
24-24
24-18
22-13
14-26
158.9Avg total
86.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.872.6159.3+14.285%
Season at home (10)91.574.9166.4+16.6100%
Season away (10)82.070.3152.3+11.770%
Last 10 (10)86.672.3158.9+14.390%
Last 5 (5)89.078.2167.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.675.3160.9+10.378%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 79
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
100avg 79
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 79
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 79
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
87-95
87
95
-8
69avg 79
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
73-97
73
97
-24
66avg 79
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 79
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 79
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
126avg 79
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
25-27
27-31
24-11
26-23
22-22
22-30
23-18
22-23
20-28
12-23
22-24
32-26
23-25
21-24
32-24
23-29
25-26
23-23
16-17
26-14
17-18
17-25
27-17
18-31
15-35
18-24
22-7
25-32
21-27
32-14
24-23
28-19
15-26
21-25
15-16
30-12
25-21
30-21
33-16
184.5Avg total
93.8Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.388.5177.8+0.855%
Season at home (10)92.587.4179.9+5.170%
Season away (10)86.289.6175.8-3.440%
Last 10 (10)93.890.7184.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)91.884.6176.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.796.0176.7-15.30%
vs Similar (12)87.888.2175.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (12)95.881.6177.4+14.283%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.5+6.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.5+6.5
PenarolBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
79.8Avg total
45.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.382.2+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.338.581.8+4.865%-
Last 30 away (13)44.638.082.6+6.669%-
Last 10 (10)45.334.579.8+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.036.283.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (2)35.038.073.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.638.382.8+6.367%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
94.1Avg total
46.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.889.7+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.343.489.8+2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.246.489.6-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)46.048.194.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.091.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.252.394.5-10.20%-
vs Similar (12)44.645.790.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker (12)46.540.286.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.9
53.4%
53.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.713.2
63.8%
70.9%13.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.5
55.3%
53.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.512.1
39.7%
33.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.3
76.4%
70.9%13.3
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWLWWWWWWW
Bigua
WLWLWLWLWW
#1
League position
#5
+17.3
Net rating
-0.4
101.5
Offensive rating
109.5
84.2
Defensive rating
109.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
57.2%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.3%
3-point %
39.7%
68.5%
Assist %
59.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 109.5Defence84.2 · 109.8Shooting55.0% · 57.2%3-point %38.3% · 39.7%Ball care17.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds35.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penarol wins
0
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Bigua v Penarol69-86
14/02/25Bigua v Penarol72-83
06/12/24Penarol v Bigua76-73
04/01/24Bigua v Penarol81-87
08/11/23Penarol v Bigua92-90 OT
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ADefensor84-81
30/01/26HGoes95-76
27/01/26AAguada80-91
20/01/26HWelcome107-74
14/01/26HHebraica y Macabi79-69
10/01/26ACordon77-58
18/12/25HUnion Atletica88-80
16/12/25AMalvin89-67
09/12/25HNacional82-69
04/12/25HUrunday85-58
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HCordon118-70
29/01/26AUnion Atletica79-86
26/01/26HMalvin102-96
23/01/26ANacional73-97
15/01/26HUrunday87-74
11/01/26AAguada87-95
07/01/26AHebraica y Macabi108-99
19/12/25ADefensor76-98
12/12/25HGoes110-106 OT
05/12/25AWelcome98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%100%70%
Points / game86.891.582.0
Allowed / game72.674.970.3
Point differential+14.2+16.6+11.7
Avg total159.3166.4152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%90%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%70%40%
Points / game89.392.586.2
Allowed / game88.587.489.6
Point differential+0.8+5.1-3.4
Avg total177.8179.9175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2017385%86.872.6+14.2
2 Nacional1913668%92.283.2+9.0
3 Aguada1812667%93.688.1+5.5
4 Malvin2013765%81.881.0+0.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi1912763%84.081.0+3.0
6 Bigua2011955%89.388.5+0.8
7 Union Atletica1910953%83.582.4+1.1
8 Defensor1991047%85.885.7+0.1
9 Urunday2081240%88.386.0+2.3
10 Goes2061430%82.189.7-7.5
11 Cordon2031715%80.993.6-12.7
12 Welcome2031715%80.796.1-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol3118193098
Bigua1922152076
← all games of the day
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