PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Penn State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 72-76
40-32 32-44
Position#216
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#86
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penn State v Northwestern
10 Jan 2027
PENN v NORT
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
PENN84
NORT80
10 Jan 2024
PENN72
NORT76
25 Feb 2022
PENN67
NORT60
23 Jan 2021
PENN81
NORT78
15 Feb 2020
PENN77
NORT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
39-46
40-46
34-40
33-27
34-49
30-28
41-43
29-41
54-39
37-39
35-33
40-28
32-27
44-24
46-39
26-51
35-41
27-37
52-36
153.6Avg total
76.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.571.9148.4+4.553%
Season at home (10)78.264.3142.5+13.980%
Season away (5)73.087.2160.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)76.077.6153.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)76.673.0149.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.570.2136.8-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (21)74.671.1145.8+3.562%
vs Weaker (5)76.469.8146.2+6.660%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H14/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A16/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
28-39
41-42
48-25
32-40
44-36
43-33
–
38-37
35-38
25-25
31-21
36-13
29-33
39-33
35-30
29-46
37-50
46-31
42-43
143.1Avg total
75.1Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.566.2139.7+7.379%
Season at home (10)78.567.3145.8+11.290%
Season away (4)61.063.5124.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.168.0143.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)69.865.0134.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.277.5148.8-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)66.366.2132.5+0.153%
vs Weaker (11)74.060.1134.1+13.991%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
Penn StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H07/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.466.1+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.130.566.6+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)31.734.065.7-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)34.536.370.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.870.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.235.864.0-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)34.131.565.6+2.648%-
vs Weaker (5)36.633.269.8+3.440%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A16/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
36-13
36
13
+23
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.229.964.2+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.930.766.6+5.272%-
Last 30 away (12)31.828.860.6+2.958%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.768.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.029.664.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.039.568.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.127.160.2+6.180%-
vs Weaker (11)37.630.468.0+7.373%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penn State wins
1
Northwestern wins
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HMichigan79-73
05/01/24AMichigan State61-92
29/12/23HRider90-63
22/12/23HLe Moyne72-55
16/12/23HGeorgia Tech81-82 OT
09/12/23HOhio State83-80
07/12/23AMaryland75-81 OT
02/12/23HBucknell67-76
26/11/23AVCU Rams74-86
24/11/23AButler78-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24HMichigan State88-74
03/01/24AIllinois66-96
30/12/23HJackson State74-63
21/12/23AArizona State65-46
16/12/23ADePaul56-46
14/12/23HChicago State73-75
10/12/23HDetroit91-59
02/12/23HPurdue92-88 OT
28/11/23HNorthern Illinois89-67
19/11/23AMississippi St.57-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %53%80%0%
Points / game76.578.273.0
Allowed / game71.964.387.2
Point differential+4.5+13.9-14.2
Avg total148.4142.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %13%10%20%
Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %79%90%50%
Points / game73.578.561.0
Allowed / game66.267.363.5
Point differential+7.3+11.2-2.5
Avg total139.7145.8124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1614288%84.469.0+15.4
2 Nebraska1613381%78.467.6+10.9
3 Minnesota1512380%78.966.3+12.6
4 Ohio State1512380%78.165.8+12.3
5 Oregon1512380%78.771.4+7.3
6 Illinois1411379%83.566.8+16.7
7 Wisconsin1411379%75.865.9+9.9
8 Northwestern1411379%73.566.2+7.3
9 Indiana1611569%74.473.2+1.2
10 Michigan State159660%78.065.9+12.1
11 Iowa159660%86.777.7+8.9
12 Maryland159660%71.163.7+7.3
13 Washington159660%81.775.7+6.0
14 Rutgers159660%68.363.7+4.6
15 Penn State158753%76.571.9+4.5
16 USC158753%78.975.0+3.9
17 UCLA156940%65.562.2+3.3
18 Michigan156940%81.778.7+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State403272
Northwestern324476
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.