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Penarol vs Platense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:05
Final 79-72
23-24 20-12 19-15 17-21
Position#11
Record13-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.0
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#16
Record10-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game84.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Platense
07 Mar 2026
PENA79
PLAT72
24 Apr 2025
PENA75
PLAT79
19 Apr 2024
PENA99
PLAT56
07 Dec 2022
PENA73
PLAT70
11 Apr 2022
PENA84
PLAT49
13 Oct 2021
PENA70
PLAT75
06 Nov 2020
PENA96
PLAT90
02 Dec 2019
PENA67
PLAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Platense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 72
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 72
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 72
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 72
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 72
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 72
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 72
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 72
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 72
A22/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
18-25
22-16
18-16
18-25
19-13
33-29
13-17
15-26
20-21
18-18
23-11
27-19
18-22
19-16
13-16
20-25
11-16
14-18
28-22
16-20
25-25
13-19
12-25
20-13
25-24
24-19
18-18
19-24
15-15
20-15
15-20
19-18
32-29
16-28
17-13
23-14
17-17
29-20
17-16
159.4Avg total
79.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.381.0161.3-0.852%
Season at home (13)79.178.5157.6+0.562%
Season away (12)81.683.8165.3-2.242%
Last 10 (10)79.280.2159.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)78.478.4156.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.581.1162.6+0.455%
vs Weaker (6)87.877.5165.3+10.350%
This opponent (Platense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlatenseArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlatense
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 72
A26/12
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
57avg 72
H08/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
73-111
73
111
-38
58avg 72
A11/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
47avg 72
A14/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
71avg 72
A23/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 72
H27/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
81avg 72
H02/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 72
H14/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 72
H17/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
81avg 72
A22/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
20-17
17-17
20-18
20-22
9-23
24-29
19-10
20-35
17-23
16-23
20-30
18-22
19-22
13-15
18-20
18-23
12-17
24-13
20-21
21-24
29-17
21-19
14-26
15-17
21-24
20-23
31-10
21-16
16-15
18-18
27-19
19-25
24-28
22-17
16-24
18-29
19-16
23-19
24-20
165.3Avg total
79.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.584.7166.2-3.240%
Season at home (13)84.383.2167.5+1.146%
Season away (12)78.586.2164.8-7.833%
Last 10 (10)79.785.6165.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)85.283.4168.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.685.8167.4-4.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.681.1162.6+0.550%
vs Weaker (3)87.085.3172.3+1.767%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
PenarolPlatense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/02
Liga A
81.6Avg total
39.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.6+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.982.5+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)42.742.184.9+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.181.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.882.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.246.589.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.641.483.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.581.5+4.533%-
This opponent (Platense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlatenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/12
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H08/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A11/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A23/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H27/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H02/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H17/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/02
Liga A
81.4Avg total
37.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.284.3-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.543.787.2-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)38.242.780.9-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.381.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.744.683.3-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.941.082.9+0.957%-
vs Weaker (3)47.047.794.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.8
55.4%
53.7%37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.4%
32.9%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.6%
71.5%15.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Platensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Platense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.8
52.1%
53.7%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.9
30.6%
32.9%29.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
70.2%
71.5%13.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLLWLLWWLL
Platense
LLWWLWLLLL
#11
League position
#16
+1.2
Net rating
-10.9
111.5
Offensive rating
107.9
110.3
Defensive rating
118.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
30.6%
47.9%
Assist %
50.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 107.9Defence110.3 · 118.8Shooting54.4% · 49.2%3-point %35.4% · 30.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Platense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Platense wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Platense v Penarol88-89
25/04/25Penarol v Platense75-79
12/10/24Platense v Penarol72-75
20/04/24Penarol v Platense99-56
18/01/24Platense v Penarol87-86
22/01/23Platense v Penarol83-89
08/12/22Penarol v Platense73-70
12/04/22Penarol v Platense84-49
14/01/22Platense v Penarol65-86
14/10/21Penarol v Platense70-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ARegatas86-67
20/02/26ASan Martin84-88
15/02/26HArgentino69-74
05/02/26AOlimpico87-74
03/02/26AQuimsa66-89
24/01/26HObras Sanitarias73-81
22/01/26HGimnasia77-73
15/01/26ARacing de Chivilcoy91-85 OT
13/01/26AArgentino83-84
21/12/25HIndependiente de Oliva76-87
Platenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ABoca Juniors91-95 OT
17/02/26HArgentino81-94
14/02/26HOlimpico82-68
02/02/26HObras Sanitarias87-74
27/01/26HQuimsa85-86
23/01/26AFerro86-85 OT
14/01/26ALa Union68-79
11/01/26AObera TC73-111
08/01/26HGimnasia72-84
26/12/25AObras Sanitarias72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayWLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game80.379.181.6
Allowed / game81.078.583.8
Point differential-0.8+0.5-2.2
Avg total161.3157.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%15%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Platense
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLLWWL46%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%46%33%
Points / game81.584.378.5
Allowed / game84.783.286.2
Point differential-3.2+1.1-7.8
Avg total166.2167.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)43% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro2618869%85.482.8+2.5
2 Independiente de Oliva2516964%85.880.1+5.6
3 Obera TC2516964%80.875.8+5.0
4 Quimsa27171063%82.275.5+6.7
5 Regatas25151060%76.874.0+2.8
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 Gimnasia26151158%80.276.3+3.9
8 La Union26151158%79.878.1+1.7
9 Boca Juniors27151256%81.377.8+3.4
10 Instituto de Cordoba28151354%75.975.4+0.5
11 Penarol25131252%80.381.0-0.8
12 Union De Santa Fe24111346%81.083.5-2.5
13 San Martin27121544%75.174.9+0.3
14 Platense25101540%81.584.7-3.2
15 Olimpico28111739%78.479.2-0.8
16 San Lorenzo27101737%79.283.1-3.9
17 Atenas2591636%74.879.7-4.8
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2781930%78.582.0-3.5
19 Argentino2662023%73.589.0-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2320191779
Platense2412152172
← all games of the day
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