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Penrith P. vs Maitland M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-101
28-27 17-25 28-25 22-24
Position#15
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#6
Record13-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game81.6
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Penrith P. v Maitland M.
16 Jun 2024
PENR86
MAIT103
09 Jul 2023
PENR95
MAIT101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A29/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H13/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H20/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A27/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A03/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-108
86
108
-22
H17/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
57-95
57
95
-38
H24/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H02/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H08/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
17-17
18-13
33-29
22-16
11-20
18-10
20-23
–
–
–
–
27-21
6-23
17-21
19-16
15-23
16-21
20-23
28-25
12-19
23-34
25-30
25-18
27-28
19-27
23-32
17-21
10-22
14-32
16-23
17-18
10-24
17-27
22-25
19-18
18-29
20-22
15-26
16-19
164.2Avg total
74.1Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.793.1162.8-23.417%
Season at home (8)68.890.0158.8-21.212%
Season away (10)70.495.6166.0-25.220%
Last 10 (10)74.190.1164.2-16.020%
Last 5 (5)73.098.8171.8-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.793.1162.8-23.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H13/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A21/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
99-73
99
73
+26
A27/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H03/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A17/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H24/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H01/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H02/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H08/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
31-21
23-28
20-18
25-20
23-21
21-22
22-17
27-15
14-24
16-14
24-26
20-16
25-26
21-11
33-20
25-18
19-23
30-17
25-24
23-21
20-23
19-15
23-8
25-14
16-28
28-15
13-24
30-16
28-29
19-18
33-16
16-17
26-16
30-23
30-23
26-25
23-22
29-19
27-21
174.9Avg total
94.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.681.6172.2+9.068%
Season at home (11)92.782.3175.0+10.573%
Season away (8)87.680.6168.2+7.062%
Last 10 (10)94.580.4174.9+14.190%
Last 5 (5)96.878.6175.4+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.090.2176.2-4.225%
vs Similar (8)91.883.9175.6+7.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.779.5171.2+12.289%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
Penrith P.Maitland M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A29/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A03/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H17/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
24-54
24
54
-30
H24/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H02/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H08/07
NBL1 East
80.3Avg total
33.0Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)33.150.483.4-17.36%-
Last 30 at home (7)32.448.681.0-16.10%-
Last 30 away (10)33.551.685.1-18.110%-
Last 10 (9)33.047.380.3-14.30%-
Last 5 (5)34.052.886.8-18.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.150.483.4-17.36%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H13/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H24/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H01/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H02/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H08/07
NBL1 East
88.4Avg total
45.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.987.6+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.941.887.7+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)45.641.987.5+3.769%-
Last 10 (10)45.942.588.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.241.286.5+4.050%-
vs Similar (8)47.144.291.4+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.340.986.2+4.372%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
0
Maitland M. wins
No previous meetings.
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HNewcastle Falcons69-96
02/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 268-94
24/06/23HHills Hornets57-95
17/06/23HInner West Bulls86-108
03/06/23ACanberra85-101
27/05/23ASutherland Sharks79-92
20/05/23HManly W.69-81
13/05/23HBankstown Bruins76-85
06/05/23HHornsby S.71-69
29/04/23AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 2105-87
02/07/23HManly W.102-79
01/07/23HSutherland Sharks110-79
24/06/23HCentral Coast Crusaders82-81
17/06/23ASydney Comets85-67
03/06/23HBankstown Bruins99-82
27/05/23AManly W.99-73
21/05/23AHornsby S.81-79
20/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits91-80
13/05/23HInner West Bulls91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %17%12%20%
Points / game69.768.870.4
Allowed / game93.190.095.6
Point differential-23.4-21.2-25.2
Avg total162.8158.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %68%73%62%
Points / game90.692.787.6
Allowed / game81.682.380.6
Point differential+9.0+10.5+7.0
Avg total172.2175.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%64%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE2019195%101.076.3+24.8
2 Inner West Bulls1815383%90.677.8+12.8
3 Maitland M.1913668%90.681.6+9.0
4 Canberra1913668%85.276.2+8.9
5 Norths Bears1913668%84.579.4+5.2
6 Sutherland Sharks2013765%89.084.4+4.5
7 Newcastle Falcons1912763%79.073.0+6.0
8 Hills Hornets1811761%80.977.2+3.7
9 Albury-Wodonga Bandits20101050%89.789.7+0.1
10 Illawarra Hawks 21991047%87.384.1+3.2
11 Sydney Comets1991047%81.682.8-1.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders1941521%77.787.6-9.9
13 Bankstown Bruins1941521%75.387.9-12.6
14 Manly W.2041620%71.085.3-14.4
15 Penrith P.1831517%69.793.1-23.4
16 Hornsby S.201195%66.383.1-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.2817282295
Maitland M.27252524101
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