Penarol vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 69-58

20-17 9-13 24-17 16-11

Position#7

Record11-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game75.2

Penarol 🏆

Weber Bahia

Position#10

Record6-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game82.1

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Penarol v Weber Bahia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Weber Bahia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

86-76

+10

H03/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

84-79 OT

A09/11

Liga A

Argentino

81-87

-6

A11/11

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

64-67

-3

A13/11

Liga A

Argentino

78-65

+13

H19/11

Liga A

Quilmes

88-74

+14

H02/12

Liga A

Quilmes

84-60

+24

A04/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

66-86

-20

H06/12

Liga A

Argentino

99-77

+22

H11/12

Super 4

Quimsa

66-81

-15

A18/12

Super 4

22-13

19-18

29-21

16-24

16-19

16-16

12-17

30-22

20-23

13-22

22-24

26-18

13-26

14-14

24-12

13-15

23-12

16-21

25-16

14-16

17-18

25-14

20-25

26-17

14-11

30-21

19-11

21-17

15-17

24-23

16-25

11-21

24-23

25-13

31-18

19-23

14-16

6-17

20-18

26-30

154.8Avg total

79.6Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.0	75.2	155.2	+4.8	61%
Season at home (9)	81.1	72.8	153.9	+8.3	67%
Season away (9)	78.9	77.7	156.6	+1.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	75.2	154.8	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	75.6	156.2	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	66.0	81.0	147.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	83.3	78.1	161.4	+5.1	71%
vs Weaker (7)	78.0	73.6	151.6	+4.4	57%

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

62-80

-18

A24/10

Liga A

Lanus

#17

93-84

A26/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

61-77

-16

A28/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

66-76

-10

H07/11

Liga A

Penarol

79-84 OT

-5

H09/11

Liga A

Argentino

64-75

-11

A17/11

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

66-93

-27

A19/11

Liga A

Argentino

85-90 OT

-5

H23/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

57-83

-26

A06/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-93

-25

A08/12

Liga A

11-25

16-23

12-19

23-13

21-15

18-26

29-17

25-26

16-23

14-12

12-16

19-26

22-19

18-21

18-16

8-20

19-16

16-16

17-12

22-30

12-18

21-17

27-19

4-21

16-27

12-17

20-25

18-24

13-18

17-20

19-17

15-9

10-27

16-13

16-26

15-17

18-17

20-28

17-25

13-23

153.6Avg total

70.1Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.2	82.1	157.3	-6.8	33%
Season at home (9)	80.2	79.2	159.4	+1.0	56%
Season away (9)	70.2	84.9	155.1	-14.7	11%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	83.5	153.6	-13.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	68.0	86.8	154.8	-18.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.4	85.4	160.7	-10.0	27%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	75.9	79.2	155.1	-3.3	40%
vs Weaker (4)	78.8	84.5	163.2	-5.8	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolWeber Bahia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.8	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	20.5	36.3	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	21.4	35.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	20.3	37.7	-2.8	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.2	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	15.7	36.7	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	6.0	17.0	23.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.5	19.7	37.3	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	25%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

41-31

+10

H03/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

32-35

-3

A09/11

Liga A

Argentino

33-45

-12

A11/11

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

27-40

-13

A13/11

Liga A

Argentino

39-33

H19/11

Liga A

Quilmes

42-32

+10

H02/12

Liga A

Quilmes

44-32

+12

A04/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

39-40

-1

H06/12

Liga A

Argentino

49-36

+13

H11/12

Super 4

Quimsa

20-33

-13

A18/12

Super 4

72.3Avg total

36.6Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.8	73.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	33.2	74.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	38.3	73.0	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.7	72.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.6	73.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	33.0	53.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.4	35.4	70.9	+0.0	43%	-

