Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Nov 2012

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 75-57

15-15 14-16 26-14 20-12

Position#1

Record12-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game71.1

Regatas 🏆

Penarol

Position#2

Record12-3

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game74.0

Liga ARound 17

Other2012-13

Meetings · Regatas v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

93-91

A19/10

South American League

La Union

#15

67-61

H22/10

Liga A

Quimsa

78-83

-5

A27/10

Liga A

Libertad

75-66

A29/10

Liga A

Atenas

#11

91-83

A03/11

Liga A

Olimpico

89-78

+11

A05/11

Liga A

Libertad

81-74

A08/11

Super 4

Boca Juniors

72-67

H10/11

Super 4

Quimsa

77-63

+14

H11/11

Super 4

Weber Bahia

#12

88-83

H14/11

Liga A

22-33

22-21

22-10

27-27

11-18

14-13

19-10

23-20

18-18

17-22

22-19

21-24

19-19

23-9

19-22

14-16

24-14

27-11

15-31

25-27

24-20

24-19

17-21

24-18

20-17

22-13

22-19

17-25

19-12

9-11

19-23

25-21

21-21

23-8

13-20

20-14

28-18

21-14

19-17

20-34

156.0Avg total

81.1Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.5	71.1	147.6	+5.4	71%
Season at home (8)	77.2	67.2	144.5	+10.0	88%
Season away (9)	75.9	74.6	150.4	+1.3	56%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	74.9	156.0	+6.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	73.0	154.4	+8.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.3	89.0	161.3	-16.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	85.2	78.4	163.6	+6.8	80%
vs Weaker (21)	79.0	70.4	149.3	+8.6	76%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#12

79-63

+16

A14/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

85-83

H17/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

73-65

A18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

82-76

A20/10

Liga A

Deportes Castro

#12

86-75

+11

H24/10

South American League

Hebraica y Macabi

#13

65-51

+14

A25/10

South American League

Flamengo

77-72

H26/10

South American League

Lanus

84-65

+19

H29/10

Liga A

Quimsa

71-76

-5

H03/11

Liga A

Quimsa

66-74

-8

H08/11

Super 4

20-18

15-12

24-14

20-19

18-17

26-14

21-32

20-20

14-22

17-19

19-13

23-11

19-20

15-17

19-14

29-25

25-19

20-12

23-23

18-21

20-10

15-12

13-12

17-17

19-20

11-20

27-11

20-21

21-16

22-9

28-16

13-24

19-13

21-14

18-24

13-25

19-13

22-8

9-29

16-24

146.8Avg total

76.8Scored

70.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.3	74.0	154.3	+6.3	80%
Season at home (8)	78.4	73.1	151.5	+5.2	62%
Season away (7)	82.6	75.0	157.6	+7.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	70.0	146.8	+6.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	67.6	140.2	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	77.0	72.0	149.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	81.3	75.7	156.9	+5.6	74%
vs Weaker (5)	85.8	68.6	154.4	+17.2	100%

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RegatasPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	16.4	37.2	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.7	16.2	36.9	+4.4	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	79%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.4	34.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.5	18.6	38.0	+0.9	77%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.8	14.8	38.6	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	16.7	35.7	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	15.0	34.3	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	14.1	34.3	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	13.0	32.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.3	15.6	33.9	+2.7	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	14.9	36.6	+6.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	13.7	32.1	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	12.6	30.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	20.0	31.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	15.0	36.6	+6.6	100%	-

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

44-54

-10

A19/10

South American League

La Union

#15

25-31

-6

H22/10

Liga A

Quimsa

35-40

-5

A27/10

Liga A

Libertad

42-28

+14

A29/10

Liga A

Atenas

#11

51-25

+26

A03/11

Liga A

Olimpico

48-39

A05/11

Liga A

Libertad

42-30

+12

A08/11

Super 4

Boca Juniors

28-23

H10/11

Super 4

Quimsa

44-29

+15

H11/11

Super 4

Weber Bahia

#12

49-32

+17

H14/11

Liga A

73.9Avg total

40.8Scored

33.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	34.4	73.4	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	31.4	71.5	+8.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	37.1	75.1	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	33.1	73.9	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	30.6	72.8	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	42.3	76.3	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.4	41.4	82.8	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.0	31.9	70.8	+7.1	67%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#12

