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Penrith P. vs Illawarra Hawks 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 81-86
23-22 17-13 21-31 20-20
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#2
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Penrith P. v Illawarra Hawks 2
11 May 2025
PENR81
ILLA86
02 Jul 2023
PENR68
ILLA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#10
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
90-114
90
114
-24
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
A26/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A10/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
20-29
14-31
30-23
21-32
21-33
27-23
21-26
16-17
23-23
22-21
17-20
23-11
24-20
25-19
12-22
19-25
16-21
22-10
28-26
25-28
16-21
27-25
23-26
12-31
14-25
14-21
15-19
19-33
19-29
12-18
22-28
11-22
21-19
20-19
12-15
26-25
17-16
24-25
19-31
170.9Avg total
78.6Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.988.9165.8-12.025%
Season at home (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
Season away (6)74.392.8167.2-18.50%
Last 10 (10)78.692.3170.9-13.720%
Last 5 (5)73.695.2168.8-21.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.195.8174.9-16.67%
vs Similar (2)86.590.0176.5-3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra Hawks 2AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A09/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H15/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H23/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H29/03
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A12/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A25/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
W
88-77 OT
88
77
+11
H26/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A10/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
9-19
22-10
15-12
18-31
29-23
27-9
26-9
28-23
19-24
24-15
20-16
25-25
16-22
25-19
30-22
34-14
11-28
21-16
18-19
18-26
22-26
18-21
10-11
30-17
8-18
17-30
15-23
24-25
13-17
14-12
18-15
26-10
23-23
26-28
20-11
20-26
11-20
16-22
22-32
162.6Avg total
82.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.483.7165.1-2.357%
Season at home (3)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Season away (4)72.887.2160.0-14.525%
Last 10 (10)82.779.9162.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)78.084.2162.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar (10)83.586.5170.0-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.477.0164.4+10.475%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
Penrith P.Illawarra Hawks 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A26/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/05
NBL1 East
85.5Avg total
38.0Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.047.686.6-8.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.546.085.5-6.538%-
Last 30 away (17)38.648.887.5-10.218%-
Last 10 (10)38.047.585.5-9.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.049.885.8-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.747.386.0-8.625%-
vs Similar (2)44.051.595.5-7.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra Hawks 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A09/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H15/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H29/03
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A12/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A25/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
84.3Avg total
40.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.140.883.9+2.445%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.340.484.7+3.950%-
Last 30 away (15)42.141.183.1+1.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.984.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.746.789.3-4.033%-
vs Similar (10)42.344.186.4-1.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.837.681.3+6.262%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
2
Illawarra Hawks 2 wins
DateGameScore
02/07/23Penrith P. v Illawarra Hawks 268-94
18/03/23Illawarra Hawks 2 v Penrith P.106-63
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ANorths Bears86-97
03/05/25ASydney Comets64-75
27/04/25ACanberra72-108
26/04/25ABA CoE55-96
12/04/25AInner West Bulls91-100
11/04/25HHills Hornets85-82
06/04/25HManly W.84-72
29/03/25ASutherland Sharks78-81
13/07/24AInner West Bulls90-114
06/07/24HNorths Bears81-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AHornsby S.69-100
03/05/25HCentral Coast Crusaders95-72
26/04/25HNewcastle Falcons88-77 OT
25/04/25ASutherland Sharks70-88
12/04/25ANewcastle Falcons68-84
05/04/25ASydney Comets84-77
29/03/25HMaitland M.96-88
23/07/23HCanberra91-78
15/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders100-72
09/07/23ANewcastle Falcons66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game76.984.574.3
Allowed / game88.977.092.8
Point differential-12.0+7.5-18.5
Avg total165.8161.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks 2
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game81.493.072.8
Allowed / game83.779.087.2
Point differential-2.3+14.0-14.5
Avg total165.1172.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE76186%89.066.7+22.3
2 Canberra76186%93.677.6+16.0
3 Sutherland Sharks76186%87.676.0+11.6
4 Maitland M.75271%87.179.3+7.9
5 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
6 Illawarra Hawks 274357%81.483.7-2.3
7 Norths Bears84450%74.176.2-2.1
8 Bankstown Bruins84450%81.085.2-4.2
9 Hills Hornets73443%75.775.3+0.4
10 Central Coast Crusaders73443%80.981.4-0.6
11 Inner West Bulls73443%87.689.1-1.6
12 Manly W.73443%77.078.6-1.6
13 Newcastle Falcons72529%75.680.9-5.3
14 Penrith P.82625%76.988.9-12.0
15 Hornsby S.71614%77.688.1-10.6
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits71614%73.093.7-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.2317212081
Illawarra Hawks 22213312086
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