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

27-48

-21

A24/10

Liga A

Lanus

#17

39-41

-2

A26/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

30-35

-5

A28/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

40-40

H07/11

Liga A

Penarol

35-32

H09/11

Liga A

Argentino

33-35

-2

A17/11

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

28-44

-16

A19/11

Liga A

Argentino

30-38

-8

H23/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

26-40

-14

A06/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

38-45

-7

A08/12

Liga A

72.4Avg total

32.6Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	38.6	74.7	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	36.4	73.8	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	40.9	75.6	-6.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	39.8	72.4	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	40.4	71.4	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.0	39.5	74.5	-4.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.9	37.3	74.2	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	41.2	77.2	-5.2	25%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.4	19.0	40.5	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.1	36.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	20.1	37.3	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	21.5	44.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	30.0	56.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.4	22.9	45.3	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	18.8	31.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	41.0	84.6	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	41.4	84.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	40.6	84.2	+3.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	48.0	94.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.9	41.9	85.8	+2.0	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.4	37.3	78.7	+4.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	42.6	80.1	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	40.1	75.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	41.2	74.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.4	43.3	81.6	-4.9	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.3	39.5	76.8	-2.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Weber Bahia wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/14	Weber Bahia v Penarol	79-84 OT
08/10/14	Penarol v Weber Bahia	96-83
03/04/14	Penarol v Weber Bahia	93-91
27/01/14	Weber Bahia v Penarol	80-90
18/11/13	Weber Bahia v Penarol	66-77
13/10/13	Penarol v Weber Bahia	98-70
17/12/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	82-76
15/12/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	78-91
17/10/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	85-83
14/10/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	63-79

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/14	A	Quimsa	66-81
11/12/14	H	Argentino	99-77
06/12/14	H	Boca Juniors	66-86
04/12/14	A	Quilmes	84-60
02/12/14	H	Quilmes	88-74
19/11/14	H	Argentino	78-65
13/11/14	A	Ciclista	64-67
11/11/14	A	Argentino	81-87
09/11/14	A	Weber Bahia	84-79 OT
03/11/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-76

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/14	A	Gimnasia	68-93
06/12/14	A	Gimnasia	57-83
23/11/14	H	Argentino	85-90 OT
19/11/14	A	Ciclista	66-93
17/11/14	A	Argentino	64-75
09/11/14	H	Penarol	79-84 OT
07/11/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	66-76
28/10/14	A	Obras Sanitarias	61-77
26/10/14	A	Lanus	93-84
24/10/14	A	Boca Juniors	62-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	61%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	LWLLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	61%	67%	56%
Points / game	80.0	81.1	78.9
Allowed / game	75.2	72.8	77.7
Point differential	+4.8	+8.3	+1.2
Avg total	155.2	153.9	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	67%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	11%	0%	22%

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	33%
Home	WWLLL	56%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	56%	11%
Points / game	75.2	80.2	70.2
Allowed / game	82.1	79.2	84.9
Point differential	-6.8	+1.0	-14.7
Avg total	157.3	159.4	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	19	17	2	89%	84.7	71.4	+13.3
2	Regatas	18	14	4	78%	84.7	75.4	+9.3
3	Obras Sanitarias	19	12	7	63%	79.7	74.1	+5.6
4	Penarol	18	11	7	61%	80.0	75.2	+4.8
5	Argentino	18	11	7	61%	76.3	73.4	+2.9
6	Gimnasia	18	10	8	56%	78.7	73.6	+5.1
7	Quilmes	18	10	8	56%	73.3	74.7	-1.3
8	San Martin	18	9	9	50%	71.4	75.8	-4.4
9	Boca Juniors	19	9	10	47%	76.7	76.1	+0.6
10	Estudiantes	18	8	10	44%	74.4	73.2	+1.2
11	Olimpico	18	8	10	44%	77.7	79.1	-1.4
12	Lanus	18	7	11	39%	75.6	81.1	-5.6
13	La Union	18	7	11	39%	76.3	82.7	-6.3
14	Atenas	19	7	12	37%	74.4	77.4	-3.0
15	Sionista	19	7	12	37%	72.4	76.3	-3.9
16	Libertad	19	7	12	37%	75.8	80.0	-4.2
17	Weber Bahia	18	6	12	33%	75.2	82.1	-6.8
18	Ciclista	18	5	13	28%	72.2	78.6	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	20	9	24	16	69
Weber Bahia	17	13	17	11	58

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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