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Penarol vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:45
Final 76-73
23-24 19-17 22-16 12-16
Position#3
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.0
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game86.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Bigua
09 Feb 2026
PENA98
BIGU76
06 Dec 2024
PENA76
BIGU73
07 Nov 2023
PENA92
BIGU90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 76
A07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
85avg 76
H11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 76
A15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 76
H18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 76
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
82avg 76
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 76
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 76
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 76
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
94-67
94
67
+27
97avg 76
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
25-21
24-18
18-26
23-29
23-19
24-18
25-12
21-25
19-26
19-14
15-23
18-10
22-35
19-16
12-27
12-22
22-20
25-15
12-21
24-10
20-24
20-14
7-23
21-17
23-24
18-18
15-14
17-15
28-7
10-25
18-28
21-19
21-21
17-24
19-16
22-15
25-17
23-21
24-14
161.0Avg total
80.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.875.0154.8+4.850%
Season at home (4)82.073.8155.8+8.275%
Season away (2)75.577.5153.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)80.980.1161.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)81.674.4156.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.080.0158.0-2.00%
vs Similar (11)78.080.8158.8-2.827%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.274.2158.3+10.072%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 76
H16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 76
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 76
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 76
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
102avg 76
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 76
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
68avg 76
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
53avg 76
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
79avg 76
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
88avg 76
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
16-16
15-23
18-16
28-13
19-21
17-15
17-21
25-21
24-13
15-24
15-23
13-24
15-20
28-20
17-22
25-20
30-16
22-15
22-18
17-27
15-18
26-15
17-13
20-31
18-29
11-24
30-16
14-31
21-13
12-22
20-22
25-21
25-23
20-19
17-19
15-34
24-29
27-15
31-26
164.5Avg total
81.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.486.0168.4-3.643%
Season at home (4)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
Season away (3)77.790.0167.7-12.333%
Last 10 (10)81.383.2164.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)81.089.4170.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.088.2163.2-13.20%
vs Similar (9)84.388.0172.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (17)82.576.5159.0+6.165%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
PenarolBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
83.8Avg total
43.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.081.4+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.938.780.6+3.247%-
Last 30 away (13)43.039.482.4+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.883.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.433.878.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.040.082.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (11)40.539.880.3+0.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.638.482.1+5.261%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
86.0Avg total
41.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.143.685.7-1.541%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.884.7+1.160%-
Last 30 away (14)41.245.586.7-4.321%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.486.0-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.851.290.0-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.846.584.2-8.80%-
vs Similar (9)43.447.490.9-4.033%-
vs Weaker (16)42.440.783.1+1.856%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.6
53.6%
51.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.0
30.8%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
71.7%13.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.2
48.4%
51.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.412.1
78.6%
71.7%12.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLLWWLLLWL
Bigua
LWLLWWLLWL
#3
League position
#6
+1.3
Net rating
-2.0
107.6
Offensive rating
106.1
106.2
Defensive rating
108.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.8%
3-point %
35.5%
60.8%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 106.1Defence106.2 · 108.1Shooting50.3% · 50.4%3-point %30.8% · 35.5%Ball care16.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
0
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Bigua v Penarol81-87
08/11/23Penarol v Bigua92-90 OT
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24HUrunday94-67
13/11/24ANacional78-80
07/11/24AMalvin73-75
31/10/24HCordon77-73
28/10/24HAguada86-77 OT
25/10/24HUrupan71-78
18/06/24HAguada71-88
15/06/24AAguada74-88
11/06/24HAguada95-78
07/06/24AAguada90-97
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HCordon97-104
15/11/24ATrouville87-82
11/11/24AAguada67-88
08/11/24ADefensor79-100
31/10/24HUrupan75-73
28/10/24HWelcome99-69
24/10/24HMalvin73-86
21/04/24HTrouville79-81
18/04/24ATrouville81-70
16/04/24HTrouville76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game79.882.075.5
Allowed / game75.073.877.5
Point differential+4.8+8.2-2.0
Avg total154.8155.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game82.486.077.7
Allowed / game86.083.090.0
Point differential-3.6+3.0-12.3
Avg total168.4169.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional440100%91.269.8+21.5
2 Aguada86275%90.279.8+10.5
3 Malvin75271%79.775.0+4.7
4 Hebraica y Macabi64267%90.788.3+2.3
5 Defensor53260%93.687.0+6.6
6 Cordon74357%87.784.6+3.1
7 Penarol63350%79.875.0+4.8
8 Urunday63350%79.081.5-2.5
9 Bigua73443%82.486.0-3.6
10 Trouville62433%77.282.0-4.8
11 Urupan61517%78.288.0-9.8
12 Welcome8080%75.597.1-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2319221276
Bigua2417161673
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