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Penn State vs Providence Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 65-77
31-32 34-45
Position#298
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#246
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Providence winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A08/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H04/11
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
87-43
87
43
+44
A08/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H11/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-27
39-45
28-26
41-34
39-37
39-46
36-30
28-38
35-40
51-35
37-37
39-31
41-21
46-22
38-32
42-39
42-29
41-40
35-38
49-42
148.5Avg total
79.6Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.066.2148.2+15.8100%
Season at home (4)80.872.0152.8+8.8100%
Season away (1)87.043.0130.0+44.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.668.9148.5+10.780%
Last 5 (5)82.066.2148.2+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.670.7148.3+6.957%
vs Similar (14)74.676.9151.5-2.243%
vs Weaker (9)77.669.9147.4+7.756%
This opponent (Providence) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#67
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A26/02
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H12/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A15/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
20-39
33-41
30-34
39-28
38-52
32-36
36-40
31-39
38-36
44-27
45-52
46-40
40-46
48-36
58-45
38-39
50-58
38-31
60-35
162.9Avg total
81.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)96.486.0182.4+10.460%
Season at home (3)97.775.3173.0+22.3100%
Season away (2)94.5102.0196.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)81.181.8162.9-0.730%
Last 5 (5)96.486.0182.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.875.8144.6-7.013%
vs Similar (11)81.781.8163.5-0.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.874.2161.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
Penn StateProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H04/11
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A08/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H11/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
38.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.270.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.431.468.8+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)33.937.871.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.131.769.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.631.470.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.034.671.6+2.443%-
vs Similar (14)35.835.771.5+0.143%-
vs Weaker (9)35.131.666.7+3.678%-
This opponent (Providence) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#67
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A26/02
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A08/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
74.1Avg total
38.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.470.8+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.635.572.1+1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)33.935.269.2-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.074.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.677.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.535.368.7-1.840%-
vs Similar (11)37.137.074.1+0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.231.269.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
Providence wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HHarvard84-80
15/11/25HLa Salle83-69
11/11/25HNavy80-71
08/11/25ANew Haven Chargers87-43
04/11/25HFairfield76-68
08/03/25AWisconsin86-75
01/03/25HMaryland64-68
27/02/25AIndiana78-83
22/02/25AMinnesota69-60
19/02/25HNebraska89-72
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats98-66
15/11/25AColorado88-97
12/11/25HPenn106-81
08/11/25AVirginia Tech101-107 OT
04/11/25HHoly Cross89-79
12/03/25HButler69-75
08/03/25AXavier68-76
05/03/25HDePaul77-80
01/03/25HUconn63-75
26/02/25AMarquette52-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.080.887.0
Allowed / game66.272.043.0
Point differential+15.8+8.8+44.0
Avg total148.2152.8130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game96.497.794.5
Allowed / game86.075.3102.0
Point differential+10.4+22.3-7.5
Avg total182.4173.0196.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa550100%90.262.6+27.6
2 Indiana550100%88.262.4+25.8
3 USC440100%100.580.0+20.5
4 Ohio State550100%88.468.8+19.6
5 Michigan440100%89.871.5+18.2
6 Purdue660100%86.569.0+17.5
7 Nebraska660100%87.770.8+16.8
8 Penn State550100%82.066.2+15.8
9 Michigan State550100%79.063.4+15.6
10 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
11 Illinois65183%95.869.2+26.7
12 UCLA65183%77.860.3+17.5
13 Northwestern54180%83.064.8+18.2
14 Wisconsin54180%88.671.6+17.0
15 Minnesota54180%76.062.4+13.6
16 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
17 Rutgers54180%74.264.6+9.6
18 Maryland54180%82.273.4+8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Seton Hall550100%73.054.6+18.4
2 Georgetown550100%82.269.8+12.4
3 Uconn54180%86.263.8+22.4
4 Butler54180%92.472.6+19.8
5 Villanova54180%82.267.4+14.8
6 St. John's (N.Y.)43175%98.571.5+27.0
7 Creighton43175%78.567.8+10.8
8 DePaul53260%77.867.0+10.8
9 Providence53260%96.486.0+10.4
10 Marquette74357%83.474.4+9.0
11 Xavier63350%74.374.3+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State313465
Providence324577
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