PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Penn vs Drexel Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 78-66
Projected total 144.7
Scheduled
Position#320
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.2
Vs
85%
15%
■ PENN 85%■ DREX 15%
Pythia win probability
Position#241
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penn v Drexel
24 Nov 2026
PENN v DREX
upcoming
07 Dec 2024
PENN47
DREX60
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Penn host Drexel in the NCAA. Pythia makes Penn the favourite at 85% and projects 78-66, about 145 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Penn are 1-3 this season (75.2 scored, 85.2 allowed a game), form LLWLL; Drexel are 2-2 this season (66.8 scored, 73.2 allowed a game), form LLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn win
85.2%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Drexel win
14.8%fair 6.74
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PennUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A07/03
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
62-60 OT
62
60
+2
A14/03
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A15/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
70-105
70
105
-35
A20/03
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
70-112
70
112
-42
A06/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Navy
#85
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
46-29
21-31
43-30
44-34
38-27
30-26
23-27
41-39
34-36
30-40
40-65
30-53
40-59
25-31
53-34
34-36
42-45
41-37
36-46
153.0Avg total
74.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.285.2160.5-10.025%
Season at home (1)78.065.0143.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)74.392.0166.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)74.778.3153.0-3.660%
Last 5 (5)74.289.2163.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.984.6156.5-12.718%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.468.7145.1+7.785%
vs Weaker (6)72.268.7140.8+3.567%
This opponent (Drexel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrexelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#358
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A04/11
NCAA
Colgate
#368
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H07/11
NCAA
American University
#290
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H12/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
41-37
33-27
35-35
27-27
38-33
32-26
19-36
39-22
45-55
33-32
24-33
27-51
33-38
29-25
48-49
30-31
34-35
33-30
33-34
134.2Avg total
66.2Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.873.2140.0-6.550%
Season at home (2)70.570.0140.5+0.550%
Season away (2)63.076.5139.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)66.268.0134.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)64.871.6136.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.269.7129.8-9.517%
vs Similar ◀ (17)66.465.4131.8+0.959%
vs Weaker (7)73.768.7142.4+5.071%
This opponent (Penn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
58.8%
Under 141
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
46.3%
Under 146
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
34.2%
Under 151
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Penn total 75.5
Over 75.5
61.1%
Under 75.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penn total 79.5
Over 79.5
45.2%
Under 79.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penn total 83.5
Over 83.5
30.0%
Under 83.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drexel total 62.5
Over 62.5
64.6%
Under 62.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drexel total 66.5
Over 66.5
49.1%
Under 66.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drexel total 70.5
Over 70.5
33.9%
Under 70.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Penn -3
PENN -3
80.1%
DREX +3
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
PENN
No market prices yet.
DREX
No market prices yet.
Spread Penn 0
PENN 0
85.2%
DREX 0
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
PENN
No market prices yet.
DREX
No market prices yet.
Spread Penn +3
PENN +3
89.8%
DREX -3
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
PENN
No market prices yet.
DREX
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -3.5-3.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -3.5-3.5
PennDrexel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PennLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A14/03
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A20/03
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Navy
#85
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
33.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.470.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.834.668.4-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)35.736.171.8-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.969.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.471.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.938.972.8-5.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.334.469.7+0.946%-
vs Weaker (6)35.731.367.0+4.383%-
This opponent (Drexel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrexelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A04/11
NCAA
Colgate
#368
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H07/11
NCAA
American University
#290
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H12/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A14/11
NCAA
60.7Avg total
31.2Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.730.161.8+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.529.259.7+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)32.931.163.9+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)31.229.560.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.864.2-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.034.762.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.229.262.4+3.971%-
vs Weaker (7)31.328.459.7+2.971%-
This opponent (Penn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penn wins
1
Drexel wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Drexel v Penn68-84
07/12/24Penn v Drexel47-60
16/11/22Drexel v Penn59-64
Pennlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASaint Josephs Hawks77-83
11/11/26ANavy76-81
09/11/26HHoward78-65
06/11/26AIllinois70-112
20/03/26AIllinois70-105
15/03/26AYale88-84 OT
14/03/26AHarvard62-60 OT
07/03/26ABrown82-61
28/02/26HHarvard64-61
28/02/26HDartmouth80-71
Drexellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMaine Black Bears66-64
12/11/26HAmerican University64-66
07/11/26HColgate77-74
04/11/26AVirginia60-89
08/03/26AMonmouth57-65
07/03/26HNortheastern84-77
04/03/26AHofstra51-62
27/02/26HCampbell65-60
22/02/26HTowson68-62
20/02/26ANortheastern70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game75.278.074.3
Allowed / game85.265.092.0
Point differential-10.0+13.0-17.7
Avg total160.5143.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drexel
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game66.870.563.0
Allowed / game73.270.076.5
Point differential-6.5+0.5-13.5
Avg total140.0140.5139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia43175%85.864.0+21.8
2 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
3 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
4 Harvard42250%65.862.8+3.0
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Penn41325%75.285.2-10.0
7 Yale41325%70.280.8-10.5
8 Brown51420%68.470.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.