Penarol vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 84-61

31-15 17-12 17-14 19-20

Position#2

Record30-14

FormWWLWW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game79.2

Penarol 🏆

Weber Bahia

Position#7

Record26-21

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game77.5

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2011-12

Meetings · Penarol v Weber Bahia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Weber Bahia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

85-79

A13/02

Liga A

Quimsa

62-65

-3

A16/02

Liga A

Libertad

75-80

-5

A18/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

89-69

+20

H25/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

91-95

-4

H27/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

81-75

H01/03

Liga A

San Martin

#15

97-92

A03/03

Liga A

Sionista

65-79

-14

A05/03

Liga A

Lanus

98-79

+19

H12/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

92-75

+17

H14/03

Liga A

29-16

13-24

12-16

31-23

18-21

8-11

23-18

13-15

21-17

19-18

23-22

12-23

25-15

24-18

21-21

19-15

21-23

24-25

21-20

25-27

15-24

24-24

24-18

18-9

26-23

24-22

27-22

20-25

14-28

15-18

19-7

17-26

24-27

31-12

24-20

19-20

21-23

20-24

25-17

26-11

162.3Avg total

83.5Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	84.9	79.2	164.1	+5.8	68%
Season at home (22)	89.5	76.5	166.0	+13.0	86%
Season away (22)	80.3	81.9	162.2	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	78.8	162.3	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	80.0	166.6	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	82.1	82.4	164.5	-0.2	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	86.1	77.9	164.0	+8.3	82%

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

71-81

-10

A20/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

90-84

H25/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

90-69

+21

H26/02

Liga A

Sionista

68-79

-11

A02/03

Liga A

San Martin

#15

77-86

-9

A05/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

82-76

H12/03

Liga A

Lanus

84-70

+14

H14/03

Liga A

Sionista

86-82 OT

A17/03

Liga A

Sionista

73-72

A19/03

Liga A

Sionista

87-64

+23

H24/03

Liga A

18-16

21-19

19-30

13-16

22-23

32-18

22-19

14-24

29-19

24-14

20-13

17-23

20-22

17-20

19-13

12-24

23-26

14-26

18-21

22-13

24-17

16-30

24-13

18-16

24-12

23-17

19-21

18-20

22-18

29-27

17-12

7-18

20-19

21-18

16-21

16-14

26-13

21-21

14-17

157.1Avg total

80.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (47)	79.7	77.5	157.2	+2.3	55%
Season at home (23)	83.6	74.7	158.3	+8.8	83%
Season away (24)	76.0	80.1	156.1	-4.0	29%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	76.3	157.1	+4.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	72.8	155.2	+9.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	82.0	87.2	169.2	-5.2	25%
vs Similar (16)	78.7	77.4	156.1	+1.2	50%
vs Weaker (10)	82.4	79.7	162.1	+2.7	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolWeber Bahia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	19.1	42.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	19.9	19.8	39.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.7	18.9	43.6	+5.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.8	39.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.7	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	20.0	44.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.2	19.1	39.4	+1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.9	19.9	41.7	+2.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.6	41.6	-3.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

42-40

A13/02

Liga A

Quimsa

26-32

-6

A16/02

Liga A

Libertad

40-35

A18/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

49-33

+16

H25/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

45-48

-3

H27/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

39-48

-9

H01/03

Liga A

San Martin

#15

50-45

A03/03

Liga A

Sionista

29-46

-17

A05/03

Liga A

Lanus

55-39

+16

H12/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

41-47

-6

H14/03

Liga A

82.9Avg total

41.6Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	39.8	83.1	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.9	39.1	87.0	+8.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.3	82.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	45.0	87.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.5	40.1	84.6	+4.5	64%	-

