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Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-78
11-22 19-19 20-21 30-16
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game79.2
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#6
Record4-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game70.8
South-AmericaSouth American League
Other2012-13
Meetings · Libertad v Penarol
11 Mar 2021
LIBE72
PENA76
08 Mar 2020
LIBE76
PENA80
12 Apr 2019
LIBE79
PENA81
22 Feb 2017
LIBE85
PENA66
23 Jan 2016
LIBE87
PENA68
03 Apr 2015
LIBE88
PENA84
10 Jan 2014
LIBE88
PENA92
27 Jan 2013
LIBE65
PENA76
21 Nov 2012
LIBE80
PENA78
04 May 2012
LIBE85
PENA88
02 May 2012
LIBE76
PENA90
17 Feb 2012
LIBE80
PENA75
18 May 2011
LIBE86
PENA95
06 Dec 2010
LIBE61
PENA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#11
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A22/10
Liga A
Sionista
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H26/10
Liga A
Regatas
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H29/10
Liga A
Sao Jose
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A01/11
South American League
El Bosque
#15
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H02/11
South American League
Tiburones
#10
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A04/11
South American League
Regatas
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H08/11
Super 4
Lanus
#3
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H15/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#10
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H17/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A21/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
17-18
13-20
13-28
26-22
13-17
23-22
20-15
19-19
9-23
22-19
16-14
24-19
17-9
18-19
25-24
19-14
30-17
23-18
23-18
28-12
21-29
21-24
33-27
17-20
13-22
19-22
25-17
16-17
14-19
10-19
23-21
15-24
24-12
15-16
13-14
12-16
16-23
18-21
28-27
153.7Avg total
76.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.079.2168.2+9.875%
Season at home (1)95.067.0162.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)87.083.3170.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)76.876.9153.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)76.280.4156.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.576.5149.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)76.078.0154.0-2.057%
vs Weaker (6)82.369.7152.0+12.7100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A20/10
Liga A
Deportes Castro
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H24/10
South American League
Hebraica y Macabi
#13
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A25/10
South American League
Flamengo
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H26/10
South American League
Lanus
#3
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H29/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H03/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H08/11
Super 4
Regatas
#1
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A16/11
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/11
Liga A
Regatas
#1
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H20/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-17
19-14
29-25
25-19
20-12
23-23
18-21
20-10
15-12
13-12
17-17
19-20
11-20
27-11
20-21
21-16
22-9
28-16
13-24
19-13
21-14
18-24
13-25
19-13
22-8
9-29
16-24
15-15
16-14
14-26
12-20
21-20
15-18
26-23
17-21
27-12
12-14
21-30
28-29
148.6Avg total
75.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.070.8149.8+8.2100%
Season at home (3)83.777.3161.0+6.3100%
Season away (1)65.051.0116.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.573.1148.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)72.278.4150.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.578.5161.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)79.975.9155.8+4.073%
vs Weaker (5)84.071.6155.6+12.480%
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
LibertadPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#11
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A22/10
Liga A
Sionista
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/10
Liga A
Regatas
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H29/10
Liga A
Sao Jose
#9
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A01/11
South American League
El Bosque
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/11
South American League
Tiburones
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A04/11
South American League
Regatas
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/11
Super 4
Lanus
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A21/11
South American League
73.1Avg total
36.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.273.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.775.4+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)35.335.770.9-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.473.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.874.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.539.068.5-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.337.074.3+0.348%-
vs Weaker (6)39.331.570.8+7.883%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/10
Liga A
Deportes Castro
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H24/10
South American League
Hebraica y Macabi
#13
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A25/10
South American League
Flamengo
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H26/10
South American League
Lanus
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H29/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#2
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H08/11
Super 4
Regatas
#1
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/11
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/11
Liga A
Regatas
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H20/11
South American League
67.0Avg total
37.4Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.334.674.0+4.766%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.632.773.4+7.979%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.474.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.429.667.0+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.428.265.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.036.375.3+2.762%-
vs Weaker (5)42.431.073.4+11.480%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Libertad wins
8
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
05/05/12Libertad v Penarol85-88
03/05/12Libertad v Penarol76-90
28/04/12Penarol v Libertad85-59
26/04/12Penarol v Libertad83-86
18/02/12Libertad v Penarol80-75
10/12/11Penarol v Libertad82-73
19/05/11Libertad v Penarol86-95
15/05/11Penarol v Libertad103-101 OT
13/05/11Penarol v Libertad78-66
19/02/11Penarol v Libertad61-59
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/12AObras Sanitarias74-87
17/11/12HGimnasia67-66
15/11/12HLanus63-76
08/11/12HRegatas74-81
04/11/12ATiburones103-92
02/11/12HEl Bosque95-67
01/11/12ASao Jose84-71
29/10/12HRegatas66-75
26/10/12HSionista82-76
22/10/12AAtenas60-78
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/12HRegatas88-85
17/11/12ASionista79-82
16/11/12ARegatas57-75
08/11/12HQuimsa66-74
03/11/12HQuimsa71-76
29/10/12HLanus84-65
26/10/12HFlamengo77-72
25/10/12AHebraica y Macabi65-51
24/10/12HDeportes Castro86-75
20/10/12AObras Sanitarias82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad
South American League 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game89.095.087.0
Allowed / game79.267.083.3
Point differential+9.8+28.0+3.7
Avg total168.2162.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
South American League 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.083.765.0
Allowed / game70.877.351.0
Point differential+8.2+6.3+14.0
Avg total149.8161.0116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol440100%79.070.8+8.2
2 Regatas43175%96.579.5+17.0
3 Libertad43175%89.079.2+9.8
4 Obras Sanitarias43175%92.084.0+8.0
5 Brasilia32167%109.083.7+25.3
6 Flamengo32167%82.772.0+10.7
7 Tiburones32167%96.086.3+9.7
8 Pinheiros32167%83.780.7+3.0
9 Centauros32167%85.083.3+1.7
10 Sao Jose31233%81.376.7+4.7
11 Malvin31233%81.088.0-7.0
12 Deportes Castro31233%77.089.7-12.7
13 Hebraica y Macabi3030%66.774.7-8.0
14 Mavort3030%79.090.0-11.0
15 El Bosque3030%66.398.0-31.7
16 Amistad3030%68.0110.0-42.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertad1119203080
Penarol2219211678
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