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Newcastle Falcons vs Manly W. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 08:15
Final 77-41
25-14 15-13 24-6 13-8
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game87.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Manly W.
12 May 2024
NEWC68
MANL66
18 Mar 2023
NEWC77
MANL41
25 Jun 2022
NEWC89
MANL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manly W. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A16/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A17/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A23/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A30/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A31/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H07/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H13/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A14/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H20/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/03
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-12
28-28
25-19
9-19
11-31
26-25
22-20
15-23
17-10
15-15
12-24
14-23
20-24
8-23
19-28
17-20
16-20
24-23
12-13
29-23
20-17
16-19
21-9
27-9
17-11
28-29
21-23
22-9
18-17
21-24
26-11
25-21
11-20
19-25
23-30
30-20
14-28
8-14
19-14
156.2Avg total
76.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.479.8156.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)83.074.6157.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.080.0148.0-12.050%
vs Similar (12)72.174.8146.9-2.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.570.0151.5+11.580%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#4
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A25/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A02/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H09/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A10/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A16/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H23/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
102-104
102
104
-2
H30/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A06/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A13/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H11/03
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
8-25
23-27
13-20
11-15
18-16
17-17
14-21
21-21
26-19
19-19
16-21
16-25
18-17
26-29
27-23
30-15
29-17
19-24
17-21
15-25
22-11
19-16
25-20
25-22
18-15
27-28
32-39
16-18
8-26
19-30
20-18
22-27
26-20
21-31
15-12
16-23
21-29
19-17
15-18
164.9Avg total
79.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.087.0158.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)71.087.0158.0-16.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.585.4164.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.689.9169.4-10.311%
vs Similar (14)75.975.6151.5+0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
Newcastle FalconsManly W.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A16/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
20-50
20
50
-30
A17/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A31/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H07/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H13/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A14/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL1 East
75.3Avg total
37.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)35.534.470.0+1.154%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.832.070.8+6.867%-
Last 30 away (12)32.236.869.1-4.642%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.275.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.077.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.539.569.0-10.050%-
vs Similar (12)33.236.469.7-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.531.070.5+8.580%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A02/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H09/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A16/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A06/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A13/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H11/03
NBL1 East
79.5Avg total
39.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.039.177.2-1.148%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.137.876.9+1.267%-
Last 30 away (11)36.940.577.5-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.379.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.281.0-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.942.282.1-2.344%-
vs Similar (14)36.937.174.0-0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Manly W. wins
DateGameScore
25/06/22Newcastle Falcons v Manly W.89-70
29/05/22Manly W. v Newcastle Falcons62-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ASutherland Sharks71-76
20/08/22HSutherland Sharks78-96
14/08/22ASutherland Sharks87-61
13/08/22HNorths Bears93-72
07/08/22HBankstown Bruins86-68
31/07/22ANorths Bears69-76
30/07/22AInner West Bulls61-98
23/07/22ACentral Coast Crusaders59-72
17/07/22ACanberra68-95
16/07/22AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-84
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HNorths Bears71-87
13/08/22AMaitland M.84-90
06/08/22ACanberra63-92
30/07/22HIllawarra Hawks102-104
23/07/22HSutherland Sharks81-72
16/07/22AInner West Bulls95-77
10/07/22ABankstown Bruins87-94
09/07/22HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits82-80
02/07/22ANorths Bears60-69
25/06/22ANewcastle Falcons70-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Manly W.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-16.0-16.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks 2220100%100.574.5+26.0
2 BA CoE110100%95.070.0+25.0
3 Sydney Comets110100%90.065.0+25.0
4 Norths Bears220100%86.068.5+17.5
5 Sutherland Sharks220100%77.565.5+12.0
6 Inner West Bulls110100%84.076.0+8.0
7 Albury-Wodonga Bandits21150%92.073.0+19.0
8 Canberra21150%77.577.5+0.0
9 Maitland M.21150%80.582.5-2.0
10 Central Coast Crusaders21150%70.075.0-5.0
11 Newcastle Falcons1010%71.076.0-5.0
12 Hills Hornets1010%76.084.0-8.0
13 Manly W.1010%71.087.0-16.0
14 Bankstown Bruins2020%68.090.0-22.0
15 Hornsby S.2020%66.092.0-26.0
16 Penrith P.2020%64.098.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2515241377
Manly W.14136841
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