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

39-35

A20/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

54-41

+13

H25/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

53-33

+20

H26/02

Liga A

Sionista

37-42

-5

A02/03

Liga A

San Martin

#15

37-52

-15

A05/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

40-47

-7

H12/03

Liga A

Lanus

47-29

+18

H14/03

Liga A

Sionista

51-45

A17/03

Liga A

Sionista

41-37

A19/03

Liga A

Sionista

52-26

+26

H24/03

Liga A

83.8Avg total

45.1Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.7	83.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.5	38.4	85.9	+9.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.7	83.8	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	36.8	83.0	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	45.8	45.0	90.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.9	39.0	80.9	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.7	41.8	84.5	+0.9	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.8	40.6	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	23.5	20.9	44.4	+2.6	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.4	40.6	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.9	36.9	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.1	41.9	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.1	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.0	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	18.5	33.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	17.0	31.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	21.2	40.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	19%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	37.3	80.6	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	41.3	81.4	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	37.5	79.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	35.0	78.8	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	42.0	43.5	85.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.6	37.8	79.4	+3.8	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.5	75.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	38.9	78.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	38.2	74.0	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	36.9	71.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	34.6	68.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.2	42.2	78.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.1	38.0	74.1	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.7	37.9	77.6	+1.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Weber Bahia wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	77-93
07/01/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	84-80
22/10/11	Weber Bahia v Penarol	79-76
20/10/11	Penarol v Weber Bahia	87-96
31/03/11	Penarol v Weber Bahia	97-83
29/01/11	Weber Bahia v Penarol	97-74
20/11/10	Weber Bahia v Penarol	71-83
23/10/10	Penarol v Weber Bahia	100-78

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/12	H	Quilmes	92-75
12/03/12	H	Lanus	98-79
05/03/12	A	Sionista	65-79
03/03/12	A	San Martin	97-92
01/03/12	H	Atenas	81-75
27/02/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	91-95
25/02/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	89-69
18/02/12	A	Libertad	75-80
16/02/12	A	Quimsa	62-65
13/02/12	A	Regatas	85-79

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/12	H	Sionista	87-64
19/03/12	A	Sionista	73-72
17/03/12	A	Sionista	86-82 OT
14/03/12	H	Lanus	84-70
12/03/12	H	Quilmes	82-76
05/03/12	A	San Martin	77-86
02/03/12	A	Sionista	68-79
26/02/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	90-69
25/02/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	90-84
20/02/12	A	Libertad	71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	68%
Home	WLWWW	86%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	22	22
Win %	68%	86%	50%
Points / game	84.9	89.5	80.3
Allowed / game	79.2	76.5	81.9
Point differential	+5.8	+13.0	-1.5
Avg total	164.1	166.0	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	55%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	60% (5)	50% (6)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	55%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LLLWW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	47	23	24
Win %	55%	83%	29%
Points / game	79.7	83.6	76.0
Allowed / game	77.5	74.7	80.1
Point differential	+2.3	+8.8	-4.0
Avg total	157.2	158.3	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	52%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	50% (2)	29% (7)
Overtime %	2%	0%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	44	31	13	70%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
2	Penarol	44	30	14	68%	84.9	79.2	+5.8
3	Libertad	44	29	15	66%	77.9	72.6	+5.3
4	Regatas	47	29	18	62%	79.6	78.0	+1.7
5	Lanus	44	26	18	59%	76.2	72.7	+3.5
6	Quimsa	48	27	21	56%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
7	Weber Bahia	47	26	21	55%	79.7	77.5	+2.3
8	Sionista	47	24	23	51%	79.2	79.6	-0.4
9	Gimnasia	49	25	24	51%	79.1	78.9	+0.1
10	La Union	49	24	25	49%	80.1	80.0	+0.1
11	Atenas	47	21	26	45%	77.9	77.5	+0.5
12	Boca Juniors	48	21	27	44%	74.6	79.1	-4.5
13	Olimpico	49	19	30	39%	76.7	79.8	-3.2
14	de Julio de Morteros	48	18	30	38%	72.4	78.2	-5.8
15	San Martin	49	14	35	29%	76.0	81.8	-5.8
16	Quilmes	48	12	36	25%	74.3	81.9	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	31	17	17	19	84
Weber Bahia	15	12	14	20	61

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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