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Penrith P. vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-98
18-22 15-27 15-18 15-31
Position#16
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#9
Record6-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Penrith P. v Newcastle Falcons
22 Jun 2025
PENR63
NEWC98
27 Apr 2024
PENR65
NEWC80
08 Jul 2023
PENR69
NEWC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A10/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H11/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H17/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
50-101
50
101
-51
A24/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H30/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A31/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H14/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
H15/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
19-29
12-18
22-28
11-22
21-19
20-19
12-15
26-25
17-16
24-25
19-31
23-22
17-13
21-31
20-20
16-17
22-20
18-20
30-14
9-29
16-19
13-25
12-28
25-16
19-23
16-17
17-25
14-27
21-23
16-21
26-27
28-23
16-23
21-23
24-22
13-21
15-24
17-30
19-21
165.0Avg total
74.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.989.0164.9-13.120%
Season at home (7)80.982.7163.6-1.943%
Season away (8)71.694.5166.1-22.90%
Last 10 (10)74.690.4165.0-15.810%
Last 5 (5)71.493.4164.8-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.793.8171.6-16.110%
vs Similar (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
77-88 OT
77
88
-11
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A21/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
17-13
12-14
15-18
21-8
27-13
12-22
24-18
25-30
17-18
13-21
19-34
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
19-22
19-19
17-10
23-17
21-29
14-13
20-27
25-17
22-25
13-31
11-25
24-21
161.5Avg total
80.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.380.5158.8-2.243%
Season at home (7)79.171.6150.7+7.671%
Season away (7)77.489.4166.9-12.014%
Last 10 (10)80.281.3161.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)83.082.4165.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.681.5155.1-7.927%
vs Similar (8)76.479.2155.6-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.681.1165.7+3.457%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
Penrith P.Newcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#1
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A24/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A31/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H15/06
NBL1 East
81.1Avg total
36.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.146.085.1-6.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.443.282.6-3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)38.749.287.9-10.521%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.481.1-7.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.680.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.746.084.7-7.334%-
vs Similar (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A21/06
NBL1 East
80.9Avg total
39.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.142.380.4-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.482.1-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.180.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.283.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.743.279.9-6.533%-
vs Similar (8)38.041.279.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.141.682.7-0.443%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25HCanberra64-96
14/06/25HHornsby S.89-91
31/05/25ACentral Coast Crusaders77-98
30/05/25HBankstown Bruins77-81
24/05/25AMaitland M.50-101
17/05/25HInner West Bulls86-71
11/05/25HIllawarra Hawks 281-86
10/05/25ANorths Bears86-97
03/05/25ASydney Comets64-75
27/04/25ACanberra72-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25ANorths Bears70-102
14/06/25ABA CoE80-86
31/05/25HNorths Bears78-68
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
11/05/25HCanberra75-69
10/05/25ASutherland Sharks74-103
03/05/25HMaitland M.84-61
26/04/25AIllawarra Hawks 277-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%43%0%
Points / game75.980.971.6
Allowed / game89.082.794.5
Point differential-13.1-1.9-22.9
Avg total164.9163.6166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game78.379.177.4
Allowed / game80.571.689.4
Point differential-2.2+7.6-12.0
Avg total158.8150.7166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1714382%85.473.0+12.4
2 Sydney Comets1411379%80.172.6+7.5
3 Illawarra Hawks 21411379%89.682.5+7.1
4 Canberra1511473%92.378.1+14.1
5 Sutherland Sharks149564%85.979.1+6.9
6 Norths Bears147750%75.977.4-1.6
7 Manly W.147750%85.086.7-1.7
8 Maitland M.146843%90.586.1+4.4
9 Newcastle Falcons146843%78.380.5-2.2
10 Central Coast Crusaders146843%81.685.1-3.5
11 Bankstown Bruins146843%83.387.1-3.9
12 Hornsby S.135838%81.588.6-7.2
13 Hills Hornets145936%76.580.9-4.4
14 Inner West Bulls1441029%83.487.6-4.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1431121%78.092.0-14.0
16 Penrith P.1531220%75.989.0-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.1815151563
Newcastle Falcons2227183198
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