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Penn State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-78
38-33 43-45
Position#226
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#265
Record6-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Penn State v Northwestern
10 Jan 2027
PENN v NORT
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
PENN84
NORT80
10 Jan 2024
PENN72
NORT76
25 Feb 2022
PENN67
NORT60
23 Jan 2021
PENN81
NORT78
15 Feb 2020
PENN77
NORT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#170
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H28/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#176
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
H07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
75-55
75
55
+20
A09/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
49-30
35-32
37-37
45-34
39-50
42-23
33-32
27-36
31-26
43-43
38-55
33-38
47-42
32-33
40-47
28-42
37-37
34-24
41-43
152.1Avg total
76.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.176.0152.1+0.140%
Season at home (5)81.279.4160.6+1.860%
Season away (5)71.072.6143.6-1.620%
Last 10 (10)76.176.0152.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.682.2157.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.872.3145.1+0.545%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.972.6145.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (5)73.870.6144.4+3.260%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quincy Hawks
#464
W
100-48
100
48
+52
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A24/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H26/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A30/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A04/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
56-81
56
81
-25
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
73-96
73
96
-23
H17/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-17
53-31
43-30
36-35
37-28
37-39
34-34
37-36
36-45
36-42
29-43
37-42
43-28
13-53
33-42
38-39
37-49
36-47
34-41
18-27
146.2Avg total
71.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.971.8147.8+4.146%
Season at home (8)81.568.2149.8+13.262%
Season away (5)67.077.6144.6-10.620%
Last 10 (10)71.474.8146.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)63.682.2145.8-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)63.276.3139.5-13.19%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.267.2140.4+6.080%
vs Weaker (3)101.054.3155.3+46.7100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -5.0-5.0
Penn StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#170
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#176
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A09/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/12
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H22/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.768.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.530.467.9+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)34.634.969.5-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.069.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.070.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.533.570.0+2.955%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.431.566.9+3.964%-
vs Weaker (5)37.034.071.0+3.060%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quincy Hawks
#464
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A24/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H17/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A21/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.168.5+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.432.468.8+4.053%-
Last 30 away (13)31.736.468.1-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.773.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.675.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)31.936.568.4-4.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.428.266.6+10.2100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.727.072.7+18.7100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
1
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
07/03/20Northwestern v Penn State80-69
15/02/20Penn State v Northwestern77-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/21HRutgers75-67
20/01/21AIllinois65-79
17/01/21APurdue72-80
31/12/20AIndiana85-87 OT
23/12/20HIllinois81-98
13/12/20AMichigan58-62
09/12/20AVirginia Tech75-55
07/12/20HSeton Hall92-98 OT
02/12/20HVCU Rams72-69
28/11/20HVMI86-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21AWisconsin52-68
17/01/21HIowa73-96
14/01/21AOhio State71-81
08/01/21HIllinois56-81
04/01/21AMichigan66-85
30/12/20AIowa72-87
26/12/20HOhio State71-70
24/12/20AIndiana74-67
21/12/20HMichigan State79-65
15/12/20HQuincy Hawks100-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game76.181.271.0
Allowed / game76.079.472.6
Point differential+0.1+1.8-1.6
Avg total152.1160.6143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Northwestern
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%62%20%
Points / game75.981.567.0
Allowed / game71.868.277.6
Point differential+4.1+13.2-10.6
Avg total147.8149.8144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1413193%79.765.4+14.4
2 Oregon119282%77.165.8+11.3
3 Iowa1512380%90.773.7+16.9
4 UCLA1512380%76.368.1+8.2
5 USC1411379%76.764.4+12.3
6 Wisconsin1612475%72.662.2+10.4
7 Ohio State1612475%76.667.3+9.2
8 Minnesota1611569%76.972.4+4.6
9 Illinois1510567%82.968.9+14.0
10 Michigan State128467%76.071.3+4.7
11 Purdue1711665%70.366.9+3.4
12 Indiana159660%73.167.7+5.4
13 Maryland169756%72.467.4+4.9
14 Rutgers137654%73.471.2+2.2
15 Northwestern136746%75.971.8+4.1
16 Penn State104640%76.176.0+0.1
17 Nebraska124833%75.074.3+0.7
18 Washington1321115%66.277.2-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State384381
Northwestern334578
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