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Maitland M. vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 101-50
29-9 19-16 25-13 28-12
Position#12
Record5-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#16
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game86.8
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Maitland M. v Penrith P.
24 May 2025
MAIT101
PENR50
18 May 2024
MAIT110
PENR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A03/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H10/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A17/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-31
31-25
27-20
25-25
22-16
19-25
22-30
32-22
30-12
27-14
15-14
29-26
19-17
18-24
22-17
25-33
18-17
37-17
26-28
19-16
26-8
18-14
14-24
8-21
13-27
22-12
18-24
26-12
14-23
23-15
23-22
16-22
21-16
18-27
28-26
27-30
19-27
21-28
24-19
173.4Avg total
88.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.183.3170.4+3.856%
Season at home (5)93.480.8174.2+12.680%
Season away (4)79.286.5165.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)88.285.2173.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)79.682.6162.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.789.0176.7-1.333%
vs Similar (5)83.087.2170.2-4.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)99.483.4182.8+16.082%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
A26/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A10/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H11/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H17/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
23-23
22-21
17-20
23-11
24-20
25-19
12-22
19-25
16-21
22-10
28-26
25-28
16-21
27-25
23-26
12-31
14-25
14-21
15-19
19-33
19-29
12-18
22-28
11-22
21-19
20-19
12-15
26-25
17-16
24-25
19-31
23-22
17-13
21-31
20-20
16-17
22-20
18-20
30-14
165.0Avg total
78.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.286.8165.0-8.630%
Season at home (4)84.077.8161.8+6.275%
Season away (6)74.392.8167.2-18.50%
Last 10 (10)78.286.8165.0-8.630%
Last 5 (5)77.887.4165.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.394.6173.9-15.411%
vs Similar (2)86.590.0176.5-3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
Maitland M.Penrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A27/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A03/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A17/05
NBL1 East
85.6Avg total
42.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.742.989.5+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.742.590.2+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.543.388.8+2.264%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.785.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.043.788.7+1.367%-
vs Similar (5)40.045.885.8-5.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.442.190.5+6.373%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A26/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/05
NBL1 East
81.7Avg total
37.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.686.0-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.444.483.8-4.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.448.587.9-9.119%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.881.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.281.4-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.146.285.3-7.132%-
vs Similar (2)44.051.595.5-7.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Maitland M. wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
16/06/24Penrith P. v Maitland M.86-103
18/05/24Maitland M. v Penrith P.110-73
09/07/23Penrith P. v Maitland M.95-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AManly W.91-104
11/05/25HCentral Coast Crusaders83-91
10/05/25HCanberra86-72
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons61-84
27/04/25ASydney Comets77-62
25/04/25HHornsby S.106-95
12/04/25HHills Hornets88-84
05/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-62
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks 288-96
17/08/24HMandurah Magic98-102
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HInner West Bulls86-71
11/05/25HIllawarra Hawks 281-86
10/05/25ANorths Bears86-97
03/05/25ASydney Comets64-75
27/04/25ACanberra72-108
26/04/25ABA CoE55-96
12/04/25AInner West Bulls91-100
11/04/25HHills Hornets85-82
06/04/25HManly W.84-72
29/03/25ASutherland Sharks78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game87.193.479.2
Allowed / game83.380.886.5
Point differential+3.8+12.6-7.2
Avg total170.4174.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%75%0%
Points / game78.284.074.3
Allowed / game86.877.892.8
Point differential-8.6+6.2-18.5
Avg total165.0161.8167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE109190%88.568.4+20.1
2 Illawarra Hawks 2107370%83.581.4+2.1
3 Canberra96367%89.178.1+11.0
4 Sutherland Sharks96367%86.178.9+7.2
5 Sydney Comets96367%75.770.4+5.2
6 Maitland M.95456%87.183.3+3.8
7 Manly W.95456%81.680.6+1.0
8 Bankstown Bruins105550%82.485.0-2.6
9 Central Coast Crusaders94544%82.683.7-1.1
10 Norths Bears94544%72.877.2-4.4
11 Hills Hornets104640%76.479.7-3.3
12 Newcastle Falcons93633%75.779.4-3.8
13 Inner West Bulls93633%84.188.1-4.0
14 Penrith P.103730%78.286.8-8.6
15 Hornsby S.82625%77.986.8-8.9
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits92722%77.092.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.29192528101
Penrith P.916131250
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