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Penrith P. vs Sydney Comets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 84-90
15-30 16-20 18-18 35-22
Position#16
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#5
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game72.6
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Penrith P. v Sydney Comets
28 Jun 2025
PENR84
SYDN90
05 Jul 2024
PENR71
SYDN102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney Comets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A10/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H11/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H17/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
50-101
50
101
-51
A24/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H30/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A31/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H14/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
H15/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
63-98
63
98
-35
H22/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
21-19
20-19
12-15
26-25
17-16
24-25
19-31
23-22
17-13
21-31
20-20
16-17
22-20
18-20
30-14
9-29
16-19
13-25
12-28
25-16
19-23
16-17
17-25
14-27
21-23
16-21
26-27
28-23
16-23
21-23
24-22
13-21
15-24
17-30
19-21
18-22
15-27
15-18
15-31
163.1Avg total
73.7Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.189.6164.7-14.419%
Season at home (8)78.684.6163.2-6.038%
Season away (8)71.694.5166.1-22.90%
Last 10 (10)73.789.4163.1-15.710%
Last 5 (5)74.092.8166.8-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.794.4172.1-16.810%
vs Similar (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney Comets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney CometsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#4
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H25/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H03/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A17/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H24/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H31/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A14/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
100-82
100
82
+18
A21/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
6-22
16-20
19-12
16-19
8-26
14-18
24-14
22-11
19-21
19-20
15-12
20-14
22-13
20-23
18-15
24-20
23-21
20-22
20-15
22-22
19-17
21-19
22-17
13-24
20-18
26-8
28-24
16-23
26-16
24-20
22-15
14-10
21-23
28-18
18-26
30-14
26-23
24-24
20-21
153.5Avg total
80.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.172.6152.6+7.579%
Season at home (7)75.072.0147.0+3.057%
Season away (7)85.173.1158.3+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.473.1153.5+7.380%
Last 5 (5)88.076.4164.4+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.083.0158.0-8.017%
vs Similar (10)79.972.0151.9+7.980%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.178.9173.0+15.193%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
Penrith P.Sydney Comets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A24/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A31/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H15/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H22/06
NBL1 East
79.3Avg total
36.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.946.485.4-7.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.144.083.1-4.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.749.287.9-10.521%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.179.3-6.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.882.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.646.485.0-7.931%-
vs Similar (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney Comets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney CometsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H25/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H27/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H03/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H10/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A14/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A21/06
NBL1 East
75.4Avg total
38.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.480.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.437.878.2+2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)42.040.682.6+1.461%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.875.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.079.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.342.780.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (10)37.538.175.6-0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.939.084.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
3
Sydney Comets wins
DateGameScore
03/05/25Sydney Comets v Penrith P.75-64
05/07/24Penrith P. v Sydney Comets71-102
11/03/23Sydney Comets v Penrith P.90-65
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25HNewcastle Falcons63-98
15/06/25HCanberra64-96
14/06/25HHornsby S.89-91
31/05/25ACentral Coast Crusaders77-98
30/05/25HBankstown Bruins77-81
24/05/25AMaitland M.50-101
17/05/25HInner West Bulls86-71
11/05/25HIllawarra Hawks 281-86
10/05/25ANorths Bears86-97
03/05/25ASydney Comets64-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits100-82
14/06/25AInner West Bulls81-77
01/06/25AHills Hornets88-74
31/05/25HBankstown Bruins87-74
24/05/25HBA CoE84-75
17/05/25ASutherland Sharks87-78
10/05/25HManly W.80-65
03/05/25HPenrith P.75-64
27/04/25HMaitland M.62-77
25/04/25HNorths Bears60-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game75.178.671.6
Allowed / game89.684.694.5
Point differential-14.4-6.0-22.9
Avg total164.7163.2166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney Comets
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%57%100%
Points / game80.175.085.1
Allowed / game72.672.073.1
Point differential+7.5+3.0+12.0
Avg total152.6147.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney Comets1411379%80.172.6+7.5
2 Illawarra Hawks 21411379%89.682.5+7.1
3 BA CoE1814478%84.473.2+11.3
4 Canberra1511473%92.378.1+14.1
5 Sutherland Sharks149564%85.979.1+6.9
6 Manly W.158753%85.286.3-1.1
7 Norths Bears147750%75.977.4-1.6
8 Central Coast Crusaders157847%81.384.0-2.7
9 Newcastle Falcons167944%79.779.9-0.2
10 Maitland M.146843%90.586.1+4.4
11 Bankstown Bruins146843%83.387.1-3.9
12 Hills Hornets156940%77.380.2-2.9
13 Hornsby S.145936%80.688.6-8.0
14 Inner West Bulls1441029%83.487.6-4.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1431121%78.092.0-14.0
16 Penrith P.1631319%75.189.6-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.1516183584
Sydney Comets3020182290
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