35-30

A14/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

44-31

+13

H17/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

31-41

-10

A18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

34-37

-3

A20/10

Liga A

Deportes Castro

#12

45-31

+14

H24/10

South American League

Hebraica y Macabi

#13

35-22

+13

A25/10

South American League

Flamengo

30-40

-10

H26/10

South American League

Lanus

43-25

+18

H29/10

Liga A

Quimsa

40-27

+13

H03/11

Liga A

Quimsa

41-21

+20

H08/11

Super 4

68.3Avg total

37.8Scored

30.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	34.9	75.4	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	33.4	75.2	+8.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	36.8	75.7	+2.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	30.5	68.3	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	27.0	64.8	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	40.0	70.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	39.8	36.5	76.3	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.4	29.8	75.2	+15.6	100%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.4	39.1	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.0	15.8	35.8	+4.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	66%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.5	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	11.0	38.0	+16.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.2	17.6	37.9	+2.6	68%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	22.7	37.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.2	38.0	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.3	78.1	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	35.4	75.1	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	40.9	80.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.8	82.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.4	81.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	40.7	75.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.8	37.0	80.8	+6.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.5	48%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.9	38.7	79.6	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.8	38.3	82.1	+5.5	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.5	78.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.6	75.4	-5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	32.0	79.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	41.5	38.3	79.8	+3.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regatas wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
13/02/12	Regatas v Penarol	79-85
05/12/11	Penarol v Regatas	95-79
08/05/11	Penarol v Regatas	99-59
05/05/11	Regatas v Penarol	96-93 OT
03/05/11	Regatas v Penarol	87-77
28/04/11	Penarol v Regatas	96-76
26/04/11	Penarol v Regatas	78-69
26/02/11	Regatas v Penarol	83-71
26/01/11	Penarol v Regatas	91-93 OT

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/12	H	Weber Bahia	88-83
11/11/12	H	Quimsa	77-63
10/11/12	H	Boca Juniors	72-67
08/11/12	A	Libertad	81-74
05/11/12	A	Olimpico	89-78
03/11/12	A	Atenas	91-83
29/10/12	A	Libertad	75-66
27/10/12	A	Quimsa	78-83
22/10/12	H	La Union	67-61
19/10/12	A	Brasilia	93-91

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/12	H	Quimsa	66-74
03/11/12	H	Quimsa	71-76
29/10/12	H	Lanus	84-65
26/10/12	H	Flamengo	77-72
25/10/12	A	Hebraica y Macabi	65-51
24/10/12	H	Deportes Castro	86-75
20/10/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	82-76
18/10/12	A	Boca Juniors	73-65
17/10/12	H	Weber Bahia	85-83
14/10/12	A	Weber Bahia	79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	88%	56%
Points / game	76.5	77.2	75.9
Allowed / game	71.1	67.2	74.6
Point differential	+5.4	+10.0	+1.3
Avg total	147.6	144.5	150.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	62%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WWWWL	62%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	80%	62%	100%
Points / game	80.3	78.4	82.6
Allowed / game	74.0	73.1	75.0
Point differential	+6.3	+5.2	+7.6
Avg total	154.3	151.5	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	38%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	15	12	3	80%	80.3	74.0	+6.3
2	Regatas	17	12	5	71%	76.5	71.1	+5.4
3	Lanus	17	12	5	71%	77.2	72.7	+4.5
4	Olimpico	16	11	5	69%	74.3	72.9	+1.4
5	Libertad	15	10	5	67%	74.7	73.1	+1.7
6	Quimsa	16	9	7	56%	76.3	73.2	+3.1
7	Argentino	16	9	7	56%	75.8	75.2	+0.6
8	Gimnasia	16	8	8	50%	79.6	81.0	-1.4
9	Boca Juniors	17	8	9	47%	77.1	75.3	+1.8
10	Weber Bahia	16	7	9	44%	81.7	81.9	-0.2
11	Sionista	16	7	9	44%	77.9	80.4	-2.5
12	Atenas	16	7	9	44%	73.4	77.1	-3.6
13	Progresista	17	6	11	35%	72.4	73.7	-1.4
14	de Julio de Morteros	16	4	12	25%	74.4	82.7	-8.2
15	La Union	17	4	13	24%	71.6	75.1	-3.5
16	Obras Sanitarias	17	4	13	24%	78.6	82.3	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regatas	15	14	26	20	75
Penarol	15	16	14	12	57

← all games of the day

Regatas vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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