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Penn State vs N. Carolina Central Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-67
36-33 54-34
Position#298
Record8-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#258
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
N. Carolina Central winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H11/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H19/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
42-39
42-29
41-40
35-38
49-42
31-32
34-45
51-35
45-52
47-20
43-39
46-39
41-37
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
156.3Avg total
77.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.274.9153.1+3.267%
Season at home (10)77.974.3152.2+3.670%
Season away (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.578.8156.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)73.480.8154.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.276.0153.2+1.254%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.178.5152.6-4.433%
vs Weaker (5)70.073.6143.6-3.640%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
L
53-97
53
97
-44
A15/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#592
W
123-67
123
67
+56
H19/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
55-74
55
74
-19
A22/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
109-61
109
61
+48
H29/11
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A04/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
67-103
67
103
-36
A10/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#551
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H18/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-39
29-58
64-35
59-32
20-44
35-30
24-39
43-43
46-28
63-33
24-35
38-32
35-26
19-43
31-52
36-51
45-30
51-32
36-36
36-38
151.4Avg total
75.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.677.7150.4-5.129%
Season at home (6)88.565.7154.2+22.867%
Season away (8)60.886.8147.5-26.00%
Last 10 (10)75.875.6151.4+0.230%
Last 5 (5)70.275.0145.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.684.9152.5-17.214%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.083.0161.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (10)83.466.0149.4+17.470%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
Penn StateN. Carolina Central
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H11/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
37.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.671.1-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.133.370.4+3.863%-
Last 30 away (11)32.839.572.4-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.973.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.674.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.235.772.8+1.554%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.337.272.6-1.933%-
vs Weaker (5)31.831.263.0+0.680%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#592
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H19/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H29/11
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A04/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A10/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#551
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H20/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
34.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.270.4-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.132.273.3+8.869%-
Last 30 away (17)28.939.268.1-10.224%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.471.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.870.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.142.070.1-13.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.534.071.5+3.567%-
vs Weaker (10)40.829.370.1+11.580%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
N. Carolina Central wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113
02/12/25HCampbell87-76
29/11/25HSacred Heart90-59
26/11/25HBoston University96-87
22/11/25HProvidence65-77
19/11/25HHarvard84-80
15/11/25HLa Salle83-69
11/11/25HNavy80-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HLongwood72-74
18/12/25HMid-Atlantic96-62
10/12/25AKentucky67-103
06/12/25HN. Carolina A&T54-69
04/12/25AJames Madison62-67
29/11/25HCarolina University109-61
26/11/25AUSC Upstate67-82
22/11/25ADayton55-74
19/11/25HToccoa Falls123-67
15/11/25ANorth Carolina53-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %67%70%50%
Points / game78.277.979.5
Allowed / game74.974.378.0
Point differential+3.2+3.6+1.5
Avg total153.1152.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game72.688.560.8
Allowed / game77.765.786.8
Point differential-5.1+22.8-26.0
Avg total150.4154.2147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan11110100%95.466.1+29.3
2 Nebraska12120100%83.367.2+16.2
3 USC1312192%89.475.3+14.1
4 Purdue1211192%84.966.5+18.4
5 Michigan State1211192%78.063.3+14.7
6 Iowa1210283%80.559.9+20.6
7 Indiana1310377%84.766.1+18.6
8 UCLA1310377%81.768.9+12.8
9 Illinois129375%88.169.6+18.5
10 Ohio State129375%86.271.9+14.3
11 Washington128467%83.271.7+11.6
12 Wisconsin128467%83.874.2+9.5
13 Penn State128467%78.274.9+3.2
14 Northwestern127558%80.670.2+10.4
15 Minnesota127558%73.866.6+7.2
16 Oregon137654%78.273.7+4.5
17 Maryland137654%76.878.8-1.9
18 Rutgers126650%69.072.8-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Howard149564%75.670.7+4.9
2 Norfolk State1661038%74.973.4+1.5
3 Delaware State145936%61.971.8-9.9
4 N. Carolina Central1441029%72.677.7-5.1
5 Md.-East. Shore1741324%63.473.9-10.5
6 Coppin State1631319%65.486.4-21.0
7 Morgan State1321115%69.084.0-15.0
8 South Carolina St141137%65.986.5-20.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State365490
N. Carolina Central333467
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