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Penn State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-61
42-28 35-33
Position#113
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#323
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Penn State v Northwestern
10 Jan 2027
PENN v NORT
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
PENN84
NORT80
10 Jan 2024
PENN72
NORT76
25 Feb 2022
PENN67
NORT60
23 Jan 2021
PENN81
NORT78
15 Feb 2020
PENN77
NORT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#104
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A08/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A16/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H18/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A05/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
28-44
22-31
27-27
46-44
23-31
42-27
48-49
37-28
35-35
28-28
36-21
38-33
38-31
43-37
32-33
36-22
47-55
42-30
46-46
140.7Avg total
72.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.569.8144.3+4.771%
Season at home (12)75.665.6141.2+10.083%
Season away (9)73.075.4148.4-2.456%
Last 10 (10)72.768.0140.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)77.267.2144.4+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.277.0151.2-2.875%
vs Similar (13)72.567.7140.2+4.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.866.8143.6+10.078%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#149
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#79
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H22/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H26/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
L
50-79
50
79
-29
A29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#181
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A09/02
NCAA
Michigan
#131
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
28-35
42-27
20-30
35-41
27-34
34-38
37-37
40-26
26-51
35-38
24-33
22-33
28-46
29-25
29-36
38-27
28-39
23-38
31-41
133.4Avg total
61.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)65.369.0134.2-3.725%
Season at home (12)64.866.7131.5-1.833%
Season away (8)66.072.4138.4-6.412%
Last 10 (10)61.771.7133.4-10.010%
Last 5 (5)58.873.4132.2-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.870.4133.2-7.612%
vs Similar (4)73.564.5138.0+9.075%
vs Weaker (2)75.568.0143.5+7.550%
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -10.4-10.4
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -10.4-10.4
Penn StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#104
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A11/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
36.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.931.066.9+4.871%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.128.965.0+7.167%-
Last 30 away (13)35.633.569.1+2.277%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.867.5+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.067.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.235.270.5+0.050%-
vs Similar (13)34.731.265.8+3.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.429.969.3+9.689%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#149
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#79
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/02
NCAA
Michigan
#131
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H13/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)32.731.263.8+1.552%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.730.464.1+3.457%-
Last 30 away (11)31.432.263.5-0.845%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.465.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.432.261.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.631.662.2-1.035%-
vs Similar (4)37.028.265.2+8.8100%-
vs Weaker (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
Northwestern wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/20APurdue88-76
08/02/20HMinnesota83-77
05/02/20AMichigan State75-70
02/02/20ANebraska76-64
30/01/20HIndiana64-49
23/01/20AMichigan72-63
18/01/20HOhio State90-76
16/01/20AMinnesota69-75
11/01/20HWisconsin49-58
08/01/20ARutgers61-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/20HMichigan54-79
09/02/20ARutgers73-77 OT
02/02/20HPurdue58-61
29/01/20AMichigan State50-79
26/01/20HOhio State59-71
22/01/20HMaryland66-77
18/01/20AIllinois71-75
15/01/20HIowa62-75
11/01/20HNebraska62-57
09/01/20AIndiana62-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %71%83%56%
Points / game74.575.673.0
Allowed / game69.865.675.4
Point differential+4.7+10.0-2.4
Avg total144.3141.2148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %25%33%12%
Points / game65.364.866.0
Allowed / game69.066.772.4
Point differential-3.6-1.8-6.4
Avg total134.2131.5138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maryland2016480%70.063.1+6.8
2 Oregon2115671%74.468.0+6.4
3 Penn State2115671%74.569.8+4.7
4 Iowa2215768%78.471.9+6.5
5 Michigan State2114767%74.365.0+9.3
6 Rutgers2013765%69.862.1+7.7
7 USC2013765%69.667.8+1.8
8 Illinois1912763%72.964.1+8.9
9 Ohio State2012860%70.863.4+7.5
10 Minnesota1911858%71.066.6+4.4
11 Indiana1911858%68.468.2+0.3
12 Michigan2112957%75.768.9+6.8
13 Purdue2112957%68.562.1+6.4
14 Wisconsin2011955%64.562.0+2.5
15 UCLA21101148%69.470.0-0.6
16 Washington2191243%71.066.5+4.5
17 Nebraska2261627%70.876.1-5.3
18 Northwestern2051525%65.369.0-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State423577
Northwestern283361
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