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Penarol vs Progresista Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 93-71
35-14 12-20 20-23 26-14
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.6
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#16
Record7-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game75.2
ArgentinaLiga ARound 21
Other2012-13
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Progresista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lanus
#3
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H29/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H03/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H08/11
Super 4
Regatas
#1
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A16/11
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/11
Liga A
Regatas
#1
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H20/11
South American League
Libertad
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A21/11
South American League
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A23/11
South American League
Gimnasia
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A26/11
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H29/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
22-9
28-16
13-24
19-13
21-14
18-24
13-25
19-13
22-8
9-29
16-24
15-15
16-14
14-26
12-20
21-20
15-18
26-23
17-21
27-12
12-14
21-30
28-29
22-11
19-19
21-20
16-30
26-15
18-6
16-19
13-16
18-23
22-8
20-22
22-19
31-16
21-21
28-16
23-26
152.5Avg total
78.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.374.6154.9+5.774%
Season at home (9)81.173.8154.9+7.367%
Season away (10)79.675.4155.0+4.280%
Last 10 (10)78.174.4152.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.874.4159.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.578.5161.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (21)78.374.4152.7+3.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.272.8160.0+14.383%
This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProgresistaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#15
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A15/10
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A21/10
Liga A
Atenas
#11
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H27/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H29/10
Liga A
Argentino
#6
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H03/11
Liga A
de Julio de Morteros
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H05/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A15/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A17/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H24/11
Liga A
Libertad
#8
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H26/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-19
19-11
19-16
10-22
24-14
17-16
18-24
22-16
15-11
14-26
23-16
15-26
19-19
27-24
14-19
17-17
16-16
24-20
9-22
19-24
12-16
32-14
22-12
15-18
18-14
24-13
18-25
16-21
8-27
17-19
29-16
15-17
17-23
22-13
20-22
24-20
16-22
22-20
36-32
151.7Avg total
75.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.675.2148.8-1.735%
Season at home (11)77.075.4152.4+1.645%
Season away (9)69.475.1144.6-5.722%
Last 10 (10)75.676.1151.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.477.6158.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.476.8149.2-4.424%
vs Similar (3)80.366.3146.7+14.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
PenarolProgresista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lanus
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H29/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#2
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H08/11
Super 4
Regatas
#1
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/11
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/11
Liga A
Regatas
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H20/11
South American League
Libertad
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A21/11
South American League
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A23/11
South American League
Gimnasia
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A26/11
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H29/11
Liga A
69.2Avg total
40.7Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.433.172.5+6.472%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.433.074.4+8.480%-
Last 30 away (14)37.433.170.5+4.264%-
Last 10 (10)40.728.569.2+12.290%-
Last 5 (5)43.229.072.2+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (20)38.534.072.5+4.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.032.076.0+12.083%-
This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A15/10
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/10
Liga A
Atenas
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H27/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
Liga A
Argentino
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H03/11
Liga A
de Julio de Morteros
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H05/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A15/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A17/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/11
Liga A
Libertad
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H26/11
Liga A
71.1Avg total
33.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)32.036.568.5-4.525%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.634.266.8-1.536%-
Last 30 away (9)31.239.270.4-8.011%-
Last 10 (10)33.038.171.1-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.040.472.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.936.668.5-4.824%-
vs Similar (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penarol wins
0
Progresista wins
No previous meetings.
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/12HLa Union103-79
26/11/12AGimnasia82-72
23/11/12AObras Sanitarias73-56
21/11/12ALibertad78-80
20/11/12HRegatas88-85
17/11/12ASionista79-82
16/11/12ARegatas57-75
08/11/12HQuimsa66-74
03/11/12HQuimsa71-76
29/10/12HLanus84-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/12HLibertad98-94
24/11/12HQuimsa74-75
17/11/12ABoca Juniors70-83
15/11/12AObras Sanitarias75-70
05/11/12Hde Julio de Morteros85-66
03/11/12HArgentino66-75
29/10/12HOlimpico75-88
27/10/12HAtenas74-69
21/10/12ASionista69-76
15/10/12ALa Union70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW74%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWLLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%67%80%
Points / game80.381.179.6
Allowed / game74.673.875.4
Point differential+5.7+7.3+4.2
Avg total154.9154.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Progresista
Liga A 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeLLWLW45%
AwayLWLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%45%22%
Points / game73.677.069.4
Allowed / game75.275.475.1
Point differential-1.6+1.6-5.7
Avg total148.8152.4144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Regatas2116576%77.170.5+6.6
2 Penarol1914574%80.374.6+5.7
3 Lanus2115671%76.972.2+4.6
4 Libertad1812667%75.674.1+1.5
5 Olimpico2113862%74.773.4+1.2
6 Quimsa2012860%77.173.8+3.3
7 Argentino1911858%76.775.5+1.3
8 Atenas1910953%74.977.3-2.4
9 Boca Juniors2091145%76.875.2+1.6
10 Gimnasia2191243%78.780.9-2.1
11 Sionista2191243%78.281.1-2.9
12 Weber Bahia2081240%80.581.8-1.2
13 Progresista2071335%73.675.2-1.6
14 de Julio de Morteros2061430%75.582.3-6.9
15 Obras Sanitarias1951426%77.781.4-3.7
16 La Union2141719%71.476.3-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol3512202693
Progresista1420231471
← all games of the day
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